Editor, The Real War newsletter; Former US Army HQ Staff Officer; National Security Strategist and Geopolitics Expert

Salt Lake City, UT
Joined August 2016
It turns out Iran didn't shoot a short-range anti-ship ballistic missiles (ASBMs) at the USS George Washington and an accompanying destroyer escort but rather medium-range hypersonic "carrier killer" Qassem Bassir ASBMs that can reach speeds of Mach 5-8. This is the first time in US history that we know of that a US near peer competitor has fired a hypersonic missile of any kind against a US warship. The US Navy has very little defense against hypersonic missiles and so these Iranian hypersonic ASBMs pose a deadly threat to US aircraft carriers and their escorts. If even one or two hypersonic missiles hit one of our carriers and it caught fire and was forced to withdraw from the region smouldering it would be a massive blow to US prestige. That is something Iran could do at any time whenever it chooses to do so if Trump fooolishly decides to keep escalating his illegal, unconstitutional imperial war of aggression against Iran.
BREAKING: For the first time since the start of the war, Iran's IRGC attempted to hit a US nuclear aircraft carrier in the Gulf of Oman yesterday, using the Qasem Basir medium-range anti-ship ballistic missile which has a range of approximately 1,200km. In response to the strike, US CENTCOM has permanently disabled 3 Iranian oil tankers, including the M/T Downy off the coast of Kharg Island, the M/T Stark 1 near Jask, and the M/T Kylo in the Gulf of Oman. Iran now directly warns Trump that "All US naval ships are now targets. Any strikes on Iranian ships will be met with multiple strikes on vessels linked to countries participating in the anti-Iranian aggression." Iran is again launching anti-ship cruise missiles toward a US aircraft carrier and/or vessels under US Navy escort in the past few minutes, per initial reports.
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There it is. I thought they would at least wait until after the midterms, but nope. His approval is ~ 40 today, but there's gonna be a big bipartisan effort to turn him into W or Carter.
Trump job approval 🟢 Approve: 29% 🟤 Disapprove: 68% Lowest approval he has recorded with any pollster in either term. American Research Group | 9/16-20 | RV americanresearchgroup.com/ec…
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Is President Trump planning to kidnap Iran's President and Foreign Minister as he kidnapped the President and First Lady of Communist Venezuela by preventing him from flying home from NYC on an Iranian airliner?
Iran's President Pezeshkian is scheduled to address the UN General Assembly in New York on September 23, the same day Bessent says all Iranian airlines will be shut down around the world. He is expected to land at JFK Airport on an Iranian-registered commercial airliner converted for government use and will need refueling in New York for the flight home on September 23 or after.
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David Pyne 🇺🇸 retweeted
Republicans would’ve swept the midterms had they released the Epstein files and not started a war with Iran for Israel.
BREAKING: Democrats projected to win young men aged 18-24 in the midterms, after Trump won the demographic by 15 points in 2024. 79% chance.
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David Pyne 🇺🇸 retweeted
All of a sudden, tons of Republicans are cutting ads and statements calling for the Iran war to end. Seems pretty clear that the GOP campaign committees got a dire memo over the weekend.
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David Pyne 🇺🇸 retweeted
ACTION ALERT 🚨 Tell Your House Reps & Senators to STOP the transfer of 40,000 2K-pound BOMBS to Israel at US taxpayer expense of $2.8 BILLION! See link in 2nd post. Takes 2 mins.
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As I was told, the Trump internal polling looks a LOT like my D+11. I've been banging the table for a year that we would be in this situation (you're welcome) but not a lot a pollster can do to help, now. Now it's down to $, electioneering, lies, and October surprises.
I’ve been hearing a lot of freak-outs from on the group campaign people and this is very much real. So, save me from your stupid comments that I’m dooming or blackpilling.
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David Pyne 🇺🇸 retweeted
Step 1- Remove Mike Johnson Step 2- Put Thomas Massie in as Speaker of the House Step 3- Watch Congress return to work, the debt shrink, wars end, and civil liberties return
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Trump holds an event at the White House but forgets there's no audio because he banned most of the press. This is a humiliation ritual at this point. You can NOT make it up.
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David Pyne 🇺🇸 retweeted
Trump hit a career-low 32% approval in Reuters/Ipsos, down from 47% at inauguration. The real story is inside the GOP. Republican approval dropped 9 points in one week (82%→73%), and for the first time more Republicans disapprove than approve of his handling of cost of living (51-44%). The Iran war and surging fuel prices are the drivers, both contradict his 2024 pitch of taming inflation and ending foreign wars. Midterms are six weeks away.
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David Pyne 🇺🇸 retweeted
BREAKING: The Trump administration announces state-run media, similar to Russia and North Korea, launching "Trump TV," its own 24/7 streaming channel of the administration's remarks and events, going live tonight at 7 PM and claiming "just the news that matters most - straight from the Trump Administration." This is the first time in US history an American president has launched a formal state-media channel in his own name. It comes 3 days after the White House banned CNN, MS NOW and Politico, and hours after the five-network TV pool stopped covering Trump's events in response, leaving a White House event today with video but no sound. The White House is now broadcasting the president itself.
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David Pyne 🇺🇸 retweeted
BREAKING: Just today, it has been confirmed that BOTH Iraq and Turkiye are halting flights to Iran in order to comply with U.S. sectoral and individual sanctions under the Trump Administration’s Operation Economic Outcast. After these sanctions were announced, many attempted to downplay their significance. But these aren’t a TACO. As I told Reuters shortly after the sanctions were initially announced: “The United States is using sanctions to effectively blockade Iran’s aviation sector from the rest of the world. That represents a major expansion of the economic war, with foreseeable consequences for civilian travel, commerce, supply chains and Iran’s ability to sustain their strained economy.” With the closure of both Turkish and Iraqi routes, this WILL have bite to the Iranian economy. The bigger question I have is: Who is this intended to hurt? The Iranian civilians, or the “regime”? From my point of view, the economic warfare at this point ONLY seeks to maximize civilian suffering inside of Iran.
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David Pyne 🇺🇸 retweeted
There have only EVER been SIX Republicans to sign a discharge petition to expose a global child sex trafficking ring that includes CEOs, royalty, ambassadors, donors, & heads of state. If you have even one drop of patriotic God fearing blood in your body, defend my colleagues.
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David Pyne 🇺🇸 retweeted
The USA unilaterally grounding Iranian airlines means we are forcing the issue of USD supremacy vs a new BRICS+ world financial order. No way will Russia or China obey these orders. So Trump is forcing the world to choose sides in a highly visible way. Obey Trump, or else. Or else, side with Russia, China and most of the BRICS. It's going to be a wild fall and winter.
JUST IN: US SEC. BESSENT ON SHUTTING DOWN IRANIAN AIRLINES “On September 23, all Iranian airlines will be shut down around the world. How do we do that? If they land, you cannot provide them with fuel, you cannot provide them with landing services, you cannot sell them tickets, or you will be knocked out of the dollar system.”
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David Pyne 🇺🇸 retweeted
BREAKING: US Treasury Secretary Bessent says all Iranian airlines will be "shut down around the world" on September 23, with any airport or company that provides them fuel, landing services or ticket sales to be "knocked out of the dollar system." "If they land, you cannot provide them with fuel, you cannot provide them with landing services, you cannot sell them tickets or you will be knocked out of the dollar system," Bessent says. Trump told Fox News yesterday his options on Iran were "wiping Iran out, letting them rot economically, or making a deal." The order lands hardest on US partners, as Iranian carriers fly mainly to Dubai, Istanbul, Doha and Iraq.
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Fox News just joined four other TV networks in dripping all coverage of Trump's events in protest of his dictatorial decsion to ban three liberal news networks from the White House this past weekend. Since Trump loves to be the center of attention, either he will call Fox News executives to try to get them to relent or else he will drop his ban.
BREAKING: ABC, CBS, CNN, NBC and Fox News, all five networks of the White House TV pool, have just suspended all coverage of Trump's public events effective immediately over the White House ban on CNN, MS NOW and Politico, with no replacement pool, saying "no administration should restrict a news organization because it objects to its reporting." The White House left the primary TV pool slot empty for today, the day CNN was due to lead it for Trump's trip to the UN General Assembly in New York, after CNN's White House reporter had her pass confiscated on Saturday. Trump begins UN week, two days after cutting short Camp David over a possible escalation with Iran, with no shared network feed of his public events.
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David Pyne 🇺🇸 retweeted
The "Ukraine" is now just a mostly depopulated expendable territory used as a launching pad to fire NATO missiles and drones at Russia. The red area shown here is just a cutout to give NATO plausible deniability. Note the launching pad's proximity to Moscow.
Moscow, last night. This was committed by Britain/US/EU/NATO via their Ukrainian proxies. Meanwhile the West screams about a Russian threat to Europe. If we had just done this to Washington, swathes of London, Brussels, Berlin and Paris would be smouldering ruins today.
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David Pyne 🇺🇸 retweeted
BREAKING: World oil inventories are projected to hit their operational floor of 6.8 billion barrels this month if the Strait of Hormuz stays shut, per JPMorgan. Below this level, pipelines can't maintain pressure and refineries start failing, regardless of what price oil is trading at. This would mark the first time in recorded history the world has had to worry about physical oil availability, not just price.
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German Chancellor Merz needs to resign after this collossal emabrassing CDU election defeat and allow the AFD to lead a new coalition government before he provokes Russia to destroy Germany.
MERKEL’S LEGACY IS DEAD. Merz’ and Merkel’s party CDU suffers the greatest loss in history: 4.9%. That means they’re OUT. No state parliament representation. The AfD WINS AGAIN. 🇩🇪💙
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David Pyne 🇺🇸 retweeted
BREAKING: Perpetual Wars vs Perpetual Peace Perpetual wars have no net benefits for anyone who fights, funds, or lives through them. Yet, our politicians and corporate titans seem to love them. War destroys lives, capital, and institutions while transferring resources to a narrow set of elite interests. Most claims made (usually by those who don’t have to fight) of any benefits usually describe positive side effects that accrue to states, contractors, or elites, or historical processes that occurred despite war rather than because endless conflict is desirable. Never forget, war is all about power and control (don’t kid yourselves). Some geniuses claim that continuous low-level or proxy conflicts can stabilize ruling coalitions. An external enemy (the U.S., Russia, China, Iran, North Korea) focuses public attention, then justifies emergency powers, and further reduces elite challenges (all while the ruling elites of those nations become wealthier).  Yes, there is some data that prolonged interstate wars lower risk of a coup in the dominant powers. Orwell’s seminal book, 1984, framed this explicitly: The three superstates (the U.S., Russia & China) keep a managed war going to consume surplus production, keep living standards low, and prevent the population from becoming “too comfortable and hence, in the long run, too intelligent.” The slogan “War is Peace” captures the logic that a permanent external threat substitutes for genuine internal legitimacy (in the current context, think the proxy wars in Ukraine and across the entire Middle East). The same dynamic appears in military-industrial complexes. Defense firms, their suppliers, and politicians who receive campaign support gain from steady procurement, cost-plus contracts, and revolving-door employment (yes, been there done that, so I have that set of experiences, but like my father used to say, the older I get the smarter my father becomes).  That all said, localized “managed conflict” tests weapons and keeps budgets high without risking the core economies of the sponsoring powers (Or so they tell us). But in recent times, our government always fails to mention our out of control debt, absolute corruption without accountability, and blatant lying about how the war is being prosecuted.  So what? If there are any benefits at all, these fall to the few and not the many. These are items like, elite cohesion, contractor profits, accelerated gadgets (AI, robotics, space applications), and potential to create larger states (a globalist’s dream scenario). These are all real for specific actors in specific historic windows. However, they are purchased with thousands of corpses, ruined cities, displaced populations, veterans’ trauma, and decades of lower living standards for everyone else. Data and history both show that societies that can keep conflict limited and finite do better than those locked into open-ended campaigns.  Perpetual war is a tool of power maintenance, not a general engine of human flourishing.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ If we don't end these cycles of perpetual wars, we will end up in a perpetual cycle of decline, the speed of which seems to be accelerating instead of slowing down.  Keep in mind, a nation that survives the worst of circumstances is usually the nation that spends years preparing for that day.  Is America prepared? Are you and your family prepared? Plato (or Santayana) observed, “Only the dead have seen the end of war.” Which ever coined the phrase, the quote recognizes that conflict is a perpetual part of the human experience, and the actual end to war’s horrors is only experienced in death, as the living are constantly caught in its perpetual cycles. God help us … Pray for Perpetual Peace 🙏🏼🇺🇸
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David Pyne 🇺🇸 retweeted
The Israel Merger Provision in the NDAA must be removed!
Odd for the CEO of FDD, a think tank claiming to be committed to “strengthening U.S. national security” to advocate for US-Israel “intelligence & economic integration to such an extent that inflicting financial harm on Israel would also carry a significant cost for Washington.”🤨
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