ATC Projections
Joined November 2020
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Thank you so much to everyone for a fantastic 2026 season and for your support of @ATCProjections !
The final @ATCProjections Rest of season rates update will be tonight 9/5/26 into 9/6/26 on @fangraphs.
The final @ATCProjections Rest of season rates update will be tonight 9/5/26 into 9/6/26 on @fangraphs.
Game 3 of our road trip. Binghamton Rumble Ponies.
Mark Vientos rehabbing here.
Jefferson Rojas just hit a bullet homerun.
There will be an @ATCProjections update tonight 8/15/26 into 8/16/26.
This covers adjustments to rates after the trade deadline, and other.
There will be one more ATC rates update this year, which will be in the 1st week of September, on or about Labor Day.
ATC Projections retweeted
Spent an hour with @ATCNY and @mlbinjuryguru on @fangraphs' Beat the Shift Podcast (@Beat_Shift_Pod) talking about the state of baseball. How the analytics actually evolved over 20 years, why teams get too reliant on their models, the labor fight coming this winter, and what I'd do if I were running the Mets right now.
Give it a listen:
open.spotify.com/episode/273…
This is a must listen to episode.
Many thanks to Zack Scott (@ZackScottSports) for joining the show.
ATC Projections retweeted
This is a must listen to episode.
Many thanks to Zack Scott (@ZackScottSports) for joining the show.
👀NEW👀
Beat the Shift podcast (@Beat_Shift_Pod)
w/ Guest @ZackScottSports, former acting GM of the @Mets.
We talk analytics in baseball, the state of baseball, and the state of the Mets.
Plus waiver wire, pitching preview and injuries w/ @mlbinjuryguru.
Listen here or on your favorite podcast platform:
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
The @ATCProjections Rest of Season will be updated on @fangraphs overnight tonight (7/15/26 into 7/16/26).
There will be an @ATCProjections Rest of Season rates update tonight into tomorrow (6/11/16 into 6/12/26).
1/3
The @ATCProjections ATC DC ROS rates will be updated overnight tonight 5/10/26 into 5/11/26.
This will be a partial but significant rates update. Most of the rates will now incorporate the 2026 in-season updated underlying projections.
2/3
This will not yet be be the full ATC ROS model yet, which is not ready yet. But I wanted to give a "better" model for the time being than just the pre-season rate model.
I estimate that it is about 65-75% of the full ROS model and 25-35% of the pre-season ATC model.
3/3
Playing time will still be updated nightly and incorporate the @fangraphs Depth Charts playing time as usual. So stats will be presented on a rest of season basis.
The full ATC ROS rates model will be ready closer to Memorial Day.
The @ATCProjections DC Rest of season projections are now live on @fangraphs !
1/2
During the season, the Rest of Season @ATCProjections will be up on @fangraphs. (Give it a few days for FG to turn it on)
A reminder that they are the ATC DC RoS projections - that is ATC rates combined with #Fangraphs Depth Charts playing time.
Thanks again for everyone who used and followed the 2026 @ATCProjections this drat season!
The final pre-season ATC Projections are now all up!
Thanks again for everyone who used and followed the 2026 @ATCProjections this drat season!
The final pre-season ATC Projections are now all up!
The final @ATCProjections update of the pre-season will be tonight 3/25/26 into 3/26/26 in time for the main opening day.
As a reminder, ATC ROS DC will be available a short while into the season on @fangraphs as soon as they turn that feature on.
The in-season ATC Projections are ATC perfomance rates, with with FanGraphs Depth Charts playing time. The playing time will update daily.