https://xitter.cf/t.co/LBOHEN3jNQ
Joined May 2026
- Tweets150
- Following0
- Followers124
- Likes43
🇨🇳 How much will China’s military spending grow by 2030?
Preseen forecasts a 23% increase in real terms between 2026 and 2030, with an 80% range of +7.5% to +39.2%.
After 31 consecutive years of increases, the question is less whether spending will grow and more how fast.
👉 Full forecast: preseen.com/q/HQGsCgXDHmh8uz…
Preseen is now available on @Idealab.ai to put forecasts in the hands of founders deciding what business to start.
Idealab.ai makes more than 1.2 million business ideas freely searchable, drawing on @Bill_Gross's 50-year entrepreneurial experience.
Through a Preseen report, users can request forecasts on developments that matter to a business they're considering.
Each forecast includes evidence and reasoning, so founders can examine assumptions and decide what to investigate before committing further work.
Preseen's bots won @metaculus Fall 2025 FutureEval and Q2 2026 Market Pulse, and placed third overall in the Spring 2026 Metaculus Cup as the highest-ranked bot.
What business ideas have you been thinking about? Use Preseen on idealab.ai to investigate the timing.
Forecast Peek 👀
How many cities with 5M+ residents will face 90 consecutive days of mandatory water rationing between 2027 and 2040?
Preseen’s median forecast: 22 cities, with an 80% range of 10–39.
1/5
South Asia leads the forecast with 8.2 expected cities, followed by Africa (5.8) and Latin America and the Caribbean (2.3).
4/5
Climate change, population growth and water demand push the count up. Better infrastructure and water management could keep it lower.
The model gives a 10% chance of 40 or more cities.
👉 Full forecast: preseen.com/q/_5yVdZ1dqYb7aj…
5/5
Forecast Peek 👀
Are aliens visiting Earth? 👽
Preseen gives just a 1.6% chance that any UFO sighting will be confirmed as intelligent extraterrestrial visitation by 2100.
1/4
The most likely path to YES isn't another blurry UFO video. It's discovering a probe or other extraterrestrial technology already near Earth and proving where it came from.
3/4
Better telescopes and detection tools could help, but finding something unusual isn't proof of aliens.
👉 Full forecast: preseen.com/q/w5t36n7-5RAGZk…
4/4
Forecast Peek 👀
When will a city first carry more than 1 million commercial eVTOL flying taxi passengers in a year?
Preseen’s median forecast: December 2036.
9% chance by 2030, 70% by 2040, and 88% by 2050.
1/5
Dubai is building its flying taxi network, but its airport vertiport has an advertised design capacity of 170,000 passengers a year.
In China, EHang is running trials in Guangzhou and Hefei, but commercial passenger operations have yet to reach scale.
4/5
Why 2036?
Certification, fleet expansion, infrastructure and passenger demand all take time.
What matters next isn't another test flight, but whether cities can turn early launches into reliable, high-volume transport.
👉 Full forecast: preseen.com/q/EzyLKTN4QNseFJ…
5/5
