@ApacSmacki
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Hoops, Pucks, Bats, Ball, Stocks, Crypto you name it. I've studied every statistic for the past 30 years. Sports Analytics and Finance are the same thing!
Ape Land
Joined June 2020
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This whole slowed down AI seems more about geo-politics. Its too coordinated to paint China as some rogue agent for AI development. The fact that Claude is still pushing for their IPO, I bet the narrative will swing around and be like US AI firms are responsible AI builders.
AnaLytiCs_APEist retweeted
Look at other high profile closed end funds like DXYZ and SSSS. They don't own much robotics, but DXYZ just exited SpaceX, they have a ton of cash and will deploy into the next investment. DXYZ trades at NAV. So you aren't overpaying, but buying at the institutional price.
Time to check out listed venture funds like SSSS and DXYZ the first is trading at a 15% discount to NAV, while the latter exactly at NAV. If you want exposure to unicorns as a retail, this current pricing is probably the best you get. DXYZ pre SpaceX IPO was trading 3x of NAV.
Let's revisit in 10 months! Dotcom bust, Livermore's Accumulation Cylinder, Anthropic and OpenAI's pending IPOs all line up. You might feel like King the past few years. But the Real King is the one that can step down. However, King's are always overthrown and never step down...
My only caveat is that do they and when will they make an investment. I feel confident a fund that has deployed in names like SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic are definitely looking at Robotics as well. Question is if they feel it is fairly price and not if they can get access.
People aping into Robotics plays like BOT are paying 3-4x of NAV. As retail you are basically buying it at 3-4 times the price institutional investors pay. So thats how much the valution it needs to grow when they exit the investment for you to break even... I have a better idea
Mentioned this early last year and the stock has more than doubled since. This is a way better play than crypto alts. The Trump administration is all about institutionalizing crypto and the focus will be adoption from TradFi. $GalaxyDigital is in a prime spot to capitalize on the growth!
What if you own 1 million $Trump tokens you will be invited to an annual Mar-a-Lago event and where you get to meet Elon and other celebrities. If Justin Sun can pay $4.5 million for a lunch with Warren. What is the price to get wasted with Trump and Elon!
The $Trump coin nuke is going to be so nasty whenever it kicks in. Just going to stay on the sidelines and eat my popcorn. Can probably get a lot more stupid before it gets sane.
The lion has roared!
In 2024, Hyperliquid
1) redefined the crypto meta to put community above all. With Hyperliquid, there are no investors, no market makers, and no fees paid to any company. Billions of dollars of value were created by a common vision and relentless hard work. This value went directly to hundreds of thousands of users, building a passionate community with real skin in the game. You all continue to inspire me every day.
2) became the first mature, permissionless financial hub where liquidity and UX matched the most liquid centralized venues. Recent highlights include $15B 24-hour volume, reaching 20% of Bybit futures and 8% of Binance futures volume. Unlike CEXs, Hyperliquid accomplished this as a user-owned protocol.
3) reinvented several of the most entrenched and predatory centralized practices to be crypto-aligned: fair, transparent, and accessible.
Examples of the last point:
1) Listings have always been controlled by CEXs that extort projects through listing fees to maximize their own profits. This is absurd, as the community drives long term success. CEXs tempt projects with immediate liquidity but kill their ultimate vision. On Hyperliquid, listings are fair, permissionless, and transparent: anyone can bid in the auction to deploy a new spot asset. Projects that want to control their own fate increasingly see Hyperliquid as one-stop infrastructure for both the tech stack and liquidity.
2) Historically, CEXs capture the lion's share of revenue in crypto. On Hyperliquid, builders are already bootstrapping 9 figure businesses. Some are monetizing >$100k per day in revenue entirely onchain through builder codes, which are a primitive built into the L1 to allow customizable monetization for applications. Others carve out and own entire verticals in the budding ecosystem.
Builders are tapping into Hyperliquid as their blockchain of choice, and I’m excited for more and more to join the ecosystem this year.
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In 2025, I expect the technology of Hyperliquid to close much of the gap towards housing all of finance. The maturing technology will include a growing and permissionless validator set while improving the world-class liquidity infrastructure that Hyperliquid provides.
Some concrete predictions:
1) Multiple billion dollar applications/protocols will be built on Hyperliquid. They will own their full stack but tap into the ever-growing liquidity and community.
2) More than 50% of volume from new defi projects will happen natively on Hyperliquid. Hungry teams will value the integration of CEX-level liquidity with the permissionless accessibility of blockchains.
3) Millions of users will use Hyperliquid without knowing about the blockchain at all. Just like web2, users will experience the magic of their favorite products without thinking about the underlying technology.
These predictions are ambitious, but as I look back and realize just how much we've accomplished in a year, I think they're quite reasonable.
Back to work!
Some might be wondering what is the cause of the BTC dump yesterday. My suspicion is people selling beginning of the year to realize profits. Most didn’t want to pay taxes last year. Selling first days of the new year may not be the worst idea. I still like to think inaguration is positive catalyst, but feeling a little uneasy that we didn’t get a strong rebound. Usually sell offs happening over days and comes with a dirty wick that liquidates a bunch to end the down swing. Considering we still grinding down makes me feel the bottom not in yet.
Guess we are getting that dip. Still bullish and bid at 3495 and bidding at next support level for Eth. Always scary to buy on drops, but you hope to catch a bid on the big wicks. Only catalyst a bit concerned is if we see further liquidations during Asia hours tomorrow.
We are 2 weeks from Trump’s inauguration date. This is definitely a catalyst for Crypto in general. For those waiting for one more chance to buy on a dip, it is possible but my guess is once we are within a week out everyone starts to ape in. Gradually stacking spot now is sensible, but if you get the dip that’s where I would probably consider using some leverage on some perps. Make sure you have stop losses in place. This is a good risk reward play IMO.
These are option limits. You don’t request to increase option limits by 10x if you aren’t seeing massive inflows on BTC. Absolutely necessity for IBiT to function.
We are 2 weeks from Trump’s inauguration date. This is definitely a catalyst for Crypto in general. For those waiting for one more chance to buy on a dip, it is possible but my guess is once we are within a week out everyone starts to ape in. Gradually stacking spot now is sensible, but if you get the dip that’s where I would probably consider using some leverage on some perps. Make sure you have stop losses in place. This is a good risk reward play IMO.
$PoScidon continues trending up. Was a 4 time of posting. Now at 5.60. Market cap only 17 Mio. These are the small bets that 20-30x worth taking. 170 MC doesn’t seem crazy at all. Half billion MC is also possible in this cycle. Do your own math!
This is exactly what I was talking about. Low was in the 21s and then started running back up. 21, 25 entry is all the same if you have conviction. If Eth can break and flip 3700 levels to support then $Hype goes Turbo.
Heavy bids for $Hype at the 0.618
level. My guess is everyone trying to time bids at the support. But we’ll end up seeing some front running in the 20-21 range. Unless BTC nukes I think it starts trending up back to the 24-25 after it taps support and goes back to take out ATH by end of the month. At the end of the day buying in the 20-25 range is all the same. You either have conviction on Hype or you don’t. If a few dollars is preventing you from stacking then you don’t have conviction.