Meteorologist and climate scientist, studying climate change, sea-level rise, and tropical cyclones. Associate Professor @RowanUniversity
Joined April 2013
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By my quick calculations earlier this evening, Hurricane Milton falls in the 99th percentile of fastest intensification rates observed in the Atlantic, in terms of both 12- and 24-hour wind speed increases. It's also reached near record low pressures.
Update: Hurricane Milton has now officially jumped from Category 1 to Category 5 in under 10 hours. Even having done the research that shows that this is what we can expect in a warmer climate doesn't make it less crazy to watch.
Milton has intensified from a Tropical Storm to Cat 4 hurricane in <24 hrs, and jumped from Cat 1 to Cat 4 in <12 hrs. My work shows this kind of strengthening is 2-3 times more likely now than in the 70s-80s...Milton joins Helene in this group of extremes
nature.com/articles/s41598-0…
Milton has intensified from a Tropical Storm to Cat 4 hurricane in <24 hrs, and jumped from Cat 1 to Cat 4 in <12 hrs. My work shows this kind of strengthening is 2-3 times more likely now than in the 70s-80s...Milton joins Helene in this group of extremes
nature.com/articles/s41598-0…
Storm surge hazards are worsened by large storms (>chance peak surge overlaps high tide) and sea-level rise (which gives surge flooding a "headstart" in a warming climate). Cedar Key and surrounding regions are likely see a historical surge from #Helene amplified by both tonight.
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Andra Garner retweeted
ICYMI: Last week we hosted Dr. Timothy Collins (@WilkesCenter), @AndraJReed (@RowanUniversity) & Dr. Antonia Sebastian (@fldhzd @GillingsGlobal) for a briefing on how a #hurricane affects infrastructure, health, and the environment. Free to quote/clip/use: bit.ly/3XMWiy2
ALT Hurricane winds and rains blow through a city street with a set of yellow stucco housing.
My recent research shows that, comparing storms from the 70s-80s to storms since 2001, modern Atlantic hurricanes are >3x as likely to strengthen from Category 1 or less into Major Hurricanes within 12 hours—I guess #HurricaneHelene wanted to join the club nature.com/articles/s41598-0…
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#TyphoonYagi looks to be lining up tragically well with findings from our recent @Nature_NPJ paper, where we noted changes to typhoon tracks that lead to future increases in both peak intensity and duration compared to historical Hai Phong storms nature.com/articles/s41612-0…
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#HurricaneDebby is looking like it may be a notable rain event for most of the East Coast... Keep an eye on the forecast if you're in the region!
11 pm EDT Aug. 5 Key Messages for Tropical Storm #Debby.
nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic…
ALT Key Messages: 1. Potentially historic heavy rainfall across southeast Georgia and the coastal plain of South Carolina through Saturday morning will likely result in areas of catastrophic flooding. Heavy rainfall will likely result in considerable flooding impacts for portions of central and northern Florida and across portions of central and northeast North Carolina through Saturday morning. 2. Dangerous storm surge and tropical storm conditions will spread northward along the southeast U.S. coast from northeastern Florida to North Carolina through the middle of the week. Storm surge and tropical storm watches and warnings have been issued for portions of these areas. Residents in the storm surge watch and warning area should follow any advice given by local officials. 3. In portions of Florida where Debby has passed, deadly hazards remain, including downed power lines and flooded areas. Ensure generators are properly ventilated to avoid carbon monoxide poisoning. Exercise ca
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The #AGU2024 abstract deadline is tomorrow! If you do #CoastalClimate research, we hope you'll submit to our session! agu.confex.com/agu/agu24/pre…
Our #AGU2024 session welcomes abstracts on past, present, or future #CoastalChange including #SeaLevelChange, #TropicalCyclones, #CoastalFlooding, #StormSurge, #Earthquakes, #Tsunamis, and #Ecosystems. agu.confex.com/agu/agu24/pre…
@theAGU @isabelhong_geo
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Calling all #CoastalClimate researchers! If you're going to be at #AGU2024, consider submitting an abstract to our session "GC066 Dynamic Coastlines amidst Changing Sea Levels: Advancements in Understanding of Coastal Hazards and Climate Change Impacts"agu.confex.com/agu/agu24/pre…
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Our #AGU2024 session welcomes abstracts on past, present, or future #CoastalChange including #SeaLevelChange, #TropicalCyclones, #CoastalFlooding, #StormSurge, #Earthquakes, #Tsunamis, and #Ecosystems. agu.confex.com/agu/agu24/pre…
@theAGU @isabelhong_geo
🚨New paper alert!🚨Excited to share that my work with colleagues from @EOS_SG and @Penn_EES looking at changing tropical cyclone tracks in SE Asia has been published in @Nature_NPJ!
@RowanUniversity @NTUsg @SeaLevelNTU @dhruba_samanta @MannResearch
rdcu.be/dMvJI
Key changes to storm tracks in a warmer future include:
1) Poleward shifts in both genesis and peak intensification
2) Genesis and fastest intensification occur closer to coastlines
3) Storms moving most slowly and persisting longer over land
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Andra Garner retweeted
We know that as we warm the planet, we’re warming our sea surface temperatures as well,” explains @AndraJReed an assistant professor at Rowan University in the US. @MarkPoynting
#CycloneBeryl
bbc.com/news/articles/c9r3g5…
Andra Garner retweeted
Why Beryl Is a Bad Sign for This Year’s Hurricane Season via @NYTimes featuring @AndraJReed from NJ’s @RowanUniversity nytimes.com/2024/07/01/weath…
Category 5. On 1 July. Just over 72 hours after reaching Tropical Storm status. Again... Unprecedented? Yes. Unexpected? Not to anyone who studies climate change.
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Unprecedented, but totally expected: that's the phrase that's been coming to mind as I talk to folks about #HurricaneBeryl today. As we warm our planet and oceans, it should come as no surprise that hurricanes are reaching greater intensities, more quickly, earlier in the season.
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Really cool graphic showing paths of recent reconnaissance missions to gather critical data on #Beryl!
Two aircraft reconnaissance missions (US Air Force & NOAA) sampled the inner core of Hurricane Beryl this morning as it rapidly intensified into a category 4 hurricane - here's a loop of their paths and flight-level wind measurements:
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