Other monopoly exchanges that are cheap are Japan $8697 and Brazil $BOLSY $B3SA3; The croupier framing is why I Iike Int. exchanges. "Exchanges beat their local market" matters most where the local market is bad...the exchange gets paid on the volatility that's hurting everyone else. If/when Flavio wins 10/25, Brazil could have an amazing run
My @MicroCapClub Club Conversation with James Davolos from @HorizonKinetics is now live!
We discussed $ICE, $CBOE, $CME, and we did a deep dive on $MIAX.
James Davolos is a portfolio manager at Horizon Kinetics, where he has spent nearly 21 years studying exchanges and what the firm calls croupier businesses. These are companies that earn fees on trading volume without putting their own capital at risk. One of his first projects at the firm was the New York Stock Exchange’s reverse merger into Archipelago, and his team later bought exchange seats ahead of demutualizations at the CBOE, the Minneapolis Grain Exchange, and others.
In this episode, James explains why exchanges have outperformed their local markets over 20 years, why derivatives are the strongest moat in the industry and why inflation and volatility work in exchanges’ favor. He also breaks down $MIAX: how it took close to 17% of the multi-listed options market, whether perpetual futures threaten the business and what the Bloomberg futures bet could be worth. The conversation closes with James’s reflections on Horizon Kinetics founder Murray Stahl.
Chapters
00:00 Intro
02:42 The croupier model
06:30 Why exchanges beat their local markets
08:28 How exchanges make money
13:34 What drives trading volume
17:20 Why inflation helps exchanges
18:29 The worst decade for exchanges
21:29 Buying exchange seats for equity
24:51 Why traders leased their seats
27:41 What MIAX does
31:43 Why traders pay for data
34:50 MIAX’s speed edge
39:59 Can competitors catch up?
43:57 Why MIAX fell from $57
50:32 Can MIAX keep taking share?
52:11 How to value MIAX
54:40 The Bloomberg futures bet
57:30 When we’ll know if it works
59:23 What would prove him wrong
1:02:10 Remembering Murray Stahl
$ELAL Does anyone know how this works ....how do they accommodate the forced buying?
$XP and $BOLSY outran $NU on Monday and that makes sense. Reforms lift all Brazilian financials, but lower rates and foreign capital coming back mostly benefit the businesses that earn on activity: exchange volumes, brokerage flows, issuance. Those are operating levers.
Brazil on Monday - the day after Bolsonaro's stronger-than-expected showing in the first round vote - got $2 bn in foreign inflows into its stock market. That's a 10 standard deviation inflow compared to history. HUGE. Brazil is coming in from the cold...
robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/…
$BOLSY $B3SA3 Foreign investors put R$10.06B (~$2B) into Brazilian stocks in a SINGLE day after the first round of the election.
• Largest one-day foreign inflow in B3's history — ~20% above the prior record (R$8.4B, set just this April)
• Nearly a third of the entire year's foreign flows (~R$34B YTD) landed in one session
• Ibovespa ripped 7.7% to an all-time high
• Foreigners are now ~63% of daily traded volume on the exchange
@robin_j_brooks
$BOLSY $B3SA3 Foreign investors put R$10.06B (~$2B) into Brazilian stocks in a SINGLE day after the first round of the election.
• Largest one-day foreign inflow in B3's history — ~20% above the prior record (R$8.4B, set just this April)
• Nearly a third of the entire year's foreign flows (~R$34B YTD) landed in one session
• Ibovespa ripped 7.7% to an all-time high
• Foreigners are now ~63% of daily traded volume on the exchange
@robin_j_brooks
$ELAL September passengers: 681k. That makes Q3 operationally the best quarter in the company’s history (also high end of guidance for ASK)
ASB Partners Q326 Performance and Brazilian Stock Exchange Pitch $BOLSY $B3SA3
$ELAL could be added to the TA35 Index when it rebalances in November of this year which is Israel's rough equivalent of the S&P 500
How valuable is $FPH's Candlestick project going to be when it hits the market in the next couple of years...There is literally no project this size and Candlestick has the best location as compared to "California Forever" which is outside of SF and stuck in regulatory purgatory
$ELAL Why Nobody Has Hijacked El Al Since 1968 Despite Being The Most Attacked...
youtu.be/aSx4lKR41lI?si=05Rd…
The $FPH thesis is simple...They own super prime land in S. CA and the largest and ONLY entitled campus in SF ...demographics is destiny










