Abdallah

Our Sun shows how deep into the declining phase we are by flirting with the notion of a spotless day, but it doesnt last long! Fast wind comes, flare activity is ramping up, and the promise for more solar storming is rotating into view. Learn the details of the sun's latest activity and what it means for aurora chasers, aviators, and radio operators: patreon.com/SpaceWeatherWoma… (no paywall + graphics & blog)

The new #SpaceWeatherWoman forecast is up! Learn why we have a spotless Sun, how long it will last and what it means for radio & GNSS operators. Find out when and where aurora will be visible and watch some big activity lurking on the farside rotate into view! patreon.com/posts/151431182

Attention: The coming #solarstorm is going to be much stronger than predicted! It has hit Solar Orbiter, which is currently serving as a long-range upstream monitor ahead of Earth. From the magnetic field observations (see red boxed area in the magnetic field plot), the magnetic structure of the storm has either rotated slightly or SolO is hitting the "bent" part of the structure that has the solar slinky tilted on its side. We now know the structure will likely have a "SWN" flux rope configuration once it hits Earth. If conditions hold, this means #aurora will build fast when the storm hits and stay strong for about the first 6 hours or so (throughout the magnetosheath and the early part of the solar storm core). Then the field will likely flip north and the storm will no longer be a strong aurora producer at mid-latitudes. In a nutshell, what all this means is that NOAA and NASA have underpredicted the impact of this coming storm. It could easily be a G3-level or higher, *IF* the observations from Solar Orbiter are any indication. Also, this storm will arrive between early to midday October 28 UTC time!