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#ShortTermSaturday - Episode 6 (10/31/26) ✒️My dear followers, Sheriff here with a super-early STS today, I mean, what a "scary" week this has been for some of you, and Halloween has not even started. Some of you may have been scared out by the markets but Sheriff has everything under control.🎃 Well, at least for me speaking, I can state that I am zero % scared, maybe the kids knocking at my door tonight may scare me or at least I pretend to be super-scared (see my last attached photo what this might look like) but in perspective to Bitcoin, that's just daily business.👻 BUT, since the last days have been very stressful and confusing for some of you, I will give you a super-detailed view on the markets through my lens and my thoughts. This might become the biggest STS so far, but I have to leave you all my ideas on the current situation and some general things in $BTC💭 First of all, let's revisit the "casualties" from this week's incidents: Bitcoin experienced a volatile week, falling from around $82k to approximately $76,400. The decline was driven by weaker investor sentiment, falling technology stocks, geopolitical uncertainty and major security concerns at one of the largest CEX, Binance. The biggest and most crucial event of this week was a massive Binance security breach on October 29, with approximately $6.3 billion in digital assets reportedly affected. Around $3 billion was frozen, and Binance promised to cover customer losses. The incident increased uncertainty across the crypto market, although it did not indicate a vulnerability in Bitcoin's blockchain itself. That's this week's news📫 👆The paragraph above is what the herd news🐑 would say to you and what you might want to hear but actually it's simpler than that: $BTC has not changed a thing, friends, and my dear friend @xapa03 and I have clearly stated and analyzed in each and every of my #ShortTermSaturday episodes and Xapa's updates, that IF THERE WAS A BLACK SWAN TO BE HAPPENING, we would go at least to the $75k cluster, which we actually did not, guys! We didn't even go this low, at least for now. 💁‍♂️ Can you process what this means to us? Do you realize how "bad" this Binance breach situation could have ended? It was the biggest hack, plundering over 6.3 billion dollars in crypto value and Bitcoin actually fell ~6% intraday. Have you done your research on former CEX hacks and $BTC's respective reciprocal drawdowns? If not, here's a short overview for y'all: Mt. Gox (2014)➡️-13.6% Bitfinex (2016)➡️-23.3% Coincheck (2018)➡️-31.6% Binance (2019)➡️-0.5% KuCoin (2020)➡️-2.9% BitMart (2021)➡️-21.9% Poloniex (2023)➡️-4.6% DMM Bitcoin (2024)➡️-2.5% WazirX (2024)➡️-1.3% Bybit (2025)➡️-20.5% That's an average of approximately -12.3% intraday!🚨 How much did we decline yesterday? Not even half the average we would have in prior hack situations. Not even -7%, guys! 🤡 Intraday drawdowns like these are just daily business at the Bitcoin Frontier and if you are not resilient enough, you have two options: Either you start following my friend @xapa03 and me to never miss an update about the Frontier and you cancel out the news and noise around Bitcoin, or you should leave this market and try your luck in something else somewhere else.🙏 Now that we have spoken about the facts and the maths to cleanse your mind and your emotions, let's dive deep into today's STS charts to see what Sheriff's crystal ball has prepared for us🔮: 1) For weeks, the following price levels have been major targets we have been pointing out: - $77k to $81k cluster as a strong rebound area (.786 fib) - $74k to $77k cluster as a "black swan" cluster area (.618 fib) - $71.6k to $72.5k cluster as a "super-duper-worst-case-scenario level (.5 fib) - rangebounding in those clusters until mid to end of November is possible - a break above $79k to $81k cluster would be a turnaround to factor in price-wise More information can be taken out of the first screenshot in chart brackets. We don't have to hit every of these cluster zones, but for now, we have hit .786 fib and we are close to hitting .618 fib and have gone for as low as $76k plain.⚠️ 2) Typical bull trend continuation patterns using fib retracements can be drawn as in the attached picture two below. Hitting .618 normally brings a pump to at least 1.272. Since we haven't hit .618 and maybe we won't hit it, we might go at least to this range's last high sitting at $87k and something between $87k and $97k (my favorite zone, again, is $90k to $94k moderately and conservatively speaking).🎯 3) In the daily timeframe, we have hit crucial levels marking super deep value zone territory. Just take a look at how green Paralia has become and how deep and bold SEI is consolidating in that green value zone. This has happened several times before, and EVERY TIME, spotting and detecting it has turned out to be a great entry for swing longs/another leg up in $BTC.👁️ Eventually, since people are logical creatures, one always wants news and data explaining or confirming why this or that has happened. What if I tell you that it's not that price follows narratives nor is it vice-versa? Honestly speaking, most of the time it's pure technical analysis and a bit of an overload of emotions people have been building up BECAUSE of the news and the result of the technical analysis playing out. It's not the news itself, it's the conclusions people create in their emotional minds due to news or due to technical analysis and then act accordingly to that mental construction in markets.🧠 I predicted the drawdown of $BTC because it has been rapidly and strongly inclining in a rising wedge (bearish pattern see picture 3 purple rising pattern) in my first #ShortTermSaturday episode (go check it out right now to prove it!).🤷‍♂️ The drawdown, that has now played out, had to follow, no matter what and now people try to find reasons for this drawdown: Bond Yields, Binance hack, ETF data, macro news, FOMC bla-bla, global crises, ecetera ecetera.📉 Fellas, why can't we just conclude that it had to break down because that's what Bitcoin naturally does when it goes up this steep and it ends up forming a rising wedge that is this strong combined with such a bold bearish divergence in RSI momentum. That's at least my "reasoning" for it why it had happened in that way. And by giving you a reason, I admit that I am human, because I also need confirmation and reasons why things happened, I may just tend to be more stoic and pragmatic than most of CT.🧘‍♂️ So for this Halloween, I hope you are not scared anymore by $BTC at least. Go get yourself a nice costume if you want, watch some scary movies (my favorites are the new Halloween movie triology movies btw), enjoy your candy and make some kids happy. Don't forget to talk to God in all of your moments, the darkest ones, the brightest ones, and in daily life. I admit, I like the concept and the idea of modern day Halloween and although, it anatognizes religious belief, it's a fun thing. But eventually, all that matters is you and your relationship with God. If you experienced one of your darkest moments this week, maybe you should give it a try, it will definitely help! Trust me! With that being said, have a wonderful and safe weekend! Sheriff

#ShortTermSaturday - Episode 6 (10/31/26) ✒️My dear followers, Sheriff here with a super-early STS today, I mean, what a "scary" week this has been for some of you, and Halloween has not even started. Some of you may have been scared out by the markets but Sheriff has everything under control.🎃 Well, at least for me speaking, I can state that I am zero % scared, maybe the kids knocking at my door tonight may scare me or at least I pretend to be super-scared (see my last attached photo what this might look like) but in perspective to Bitcoin, that's just daily business.👻 BUT, since the last days have been very stressful and confusing for some of you, I will give you a super-detailed view on the markets through my lens and my thoughts. This might become the biggest STS so far, but I have to leave you all my ideas on the current situation and some general things in $BTC💭 First of all, let's revisit the "casualties" from this week's incidents: Bitcoin experienced a volatile week, falling from around $82k to approximately $76,400. The decline was driven by weaker investor sentiment, falling technology stocks, geopolitical uncertainty and major security concerns at one of the largest CEX, Binance. The biggest and most crucial event of this week was a massive Binance security breach on October 29, with approximately $6.3 billion in digital assets reportedly affected. Around $3 billion was frozen, and Binance promised to cover customer losses. The incident increased uncertainty across the crypto market, although it did not indicate a vulnerability in Bitcoin's blockchain itself. That's this week's news📫 👆The paragraph above is what the herd news🐑 would say to you and what you might want to hear but actually it's simpler than that: $BTC has not changed a thing, friends, and my dear friend @xapa03 and I have clearly stated and analyzed in each and every of my #ShortTermSaturday episodes and Xapa's updates, that IF THERE WAS A BLACK SWAN TO BE HAPPENING, we would go at least to the $75k cluster, which we actually did not, guys! We didn't even go this low, at least for now. 💁‍♂️ Can you process what this means to us? Do you realize how "bad" this Binance breach situation could have ended? It was the biggest hack, plundering over 6.3 billion dollars in crypto value and Bitcoin actually fell ~6% intraday. Have you done your research on former CEX hacks and $BTC's respective reciprocal drawdowns? If not, here's a short overview for y'all: Mt. Gox (2014)➡️-13.6% Bitfinex (2016)➡️-23.3% Coincheck (2018)➡️-31.6% Binance (2019)➡️-0.5% KuCoin (2020)➡️-2.9% BitMart (2021)➡️-21.9% Poloniex (2023)➡️-4.6% DMM Bitcoin (2024)➡️-2.5% WazirX (2024)➡️-1.3% Bybit (2025)➡️-20.5% That's an average of approximately -12.3% intraday!🚨 How much did we decline yesterday? Not even half the average we would have in prior hack situations. Not even -7%, guys! 🤡 Intraday drawdowns like these are just daily business at the Bitcoin Frontier and if you are not resilient enough, you have two options: Either you start following my friend @xapa03 and me to never miss an update about the Frontier and you cancel out the news and noise around Bitcoin, or you should leave this market and try your luck in something else somewhere else.🙏 Now that we have spoken about the facts and the maths to cleanse your mind and your emotions, let's dive deep into today's STS charts to see what Sheriff's crystal ball has prepared for us🔮: 1) For weeks, the following price levels have been major targets we have been pointing out: - $77k to $81k cluster as a strong rebound area (.786 fib) - $74k to $77k cluster as a "black swan" cluster area (.618 fib) - $71.6k to $72.5k cluster as a "super-duper-worst-case-scenario level (.5 fib) - rangebounding in those clusters until mid to end of November is possible - a break above $79k to $81k cluster would be a turnaround to factor in price-wise More information can be taken out of the first screenshot in chart brackets. We don't have to hit every of these cluster zones, but for now, we have hit .786 fib and we are close to hitting .618 fib and have gone for as low as $76k plain.⚠️ 2) Typical bull trend continuation patterns using fib retracements can be drawn as in the attached picture two below. Hitting .618 normally brings a pump to at least 1.272. Since we haven't hit .618 and maybe we won't hit it, we might go at least to this range's last high sitting at $87k and something between $87k and $97k (my favorite zone, again, is $90k to $94k moderately and conservatively speaking).🎯 3) In the daily timeframe, we have hit crucial levels marking super deep value zone territory. Just take a look at how green Paralia has become and how deep and bold SEI is consolidating in that green value zone. This has happened several times before, and EVERY TIME, spotting and detecting it has turned out to be a great entry for swing longs/another leg up in $BTC.👁️ Eventually, since people are logical creatures, one always wants news and data explaining or confirming why this or that has happened. What if I tell you that it's not that price follows narratives nor is it vice-versa? Honestly speaking, most of the time it's pure technical analysis and a bit of an overload of emotions people have been building up BECAUSE of the news and the result of the technical analysis playing out. It's not the news itself, it's the conclusions people create in their emotional minds due to news or due to technical analysis and then act accordingly to that mental construction in markets.🧠 I predicted the drawdown of $BTC because it has been rapidly and strongly inclining in a rising wedge (bearish pattern see picture 3 purple rising pattern) in my first #ShortTermSaturday episode (go check it out right now to prove it!).🤷‍♂️ The drawdown, that has now played out, had to follow, no matter what and now people try to find reasons for this drawdown: Bond Yields, Binance hack, ETF data, macro news, FOMC bla-bla, global crises, ecetera ecetera.📉 Fellas, why can't we just conclude that it had to break down because that's what Bitcoin naturally does when it goes up this steep and it ends up forming a rising wedge that is this strong combined with such a bold bearish divergence in RSI momentum. That's at least my "reasoning" for it why it had happened in that way. And by giving you a reason, I admit that I am human, because I also need confirmation and reasons why things happened, I may just tend to be more stoic and pragmatic than most of CT.🧘‍♂️ So for this Halloween, I hope you are not scared anymore by $BTC at least. Go get yourself a nice costume if you want, watch some scary movies (my favorites are the new Halloween movie triology movies btw), enjoy your candy and make some kids happy. Don't forget to talk to God in all of your moments, the darkest ones, the brightest ones, and in daily life. I admit, I like the concept and the idea of modern day Halloween and although, it anatognizes religious belief, it's a fun thing. But eventually, all that matters is you and your relationship with God. If you experienced one of your darkest moments this week, maybe you should give it a try, it will definitely help! Trust me! With that being said, have a wonderful and safe weekend! Sheriff