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40 years in markets — 25 years as an investment‑bank trader, 15 years coaching top traders (hedge funds, sell‑side, retail). I help traders move from good to great through sustainable behavioural transformation.
Email to inquire: [email protected]
RoofKoreans is starting to trend !
Roof Koreans is the term given to the Korean community of LA who collectively took up the self-defence of their own businesses during the LA riots of 1992 when Korean shops were originally the targets of looters and the police were nowhere to be seen.
Three charts that tell you the biggest story in world finance right now, and it’s not unconnected to what we’ve seen on the streets of France over the last few days.
📈 Chart 1: 2026
French 10-year yields have soared above Italy’s, with most of the stress in the last month. (Reflected as a negative differential)
Today’s 10-year levels:
🇫🇷 France 4.88%
🇮🇹 Italy 4.55%
France now yields:
33bp over Italy
83bp over Spain
155bp over Germany
and Greece, historically Europe’s most worrying bond market, trades about 40bp below France
📈 Chart 2: Since 2008
A steady grind tighter. Put another way, a steady erosion of French bonds as France failed to get its finances under control. Late last year, the two (Italy and France) hit parity for the first time in modern history.
📈 Chart 3: France vs Italy since the late 80s
Before the euro, Italy always yielded 2 to 6% more than France. The euro was meant to bring that close to parity. After the financial crisis and during the Greek crisis, the spread blew out to 4%. Then the ECB said it would do “whatever it takes,” and it slowly normalised. Until now.
France is meant to be the core of the euro, alongside Germany. This is a huge story for France, the ECB and the euro itself. US yields matter, but this is where the spotlight is right now🚨🚨🚨
France has no room for manoeuvre. It can’t borrow its way out of trouble when every move higher in yields adds to its borrowing costs. Yet the only way to appease the streets is to spend more, but it already has some of the weakest finances in Europe.
When France eventually needs help, the rest of Europe will ask a hard question. France’s pension age was meant to rise from 62 to 64, and even that is now on hold. Much of Europe is at or moving to 67. Why should others nations fund a country that allows its population to retire 5 years earlier ?????, with also a far more generous welfare set-up beyond that (in most cases)?
Their answer will be if you want help “cut spending.” The exact opposite of what the protesters want.
Meanwhile Macron is pointing at the Middle East rather than looking inward.
The euro has been selling off for weeks. This is potential dynamite🧨🧨🧨🧨. Watch it closely.
This is insane: The whole world knew what was going to happen.
It was telegraphed on every Social Media platform on planet Earth.
This is a sad indictment of the leadership of France.
Not just the Interior Minister, but Macron chose the night before to attend a Celine Dion gig.
Shocking abdication of responsibility by the French Government who then chose to shift the blame to the War in the Middle East
France deserves better, the French deserve better.
France’s interior minister says police “lost control” in some cities during the violence and acknowledged a failure to anticipate the scale of unrest. Laurent Nuñez says he offered his resignation, adding that he is responsible for what happened.
He says 350 people were arrested in Paris on Sunday and overnight.
The trading influencer sells you a Lamborghini in three months.
Reality is far less glamorous, and far more useful.
The maths:
Making money trading takes 2 to 5 years. Faster is mostly luck or a bandwagon. Slower means something is holding you back.
Part-time? Expect longer.
In 2010, Polish workers cleaned the houses of British professionals. Today, Poland's GDP per capita sits above $43,000 in purchasing power parity terms, level with Spain and closing fast on France. That reversal took roughly one generation. This was deliberate policy, not luck.
Poland ran a flat tax on business income, kept labor markets comparatively flexible, and spent the 1990s dismantling the Soviet pricing apparatus faster than almost any neighbor. Capital read those signals immediately. Volkswagen, Samsung, and hundreds of smaller manufacturers moved production east. Warsaw became a financial hub, not a branch office.
The EU structural funds helped, obviously, pouring +-160 billion euros into Polish infrastructure between 2004 and 2020. Funds alone don't explain the difference. Ukraine received aid too. Poland built what mattered around the money: enforceable contracts, a functioning court system, and a bureaucracy that didn't simply steal the paperwork.
Respect property, enforce contracts, keep inflation credible, and capital flows toward you. Poland did roughly that for thirty years while Germany and France were busy building regulations that made hiring someone feel like adopting them legally.
The housekeepers became engineers, then managers, then founders. Warsaw startup valuations crossed 50 billion euros in aggregate by 2024. Polish engineers now earn salaries that make relocating to London feel irrational rather than mandatory.
Wealth is produced where producers are left alone to produce it. Poland left them alone just enough.
Another 10 years of this and people from the UK will be cleaning the houses of professionals in Poland.
Whilst 10 year yields sore across the G10, it’s amazing to look at what happens when you balance (or work towards balancing) your fiscal budget, as the Swiss do.
Some comparative 10 year yields:
US 5.11%
UK 5.40%
Germany 3.43%
France 4.80%
Switzerland 0.55%
Andy Burnham’s first budget is on the 28th October, he has very little room for manoeuvre
One of the best traders I've ever coached never talked to me about improving, refining, bettering how he formed his market views. Only how he took risk.
Analysis doesn't make you elite. How you take and manage risk does.
There is a point trading where you just have to trust yourself, believe in yourself, have confidence in your choices, if you never get to that point, you’ll never succeed.
Self trust, self belief, self confidence; are the most valuable commodities in trading.
But :
Just as not enough is what holds you back, too much will kill you too, and often much quicker.
That's why, where the rubber meets the road, trading is pure art.
Wow
Dear Secretary Bessent @SecScottBessent,
My name is Everett Stern. In 2010 I was a compliance officer at @HSBC. From a back office in New Castle, Delaware, I watched billions of dollars move to drug cartels, sanctioned regimes, and terrorist organizations. The enemies of the United States. I documented it, I escalated it, and when the bank would not act, I took it to the @FBI, the @CIA, and eventually the @SECGov.
The result was a $1.92 billion settlement. At the time, it was one of the largest in American history. It was also about five weeks of the bank’s profit. Not one banker was charged. Not one went to prison.
I paid a different price. I lost my career, my savings, and my place in the industry I had trained for. I was blacklisted. Every door in American finance closed at once. I slept on a camping cot in a 300 square foot apartment because I could not afford a bed, and I waited tables at @PFChangs to eat. I tell you this not for sympathy, but so you understand that I know exactly what it costs to do the right thing in American finance, and exactly how little the system does in return.
I made that sacrifice because I believed it would change something.
Yesterday, your department fined @BankofAmerica $1.2 billion for failing to report more than $5 billion in suspicious transactions, some of it tied by your own findings to Chinese laundering networks, narcotics, and the southwest border, alongside 475 apparent sanctions violations touching Russia, Iran, and global terrorism. The bank admitted it willfully violated the Bank Secrecy Act.
Fourteen years after HSBC. A bank with “America” in its name. And once again, not one individual charged.
Secretary Bessent, I want to say plainly what I believe you already know. The fines are not working.
A fine is paid by shareholders, absorbed by the balance sheet, and forgotten by the next earnings call. Bank of America reported earnings this morning. Nobody who set the alert thresholds, nobody who decided the 2024 cease and desist could wait, nobody who chose the backlog over the law will lose a single thing they value. Their lives are untouched. That is the entire reason the behavior repeats.
This is money laundering. This is blood money. Money that reaches a cartel buys fentanyl that kills Americans. Money that reaches a terrorist organization buys the next attack. This country has fought a war on drugs and a war on terror for decades, at enormous cost in lives and treasure, and all the while we have allowed the financing to flow through institutions we charter and regulate. Cut off the money and we win. We have never seriously tried.
There is also a question of equal justice that I cannot let go.
Before I walked into the FBI building to report HSBC, I stopped in front of the Great Seal on the wall and read the words engraved beneath it: “Justice is the defense of our liberty.” I believed that. I still want to. But every day in this country, people go to prison for crimes that are nothing next to moving money for the people who want Americans dead. A suit, a title, and a corporate badge should not be a shield from the consequences that apply to everyone else. If a street dealer goes to prison for what he sells, the banker who moved the cartel’s money should be standing next to him.
I also want to raise something that is rarely said in these conversations. Why has no one inside Bank of America come forward the way I did? The answer is that everyone in American banking knows what happened to me, and to the whistleblowers who came after. The last person who spoke up is the only policy anyone believes. That is a culture problem, and it starts with leadership, in the banks and in the agencies that regulate them.
This is not a political issue. It has spanned administrations of both parties. It is a national security issue, and I am asking you to treat it as one.
Three things would change the math overnight.
Refer individuals for criminal prosecution. Not the analyst in the queue. The executives who set the thresholds and chose the risk. One banker in handcuffs would do more than every fine in Treasury’s history combined.
End “too big to jail.” An institution cannot be too big to fail and too big to jail at the same time. If it is the first, it must be held to a higher standard, not a lower one.
And if Bank of America will not act as America’s bank, review its charter. A national charter is a privilege granted on behalf of the American people. It should be conditioned on not moving money for the people trying to kill them.
Secretary Bessent, you said yesterday that these actions send a clear message that even the biggest institutions are not above the law. With respect, the institution was never the problem. The people inside it are above the law, and they know it. Until that changes, I will keep writing letters like this one, and the next bank will keep paying the next fine.
I gave up everything I had to stop this. I am asking you to use the power you have to finish it.
Respectfully,
Everett A. Stern
HSBC Whistleblower
Founder and Intelligence Director, Tactical Rabbit
Trading is a performance game, and like every performance game, it's technical, behavioural and mental.
You can be brilliant technically and still fall short. Without the behavioural edges, you won't execute your technical skill well. Without the optimum levels of mental fortitude, you won't persist, battle through, survive and recover.
Excellence takes more than IQ. It takes EQ, adaptability, humility, self-awareness, self-confidence, and a range of human qualities that let you take and manage risk, and survive moments of extreme jeopardy.
In truth, IQ is likely to be least of all differentiators behind your success.
Trading isn't just in your head. It's in your heart, your gut, your whole body.
To the reply accounts telling me “only you and @someoneelse get this”: nice try.
It’s a marketing tactic, not engagement. I block the reply and the account it’s promoting.
Real comments are always welcome. Bought ones aren’t.
Knowing Your Biases Won’t Save You.
New edition of Mastering the Trading Game 📰 is out.
Daniel Kahneman spent his life studying cognitive bias, then admitted it had barely improved his own judgement.
So what does work? 🔗 Link in next thread 👇
Read the Mastering the Trading Game 📰 here:
Knowing Your Biases Won’t Save You.
alphamind101.substack.com/p/…
Every few months I like to repost this, it sums up almost every one who decides to start trading👇
It’s the behaviour online prop firms rely on
Trading is a performance game, like sport, music or poker. Beginner's luck is easy. Elite takes a decade.
Elite doesn't mean better predictions, systems or research. It means elite at taking and managing risk.
When the aces dry up and the pros sit down, luck runs out.
Welcome to trading.
Every trade idea begins as a feeling.
An impulse. A sensation.
Then we make sense of it.
The space between sensing and sense-making is where the edge lives.
Insight. Pattern recognition. Judgement.
Great traders don't skip that space. They master it.
One of the most common critiques of technical analysis is that it's just a series of self-fulfilling prophecies.
The reality is simpler: charts don't move markets. People do.
A level doesn't break because a chart points to it. The chart points to it because it's a potential tipping point: a place where, for one of several reasons, the market struggles to get through. If it does get through, new buyers or sellers can come in and carry price on to new levels.
Done properly, technical analysis is the study of crowd behaviour through price and price patterns. Its critics, and sometimes even its champions, lose sight of that.
The evidence? The same patterns, and the same market behaviour behind them, existed long before traders used charts. The early chartists didn't invent them. They observed them and codified them into the discipline we now call technical analysis.
And even if it were a self-fulfilling prophecy, and that was the reason a move happened, wouldn't you want to know about it?

















