Martijn Kleinbussink (@BiasedRational) header
Martijn Kleinbussink (@BiasedRational) profile picture

Just a farmer harvesting the equity premium

Amsterdam, Nederland
Joined December 2017
Photo by Martijn Kleinbussink (@BiasedRational)Photo by Martijn Kleinbussink (@BiasedRational)Photo by Martijn Kleinbussink (@BiasedRational)Photo by Martijn Kleinbussink (@BiasedRational)Photo by Martijn Kleinbussink (@BiasedRational)Photo by Martijn Kleinbussink (@BiasedRational)Photo by Martijn Kleinbussink (@BiasedRational)Photo by Martijn Kleinbussink (@BiasedRational)Photo by Martijn Kleinbussink (@BiasedRational)Photo by Martijn Kleinbussink (@BiasedRational)
A Tale of Two Cities by Charles Dickens: "It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity,
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Martijn Kleinbussink retweeted
Great analysis by Michael. Integral keeps finding great deals. Every fund manager knows how quickly a GP stake can compound if you double AuM every 2-3 years and you earn a big carry on top. $5842.JT
Integral (5842 JP): A mid-market Japanse private equity firm with a top-tier track record of 3.1x MOIC and a 30.5% IRR. Gearing up to raise its 6th fund by 2027/28. asiancenturystocks.com/deep-…
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Martijn Kleinbussink retweeted
the next social network is a prediction market where your feed is ranked by accuracy not engagement. the person who is right 80% of the time gets seen while the person who is loud gets buried
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Martijn Kleinbussink retweeted
typical chem co segments: Advanced Materials: a highly cyclical commodity chemical Performance Products: also a cyclical commodity chemical, but China has 2000% excess capacity of this one Specialty Solutions: best way to model this segment’s margins is short natural gas + a negative shock for an inexplicable shutdown that’s never guided to & happens whenever something good is going on in the rest of the business Precision Compounds: this repackages stuff from the other segments & sells it, allowing them to play with internal pricing to show steady margins so value investors can fool themselves into a sum-of-the-parts story once or twice every cycle Engineered Applications: this is actually kind of a good business, but it’s 1% of EBITDA & they’ll sell it to PE for 6x in a couple quarters
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Martijn Kleinbussink retweeted
This is the dumbest thing any government on planet earth is pursuing right now. And that’s saying something.
Sad day in NL, the Dutch government is expected to pass a bill introducing a 36% tax on unrealized capital gains. This will destroy long-term strategies, kill compounding effects & trigger a wealth exodus of biblical proportions. But they'll pass it anyway. Can't fix stupid.
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Martijn Kleinbussink retweeted
GS summarizes very well in a chart. Nothing that China industrials touch will not end up in overcapacity and subpar return on capital
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AI's impact on labor productivity suggests a boost of around 23%-29%
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The percentage of the M&A process being done by AI according to Bain
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May God give me the confidence of a $TSLA short-seller
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Gaining share in ride hailing (cc: @RobbertManders)
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$GOOG Google Lands Salesforce Cloud Deal. 💵 Salesforce commits $2.5B over 7 years. ☁️ Agentforce now runs on Google Cloud. 🔗 Deeper integrations across apps. 🤖 Gemini AI powers Agentforce. 📊 $CRM reports Wednesday. Will AI momentum show up in the numbers?
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$AAPL APPEARS SET TO INTEGRATE $GOOGL'S GEMINI AI INTO APPLE INTELLIGENCE -- PER CODE REFERENCES FOUND IN IOS 18.4 BETA 👀
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$EL wants a word
Easiest ways to make money : - Men's lust - Women's desire for beauty - Elderly's health - Children's education - Rich people's fear of loss - Brokies desire to get rich quickly
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Deutsche Telekom is now worth 172bn, above their own estimate of 168bn at the end of 2027
Deutsche Telekom guiding their stock price at their CMD $DTE
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Martijn Kleinbussink retweeted
"Overpaying seems to be less hazardous than business ignorance". I like how he inverts the common narrative about investing in MSFT at the DotCom peak (2/6)
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Microsoft's PP&E as a % of total assets has increased from 8% in 2015 to 38%. With more than 50% of CapEx going towards short-lived assets (~5 years)
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Remember that Arnault moved to the US early in his life to avoid taxes
Bernard Arnault (LVMH) on the current difference between the US and France.
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I wonder how the mood is at the neo-clouds today (forgot the source)
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