X for AFE Leaks. Upstream Reserves, Valuation, Debt/Equity Investing, Corporate Research, Consulting, Data Analytics

Houston, TX
Joined November 2024
Hess Midstream's investor call: The contract-liability accounting nets to a small number in 2027, so the ~$900M baseline EBITDA is close to cash. Adjusted FCF of ~$575M covers a ~$415M distribution with ~$160M left over. Leverage moves from ~3x to 3.75–4.0x because EBITDA resets lower; debt stays roughly flat. Chevron gives up ~$260M a year of HESM distributions and the GP in exchange for lower Bakken fees through 2045 and $200M. HESM will stop publishing its Bakken minimum revenue commitments, the clearest public read on Chevron's drilling plans. The 2030 commitment gets set next year and won't be disclosed. State spud and rig data become the main check.
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Chevron will divest Hess Midstream interests and DJ Basin crude-midstream assets; it estimates a USD 3–4B after-tax special-item loss at closing. via Chevron 8-K sec.gov/Archives/edgar… #AFELeaks
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Matador's Lea County Woodford Tests Hit the AFE Leaks Db afeleaks.substack.com/p/mata…
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HighPeak Energy Heads to Market afeleaks.substack.com/p/high…
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Expand Energy disclosed USD 500M of 5.650% senior notes due 2031, expected to close Sept. 17. SEC EDGAR: sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/… #AFELeaks
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Chord agreed to sell its non-operated Marcellus position to POSCO International for USD 550M. The package includes about 32,000 net acres and 121 MMcf/d of trailing-12-month residue-gas production; Chord expects a Q4 close and says the portfolio will then be exclusively Williston-focused. prnewswire.com/news-releases…
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What ever happened with this suit?
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Conference swag dropping for Super Dug; look me up if you’re there to get one (we will see how many I can crank out with the 3d printer).
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Interesting one to keep tabs on; wasn't aware that CLR was testing out Enhanced Recovery in the Bakken. docs.publicnow.com/viewDoc.a…
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Weatherford International plc shareholders approved a scheme of arrangement to re-domicile the company from Ireland to Delaware as Weatherford International Corp. This corporate action results in the cancellation of Irish ordinary shares and the issuance of common stock of the new Delaware entity.
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Google's 396 MW Fervo Geothermal PPA: What Cape Station Still Has to Clear nameplatereport.substack.com…
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Expand out here doing horseshoes in the Marcellus now after indicating last year that they were interested in expanding their Eagle Ford horseshoe pilot elsewhere.
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Pennsylvania's own count, in the governor's new data-center order: 100+ facilities reported proposed statewide. DEP holds permit applications for 20. EO 2026-05, in depth— what's new, what was already law, and what's only advocacy: nameplatereport.substack.com…
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NOG priced $500MM of 7.500% senior notes due 2034 at par. Closing is expected Aug. 26. Proceeds will repay revolver borrowings; any remainder goes to general corporate purposes. via NOG 8-K sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/…
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