AI risk

Joined April 2023
Only White men can make White women. Only White women can make White men. Make White babies. Save the planet.
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BiologicalNN retweeted
"Nolan is just reinterpreting the Odyssey, it isn't a big deal" Here's why it's a big fucking deal: Say you're on a hike. You've never been to this mountain before, but your grandparents have. They were kind enough to leave you signs along the way. Your parents made sure to preserve and keep the signs maintained. So you walk, trusting their wisdom. Ahead, a signpost arrow points left. But alas! When nobody was looking, some asshole flipped the so that now it's pointing right. Or a whole group of assholes remove all the signs entirely. Now you're lost. So you call your friend and ask him for advice, but all his signposts have been messed with, too. Nobody knows which way is left or right anymore. What would you conclude? That you are surrounded by assholes. Culture is map. It's made by those who have lived before us, made mistakes and achieved triumphs. Maps are made so that those who come after us can navigate more easily, explore new territory, and pass the wisdom on. Modifying signposts is something you do to an enemy to make them lose their way. It is generational sabotage. If you catch someone trying to do it, don't simply shrug it off. Figure out why, make it stop, and put the signposts back in the correct place. The stability of the future depends on the wisdom of the past.
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BiologicalNN retweeted
I have a confession to make: I feel a certain sympathy for populism. Not when it is pro-Russian. Not when it wants to destroy Europe. Not when it goes completely off the rails, as it sometimes does in the United States. Where my sympathy begins is in its criticism of political elites. Because Europe's political elites genuinely deserve every bit of criticism that comes their way. I once attended a seminar on housing policy. A famous professor of urban planning criticised the Le Corbusier-inspired thinking behind large-scale social housing projects: "Honestly, if someone asked me whether it was a good idea to take a large number of vulnerable people and stack them on top of each other, far away from everyone else, I would be embarrassed to accept even one dollar in consultancy fees to say no." The problem is that Le Corbusier-style thinking came from the very top of society. And that means it was never required to prove itself. The elite never carries the burden of proof. That is why I like parts of populism. On a good day, populists are simply the people who ask the elite a perfectly reasonable question: Please demonstrate that your idea actually works. Show us the evidence that dissolving nation-states is better than preserving them. What are the rational and factual arguments? Show us the evidence that allowing large-scale immigration from very different cultures will strengthen rather than weaken social cohesion. Show us the evidence that replacing a stable and properly dimensioned energy system with an unstable and under-dimensioned one is a good idea. Show us the evidence that dismantling traditional understandings of sex and gender will produce better social outcomes. Show us the evidence that ever more people need academic degrees. Show us the evidence that prosperity is best achieved through ever higher taxes and ever more bureaucracy. Again and again, the same thing happens. When asked to carry the burden of proof, the political elite often refuses. Instead, it reaches for labels. It attacks motives. It excludes critics from respectable company. That is the legitimate role of populism: to say no to political elites and demand real arguments, real evidence and real numbers behind fashionable ideas. Political elites have an extraordinary talent for getting things wrong (I even wrote an entire book about some of the worst examples). Perhaps that is because they are so highly educated. After all, there are some ideas so absurd that it takes a PhD to believe them.
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Putting handcuffs on a dying white boy is much easier.
Three female police officers walk up to a man sitting on a barrier and tell him he’s under arrest. He stands up, casually shrugs off the attempt to restrain him, and jogs away while they make a half-arsed comical chase. This is British policing in 2026. How embarrassing is this? These are the people you’re supposed to call when you’re in trouble. You’re meant to feel safe knowing that you can rely on them. When forces lower physical standards, dropping the bleep test requirement from 5.4 to 3.7 in many forces, removing the upper body strength test entirely in 2016, and prioritising diversity targets and recruitment numbers over real competence this is exactly what you get. Public safety becomes optional. Get rid of DEI.
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BiologicalNN retweeted
There were massive international protests over George Floyd and those police involved were severely punished with long prison sentences, yet the police responsible here did not even lose their jobs! An incredibly unjust double-standard!
An 18-year-old kid gets stabbed in the street. He’s running for his life, begging for help, and instead of saving him, the police handcuff him while he bleeds out because the attacker claimed “racism.” They let him choke on his own blood. No urgency. No humanity. Just cold, ideological policing. Months later? Still no names. Still no suspensions. Still no accountability. Meanwhile, the same UK police have arrested over 12,000 people for social media posts. They move at lightning speed to jail citizens for tweets and online comments, yet they can’t even name or discipline the officers who allegedly let a stabbing victim die in handcuffs on the street. This is the definition of two-tier policing: aggressive against ordinary people speaking online, but protective when it comes to their own failures and protecting the narrative. The British people deserve real justice, not another cover-up. Justice for Henry Nowak.
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BiologicalNN retweeted
Samme som sidst, del hvis du kan. I morgen skal der stemmes, og mens magthaverne fejrer det som demokratiets dag, minder det os andre om det system, der tillader dem at tage Danmark fra os danskere. Det her land er vores, husk det, og vi har ret til at beholde det.
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My wife's X account, @EvelinaHahne, was just locked after she made this post about an African immigrant who raped and strangled a 9yo girl. She can't access her account and the post is removed. Support free speech and help @EvelinaHahne get her account back by sharing this!
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Helt almindelige danske familier bliver udsat for politisk vold og forfølgelse. Det betyder at danskere nu har ret til asyl og kan få beskyttelse som flygtninge, hvis de forlader Danmark, hvor staten ikke beskytter dem mod rendyrket had og ondskab. Men vi skal ikke flygte fra Danmark, men overvinde ondskaben. Det vil give os den endegyldige sejr, hvis alle gode kristne mænd nu vover at slå ridderhjelmen op og bekender deres patriotisme ærligt. Den bedste måde at bekæmpe den politiske vold - disse forsøg på terroristisk intimidering - er nemlig at stille sig ved siden af de ærefulde individer, der først trodsede ondskaben og bekendtgjorde kærligheden til deres land. De kan ikke skræmme os alle, så jo flere der melder sig, jo svagere bliver fjendens våben. Derfor er løsningen nu endnu mere mod. Endnu mere samvittighedsfuldhed. Endnu mere åbenhed. Danskeres vej imod at blive minoriteter i vores eget land skal stoppes. Store dele af det væld af fremmede, der er kommet til landet skal sendes tilbage, hvis Danmark skal forblive dansk. Som situationen er nu står vi overfor to forskellige udfald. I bedste fald fortsætter vi som en slavegjort befolkning uden ytringsfrihed, der gennem skatten tvinges til at finansiere en fremmed klasse, der på trods af de helt urimelige privilegier, vi giver dem, hader os på grund af vores hudfarve. De hader os, fordi et narrativ er opstået om at europæere har været unikt ondskabsfulde undertrykkere, og at ondskaben nu er vores på grund af en biologisk arvesynd. I værste fald fortsætter oparbejdningen af sprængfarligt racehad, der når det nærmer sig kritisk masse vil udløse blodige og forbistrede racekrige i Danmark. Derfor skal de ikke integreres. De skal hjem. Men hvordan sender vi dem så hjem? Man kan kun undgå masseanholdelser og store fangelejre, hvis man omgående ændrer fundamentalt i samfundets økonomiske incitamenter, så danskere ikke længere skal tvinges til at betale for indvandrere, men at det bliver en langt dårligere forretning at være udlænding i Danmark. Husk på at kun en brøkdel af indvandringen til Danmark faktisk flygter fra det, som nu sker ved danskere. 95 procent af indvandrere er i Danmark alene for pengenes og ikke på grund af noget behov for beskyttelse mod politisk vold. Mange er her helt ulovligt. Det skal derfor gøres decideret farligt at misbruge illegal arbejdskraft i Danmark og loven skal derfor ændres, så det ikke længere kan betale sig. Vi taler store straffe og forbud mod at drive virksomhed, hvis man fanges i at belønne illegal indvandring til Danmark. Skattesystemet skal målrettet geares imod kontrol af udlændinges og ikke danskeres aktiviteter, fordi forskning viser, at langt mere snyd sker blandt fremmede, der ikke har anden forbindelse til Danmark end den økonomiske. Ingen kristen arbejdsmoral eller skam over at udnytte andres godhed. Afgifter skal opkræves, så staten virker til danskernes fordel. Hvorfor tillader vi at staten belønner folk, der ikke hører til her med 20-30 milliarder kroner om året? Galskaben må stoppes og balancen genoprettes. Flere økonomiske byrder skal rettes mod indvandrere. Statens fundament skal omlægges, så loven ikke længere favoriserer fremmede over danskere. Virksomheder skal tjene det fælles bedste og arbejds- og boligmarkedet skal totalt omformes, så danske mænd - uden at være overmennesket selv - kan trives selv med en stor børneflok. Det betyder også, at den uhellige alliance mellem storkapital og indvandrere skal brydes. Hvis virksomheder vil tjene penge i Danmark, men er til skade overfor befolkningen, der har boet her i årtusinder, er de Danmarks fjende og loven skal bruges imod dem. Danskere skal beholde langt flere af deres egne penge og virksomheders lobbyister må ikke længere gives lov til at undertrykke danskeres lønninger ved at importe fremmed arbejdskraft. De gør arbejde i Danmark nedværdigende. (Fortsættes nedenfor)
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In a sane world, it doesn't seem like "well, maybe AI will get stuck at human-ish levels for decades" or "well, maybe superintelligence couldn't invent any wild new tech" ought to be cruxes for "Should we pause AI development?" or "Is alignment research the world's top priority?"
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"Bad take" bingo cards are terrible, because they never actually say what's wrong with any of the arguments they're making fun of. So here's the "bad AI alignment take bingo" meme that's been going around... but with actual responses to the "bad takes"!
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I've been citing lesswrong.com/posts/uMQ3cqWD… to explain why the situation with AI looks doomy to me. But that post is relatively long, and emphasizes specific open technical problems over "the basics". Here are 10 things I'd focus on if I were giving "the basics" on why I'm worried:
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The way OpenAI uses alignment to refer to GPT-4's behavior is misleading. Getting a model to mostly produce content you want and not produce content you don't want is very different than aligning a strongly agentic system. The latter has goals and can take autonomous actions
also, i am pretty proud of the degree of alignment for GPT-4 relative to previous models. we still have a long way to go, and we really need more powerful alignment techniques for more powerful models.
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