
Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning for Enhanced Representation of Processes and Extremes in Earth System Models (funded by #HorizonEU)
Jena, Germany
Joined March 2023
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🌍 Registration OPEN: ELLIS Winter School on AI & ML for Earth System Science!
📍 Jena, Germany
🗓️ 1.-5. March 2027
Organized by AI4PEX, ELIAS & ELLIS Unit Jena + top EU partners.
⏰ Deadline: 15 Nov 2026 (23:00 CET)
🔗 Find our more: ai4pex.org/Training/School20…
💡New paper! Can satellites reveal how forests are disturbed?
A new ML framework infers disturbance rate, severity, gap size & mortality from biomass patterns—producing the first globally continuous, observation-constrained disturbance regime dataset.
👉 doi.org/10.5194/essd-18-5895…
💡Weather or climate? Why choose?
A new paper explores how AI could help bridge weather prediction & climate projection within unified frameworks—while highlighting challenges around trust, fairness, transparency, energy use & global inequality.
👉doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-7…
🌟 Celebrating our AI4PEX postdocs during #PostdocAppreciationWeek!
🌍🤖 From AI-powered Earth observation to climate extremes, hybrid modelling and uncertainty, they are advancing our understanding of a changing planet.
👏 Thank you for your curiosity and creativity!
💡 How does vegetation affect soil moisture far downwind?
Using atmospheric transport + deep learning, we find upwind information provides 67% of predictive power, with vegetation explaining 15%. Effects vary strongly across humid & semi-arid regions.
👉doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-7…
💡 New paper!
Summer heat extremes are changing—not just becoming hotter, but lasting longer.
By comparing 1-in-100-year summers in today's and preindustrial climates, we show that faster soil drying makes prolonged heatwaves more likely.
👉 doi.org/10.1029/2026EF008241
As #ClimateChange hits harder every year, droughts and water scarcity are becoming more severe.
During #WorldWaterWeek, we’re reminded that water links atmosphere, land and ocean, and understanding these links is key to predict droughts and support sustainable water management.
💡 New Paper!
How are European winter extremes linked to atmospheric circulation? Using the co-recurrence ratio (α), we find coupling depends strongly on the circulation domain and height, but little on the extreme threshold we define.
👉 Learn more: doi.org/10.1007/s00382-025-0…
💡 New preprint!
Can you separate climate change from natural climate variability in a single climate record?
PullbackDMDc is a method combining dynamical systems theory and data-driven modelling to do exactly that.
👉 buff.ly/MdUlqqk
💡 New paper!
How does 🔥 wildfire risk in Southern Europe change by 2100?
Using ML, climate & land-use, wildfire risk increases strongly under high-emission SSP3-7.0. Future land use and population changes significantly shape the projected risk.
👉 buff.ly/rFeObPM
📢 New preprint!
Introducing DROP 💧 a physically informed deep learning framework for river discharge prediction.
DROP delivers:
✅ Strong spatial generalization
✅ Better flood peak prediction
✅ Interpretable, spatially explicit diagnostics
👉 doi.org/10.22541/au.17641092…
💡 New Paper!
Why do observed and simulated winter precipitation trends often disagree?
Our study shows that models capture the warming-driven response well, but often underestimate changes in atmospheric circulation, especially in the Mediterranean.
👉 doi.org/10.1038/s41586-026-1…
💡 New Paper!
Can AI improve how ESMs represent clouds?
We present a hybrid ML radiation scheme that learns radiative impact of subgrid-scale clouds from 5 km storm-resolving simulations.
✅ 4–10× lower errors than conventional radiation schemes.
👉 buff.ly/nxo8Wdm
⏰ #AI4PEX Science Talks this Thursday!
🌍 Hadi Shokati
AI for soil erosion, flood segmentation & rainfall erosivity forecasting
🧠 René Geist
SoftJAX & SoftTorch: differentiable programming for scientific ML
📅 25 June 2026, 13:00 CEST
👉 Register now! survey.academiccloud.de/f/66…
💡 New Paper!
⛵ Can sailboats improve estimates of the ocean CO₂ sink?
Citizen-science measurements help reveal a stronger Southern Ocean sink, but current sampling is still too sparse to fully constrain long-term trends.
👉 buff.ly/FfqGxiZ
🎓 Next up in the #AI4PEX Science Talks!
🌍 Hadi Shokati
AI for soil erosion, flood segmentation & rainfall erosivity forecasting
🧠 René Geist
SoftJAX & SoftTorch: differentiable programming for scientific ML
📅 25.06.2026, 13:00 CEST
👉 Register now! survey.academiccloud.de/f/66…
🎥 Looking back at the ELLIS Winter School 2026 in Athens!
A week full of AI, climate science, hands-on projects, & inspiring discussions. 🌍🤖
Watch the full highlight video: ai4pex.org/blog/Winterschool…
Special thanks to Olyvon for producing this video.
💡 New Paper!
🌡️ How much of recent summer warming is circulation-driven?
Our new study shows that atmospheric circulation trends explain up to 50% of Europe’s summer warming — with strong but contrasting effects across the northern mid-latitudes.
👉wcd.copernicus.org/articles/…
💡 New Paper on global plant functional diversity 🌍🌿
Using remote sensing, biodiversity & trait databases, we map key plant traits worldwide at 1-km resolution — offering new insights into ecosystem functioning, biodiversity & resilience. 🛰️🌱
👉 nature.com/articles/s41467-0…





















