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Bitcoin thesis under the presumption of a dual-wave k-shaped economy (COVID+AI):
- Bitcoin currently backtesting 2021 highs, as well as 2024 ETF rally consolidation and Trump presidency breakout, while sitting on mining production cost support.
- Crypto Clarity Act catalyzes summer 2026 breakout with growing interest in stable coins, AI agent digital infrastructure, and 24/7 markets via HyperLiquid w/ price speculation for most coveted tech IPOs in history.
- AI hardware stocks see local top through summer, potentially a pivot to agentic software infrastructure, robotics, and EV w/ rising oil prices. Crypto presumably corrects from breakout and consolidates at new baseline during period of uncertainty.
- AI buildout driving short-to-midterm inflation and rising rates. Paired w/ record debt, the Fed forced back into money printer mode via QE to protect solvency, which acts as a second wave of liquidity driver for risk asset appreciation.
- Fall 2026, Bitcoin mechanically driven by liquidity w/ returning narrative as a debasement hedge, possibly catalyzed by increased disclosure information, and a secure store of value in a decentralized, agentic economy.
- Halving date now loses impact on cycle speculation with circulating supply reaching asymptote and BTC becoming more institutionalized. Those waiting for October 2026 bottom pivot from sidelined to feeling front ran and adding fuel to the breakout for the bubble rally.
- Through 2027, additional narrative for parabolic rally is AI-driven energy cost increases make BTC, now believed as the future, looks relatively "cheap" to mine and begins perceived as an energy scarcity hedge.
- TradFi increased pivot into digital assets makes gold starts to look like the outdated store of value. Its 30T market cap becomes Bitcoin's valuation target for the 1M per coin dream.
- Presumably the market becomes over exposed to a store of value w/o real-world production. 2027 developments in AGI solicits a flight of capital and acts as a supply mechanism that cascades due to leverage, system risks, and quantum fears.
You can mutually bearish on $NVDA (120) and $SPX (6500) and bullish on $BTC (150K), $PUMP (0.08), $HYPE (750) through end of year.
Bond yields and inflation the product of the AI trade, presumably will be an isolated correction fundamentally. At the same time, bullish catalyst for bitcoin as inflation hedge and revenue generating alts for digital economy future.
Would be pretty funny to see the bulk of crypto bearish because of the AI trade and be sidelined for the most fruitful part of the cycle. Couldn't be me
$BTC
not sure why everyone is down on crypto or risk averse, same fundamentals and macro environment as when it formed a bottom but w/ growing acceptance of bull cycle timing and a digital agentic future
think we rip up from here this week
$BTC back to ATH by midterms.
BTC to 150K and TOTAL to 5.5T by end of 2026.
bitcoin:native
Got a pretty good pullback through the previous expansion inefficiency, making for a spring on volume.
Now in the process of a reclaim of the consolidation range and retesting the lows.
Given high timeframe bias and quantum/AI FUD that came with the spring, expecting that low to hold.
bitcoin:native to $125K sometime in November is my base case. Believe that the past year correction was more of a bear trend in a grander bubble cycle, rather than traditional bear market. This is based on higher timeframe charts and fairly few alts breaching previous ATHs. Still think you prioritize alt selection w/ a fundamentally driven perspective to maximize returns, but the upside over the next year on anything with a pulse will eclipse 2023/2024 by an order of magnitude.
BTC going to 1.4M/coin, TOTAL to 60T mcap by Sep 2027 type of projection that I don't expect anyone to believe in...yet.
For this initial leg allocated primarily to $PUMP, $HYPE, $PENGU based on high timeframe OTHERS/BTC breakout. Converted some spot to longs. All of them have widespread belief based on revenue, PMF, and/or brand. Upside in mindshare alts really isn't priced in.
$PUMP undervalued based on revenue parity and expectation for continued meme speculation in a bullish trend. Q4 target = 0.06
$HYPE undervalued due to US market accessibility, continued platform growth w/ perp thesis, and general volume increases during BTC uptrend. Q4 target = 780
$PENGU undervalued relative to peak bull market meme valuations + being most iconic NFT + only mainstream crypto web3 brand + future projection of some value accrual in future IPO. Q4 target = 0.2
Will update at next local top.
bitcoin:native
Got a pretty good pullback through the previous expansion inefficiency, making for a spring on volume.
Now in the process of a reclaim of the consolidation range and retesting the lows.
Given high timeframe bias and quantum/AI FUD that came with the spring, expecting that low to hold.
bitcoin:native to $125K sometime in November is my base case. Believe that the past year correction was more of a bear trend in a grander bubble cycle, rather than traditional bear market. This is based on higher timeframe charts and fairly few alts breaching previous ATHs. Still think you prioritize alt selection w/ a fundamentally driven perspective to maximize returns, but the upside over the next year on anything with a pulse will eclipse 2023/2024 by an order of magnitude.
BTC going to 1.4M/coin, TOTAL to 60T mcap by Sep 2027 type of projection that I don't expect anyone to believe in...yet.
For this initial leg allocated primarily to $PUMP, $HYPE, $PENGU based on high timeframe OTHERS/BTC breakout. Converted some spot to longs. All of them have widespread belief based on revenue, PMF, and/or brand. Upside in mindshare alts really isn't priced in.
$PUMP undervalued based on revenue parity and expectation for continued meme speculation in a bullish trend. Q4 target = 0.06
$HYPE undervalued due to US market accessibility, continued platform growth w/ perp thesis, and general volume increases during BTC uptrend. Q4 target = 780
$PENGU undervalued relative to peak bull market meme valuations + being most iconic NFT + only mainstream crypto web3 brand + future projection of some value accrual in future IPO. Q4 target = 0.2
Will update at next local top.
$BTC
high timeframe bias is bullish uptrend through Nov. toward 125K, so anticipating market structure trend to preserve within local low timeframe consolidations
low timeframe have been consolidating in range within Sep 21 expansion. presume that we are printing Wyckoff reaccumulation type consolidation with local PA being the spring area with a sweep of range lows.
others/btc on high timeframe looks pre-breakout from a cycle perspective so targeting good alts for primary allocation
this is a good point to increase alt spot in HYPE/PUMP (revenue barbell) or PENGU (web3 IP) imo
still at a point where no one really has meaningful bull market targets out of disbelief for the current trend
$BTC
high timeframe bias is bullish uptrend through Nov. toward 125K, so anticipating market structure trend to preserve within local low timeframe consolidations
low timeframe have been consolidating in range within Sep 21 expansion. presume that we are printing Wyckoff reaccumulation type consolidation with local PA being the spring area with a sweep of range lows.
others/btc on high timeframe looks pre-breakout from a cycle perspective so targeting good alts for primary allocation
this is a good point to increase alt spot in HYPE/PUMP (revenue barbell) or PENGU (web3 IP) imo
$BTC on a road to 1M/coin
11/26: 125K
12/26: 150K
01/27: 150K
02/27: 200K
03/27: 300K
04/27: 375K
05/27: 350K
06/27: 425K
07/27: 550K
08/27: 900K
09/27: 1M
"Halving date now loses impact on cycle speculation with circulating supply reaching asymptote and BTC becoming more institutionalized. Those waiting for October 2026 bottom pivot from sidelined to feeling front ran and adding fuel to the breakout for the bubble rally"
Bitcoin thesis under the presumption of a dual-wave k-shaped economy (COVID+AI):
- Bitcoin currently backtesting 2021 highs, as well as 2024 ETF rally consolidation and Trump presidency breakout, while sitting on mining production cost support.
- Crypto Clarity Act catalyzes summer 2026 breakout with growing interest in stable coins, AI agent digital infrastructure, and 24/7 markets via HyperLiquid w/ price speculation for most coveted tech IPOs in history.
- AI hardware stocks see local top through summer, potentially a pivot to agentic software infrastructure, robotics, and EV w/ rising oil prices. Crypto presumably corrects from breakout and consolidates at new baseline during period of uncertainty.
- AI buildout driving short-to-midterm inflation and rising rates. Paired w/ record debt, the Fed forced back into money printer mode via QE to protect solvency, which acts as a second wave of liquidity driver for risk asset appreciation.
- Fall 2026, Bitcoin mechanically driven by liquidity w/ returning narrative as a debasement hedge, possibly catalyzed by increased disclosure information, and a secure store of value in a decentralized, agentic economy.
- Halving date now loses impact on cycle speculation with circulating supply reaching asymptote and BTC becoming more institutionalized. Those waiting for October 2026 bottom pivot from sidelined to feeling front ran and adding fuel to the breakout for the bubble rally.
- Through 2027, additional narrative for parabolic rally is AI-driven energy cost increases make BTC, now believed as the future, looks relatively "cheap" to mine and begins perceived as an energy scarcity hedge.
- TradFi increased pivot into digital assets makes gold starts to look like the outdated store of value. Its 30T market cap becomes Bitcoin's valuation target for the 1M per coin dream.
- Presumably the market becomes over exposed to a store of value w/o real-world production. 2027 developments in AGI solicits a flight of capital and acts as a supply mechanism that cascades due to leverage, system risks, and quantum fears.
Atlas retweeted
HTF expecting BTC to rally pretty hard toward ATH and above to 150K by early November, then consolidation until 2027.
Believe OTHERS/BTC generally 2x's over that timeframe with selective outperformance in chosen alts
Personally, capital concentration in revenue barbell PUMP+HYPE and PENGU (IP/brand matters)
Should clarify that I think this is a major top on $ZEC and that it consolidates through 2027 while rest of market goes on a run.
$ZEC finally hit the target zone mapped out from earlier this year, right before midterms as projected. Now seeing a bit of a shift in momentum.
Honestly do think that $ZEC being up 50x over the past year is a sign of things to come for other alts over the next 3-6 months ($SOL, $HYPE, $NEAR, $TAO, $PUMP, etc.) and absolutely insane opportunities for innovation onchain + established memes from last cycle.
At the end of the day, $BTC has more network trust and institutional adoption, so I wouldn't be surprised to see $ZEC undergo a high timeframe correction while the rest of the market wakes up from the bear market lows.
$BTC going to 1.4M by end of 2027.
Atlas retweeted
Buy as much $HYPE as you can before price discovery w/ US market availability. Still the number one crypto product by a good measure and should be the #2 spot.
For high time frame trend shifts, I've had some good experience w/ trend-based fib extension targets. Good for speculation on price discovery and perhaps self-fulfilling when there are limited tools for doing so. This is all in the context of my belief in a broad bullish trend shift for BTC and crypto as a whole, based on my previous BTC narrative comments.
For $HYPE here on the daily, taking first higher low and impulse from downtrend breakout earlier in 2026 as base of initial move. Peak of summer consolidation near ATH as end of that initial move, and then next leg initiating from summer lows. 1.618 and 2.618 would be consensus target levels, but obv would require some fundamental catalysts in addition to broader crypto move.
Think the market is capable of making an argument that $HYPE should be valued on a revenue and speculation basis more than $ETH as the main driver for tokenized stocks, expanding perp markets, and w/ benefit of flywheel fee buybacks. And now we've seen political support to open demand for US market accessibility.
Eventually, FDV/unlocks become a counter argument, but I think that stays out of reach with the presumption that $HYPE expansion is a part of a broader crypto move with $BTC, $ETH, and $TOTAL moving the goal posts.
