The stories behind the stats. 📈 Breakouts 📉 Declines 🔄 Turnarounds 👀 Players to watch 📊 Trends & analysis created by @byjuneforu
Glasgow, KY
Joined September 2026
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Welcome to Beyond The Numbers.
Sports aren’t just about the final score.
We’re here to look at what’s happening underneath it.
No insider rumors.
No pretending to have sources.
Just sports stories, numbers, context and the things you might have missed.
The stories behind the stats.
Beyond The Numbers retweeted
Yankees again tonight. 8:00 ET, Boston facing elimination.
Max Fried has allowed four home runs all season. Four, in 112 innings. That is
0.32 per nine, and hitters barrel him on under 2 percent of balls in play, the
lowest rate of anyone pitching tonight. He is doing it in a park that adds 18
percent to home runs. The one thing Yankee Stadium does is the one thing Fried
does not allow.
For scale, Sonny Gray has given up 16 homers in 169 innings. Fried has four.
Boston has been 15 percent worse than an average offense against left-handers.
Jarren Duran is 40 percent below an average hitter against them and Trevor
Story is 48 percent below.
Logged the Yankees at -127. Still -127.
Being straight about it. This is the thinnest edge on the card in a week at 2.8
percent, Sonny Gray is legitimately good with a 2.72 ERA over 169 innings, and
Boston is the desperate team. A club facing elimination empties the bench.
Model record 99-66, plus 21.81 units, plus 13.2 percent.
Two weeks free, no credit card.
theoddstheory.com/join?sourc…
Model output. Not betting advice. 21+
#MLB #Postseason #Yankees #RedSox #sportsbetting #gamblingtwitter
Beyond The Numbers retweeted
Backtests are the most convincing lie in sports betting. Your model shows 58% over three seasons and it feels bulletproof. Then you go live and the edge disappears. Overfitting, stale data, and ignoring the vig will do that. The backtest was never the product.
The Falcons haven’t made the playoffs since 2017.
But that’s not the craziest part.
Atlanta went from the NFL’s highest-scoring offense and a Super Bowl contender…
to nearly a decade of trying to find its way back.
Here’s how it happened. 🧵
6/7
Then 2026 started with another slow beginning.
Atlanta opened 0–2.
Then Michael Penix Jr. returned from his ACL recovery.
Against Green Bay?
35–14.
Penix: 256 yards, TD.
Bijan Robinson: 194 rushing yards, 2 TD.
Drake London: 194 receiving yards.
Atlanta also held Green Bay to just 17 rushing yards.
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108
7/7
One win doesn’t erase nearly a decade.
But it does give Atlanta something it hasn’t had much of lately: evidence that the pieces can actually work together.
Now the question isn’t whether Atlanta has talent.
It’s whether this time, the talent can finally become something sustainable.
Beyond The Numbers.
The stories behind the stats.
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Case Keenum Wasn’t Supposed to Matter Anymore
Everyone had written off Case Keenum.
38 years old.
QB3.
Nearly three years removed from a regular-season appearance.
Then Caleb Williams got hurt.
Tonight, Keenum got his opportunity.
And he made it count. 🧵
5/6
That’s what makes this more than a box-score story.
Keenum didn’t suddenly become a 38-year-old superstar.
He showed that experience still has value when an opportunity nobody expected suddenly appears.
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6/6
Maybe tonight was just one game.
Maybe it becomes something more.
But Case Keenum just reminded everyone of something:
You don’t have to be the future to matter when the future gets hurt.
#BeyondTheNumbers
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