@AFPAnalytics

Consulting firm seeking to provide innovative insight to fans, agents, & teams. Focus on player valuation. DM for inquiries. @k_sticher, @J_Finchy1, @MaxTermPod

Rochester, NY
Joined January 2016
🚨Our 2026 Offseason Contract Projections are LIVE! 🔹Pending UFAs & RFAs 🔹7/1 Extension-Eligible Players 🔹1GP min. 🔄 RTs/Follows help us immensely. Want to further support our analytics? Consider signing up for a website subscription! #NHL afpanalytics.com/nhl-contrac…
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A new @MaxTermPod is now available - Recapping the Wild NHL Contract Landscape in the Summer of 2026 How well did we perform? What did we learn? Which players were the biggest misses? How did NHL teams perform? What should we expect in the contract space going forward? youtu.be/g-Ii6-zd0eI?si=OXDm…
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Fantilli ultimately adds a year and a touch more AAV for doing so. Seems to be a fair deal based on the way the market has changed.
We are in the process of finishing up some updated contract projections, given the CBA changes and market shift we saw this summer. Our updated contract Fantilli is tracking to be ~ 5 years, $13M AAV.
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We are in the process of finishing up some updated contract projections, given the CBA changes and market shift we saw this summer. Our updated contract Fantilli is tracking to be ~ 5 years, $13M AAV.
More talks today between CBJ and Fantilli camp. Sense of some progress but still not there yet.
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Sam Steel and the @DallasStars have agreed to a contract extension. Steel has developed into a solid two way forward in the bottom six for Dallas. This season, there is potential opportunity for him to take on an increased role in the top 6! #NHL
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Tim Washe and the @AnaheimDucks agreed to a contract extension. A 4th line faceoff specialist, Washe was only projected at 1x$1.5M. The added term and UFA years bought makes the actual $2.25M AAV rather reasonable. #NHL
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A BUSY September, catching on some singings...
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AFP Analytics retweeted
🚨 New @MaxTermPod is out! We review the Metro division, including our opinions on O/U's and fantasy sleepers! Find it on @YouTube (and all major pod platforms), give it a like and subscribe! #NHL youtu.be/tctBne59LTo?si=TgyH…
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🚨 New @MaxTermPod is out! We review the Metro division, including our opinions on O/U's and fantasy sleepers! Find it on @YouTube (and all major pod platforms), give it a like and subscribe! #NHL youtu.be/tctBne59LTo?si=TgyH…
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The final contract of the old #NHL CBA was signed by Luke Evangelista and @NJDevils . 5 years, $7.25M AAV. The two sides wanted to beat the deadline not because of term but rather because of bonus structure, with more than 60% of the contract being paid out in bonuses. This contract is very fair based on our projection that expected one additional year and a slightly higher AAV.
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Getting caught up on a few late night signings - @Canes Jordan Staal signed a one year extension with $4.9M guarenteed and another potential $5.1M in signing bonus. The potential total value is in line with our projection but that was expected to be a 2 year contract. Could this structure indicate next year might be his last? There also didn't seem to be a reason that this needed to be signed before the new CBA took effect.
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AFP Analytics retweeted
Daniel Briere resetting the entire NHL market with that Carlsson offer sheet
Cutter Gauthier signs a six-year deal with Anaheim carrying a $13.5M AAV
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The @Capitals are done for the day, no more signings.
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Cutter Gauthier and the @AnaheimDucks have agreed to a contract. While not the 8 year max term, @PierreVLeBrun mentioned earlier that this deal potentially would include a front loaded structure that would not be allowed after tonight. That soft deadline likely helped get this done now! #NHL
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On RFA Cutter Gauthier: critical day for both sides to try to close the deal. Still not done. Ducks made new offer on Sunday, which was progress. Both sides meet again later today. But if deal doesn't get done before old CBA expires tonight then there's an issue because of how the front-loaded rules change in the new CBA. And the front-loaded money is an important part of the current discussion.
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AFP Analytics retweeted
One of my original hockey analytic contributions is a gift that keeps giving
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July 1st, September 15th
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Justin Sourdif and the @Capitals sneak in here and get a #MaxTerm 8 year deal done. Sourdif had a very strong year this season and will look to build on it! Another step in production and this could end up VERY team friendly! #NHL
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