Political prediction market research with a focus on identifying consensus mispricing and tail-risk outcomes.

NYC
Joined April 2026
New developments. Agree on disappointment in elected official. Show possible evidence of corruption and ask question. Get insulted by employee and then insulted by org. What exactly is going on with @nychange? @IRSnews @TishJames you might want to look into this org.
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.@nychange just had this lovely exchange with one of your employees @PeteSikora1. It hardly reflects well when trying to have a discourse about the climate. I would highly encourage your organization to institute a class on general etiquette. He called me a sexual predator, a freak, and insulted me. Disturbing to say the least.
Replying to @83beals
Wow you are a strange and shameless freak. Muting you, so bye now!
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So it goes ...
Replying to @83beals
Wow you are a strange and shameless freak. Muting you, so bye now!
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If you want to know why NYC is behind in climate goals this is why. "activists" like @PeteSikora1 will baselessly accuse you of being a sexual predator when you are discussing corruption. Even when they admit that the candidate in question did nothing to advance climate goals. Sad.
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Hey @FEC might want to take a look at this.
I know Abdul El-Sayed is trying to moderate his image, but phone-banking alongside someone known for wearing hoodies depicting Luigi Mangione as a saint feels like the exact opposite of that.
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Another failure of part-time city employee @bradlander. 0 on climate and 0 on finances. Why did people vote for him again?
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After the primaries the @bradlander endorsements are 🔥. Why people voted for this guy is beyond me.
The last comptroller, brad lander, made a big deal of climate action, but did basically nothing. Levine’s announced a review of the pension funds’ biggest money manager contracts, which *could* be HUGE. Getting NYC (and NYS) to act, as this report seeks to, would be big, too:
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.@brent858 why did you take down the post? Change of heart?
.@FBI worth looking into this.
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.@FBI worth looking into this.
This quoted post is unavailable.
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This is how @NYCMayor actually treats "architects" who violate international human rights law. Don't be fooled by over-produced videos.
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Everything you need to know about how the @DemSocialists operate is right here. It's all about the money. The investors won't support candidates that aren't a good investment.
That’s not how this works, I’m not some magician that can sprinkle fairy dust on a campaign. There are lots of other ways to show that you’re not going to be wasting peoples money. Just demonstrate something, anything.
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Grifters going to grift. Who is really benefiting off of forever wars? I'll give you a hint , it's the folks that promote isolation and conflict.
New: Ramzi Kassem, Mamdani's chief counsel and a longtime advocate for Palestinian rights, is invested in RTX, a weapons manufacturer for Israel's military — part of a sprawling stock portfolio Kassem maintains that includes other eyebrow-raising holdings. politico.com/newsletters/new…
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New: Ramzi Kassem, Mamdani's chief counsel and a longtime advocate for Palestinian rights, is invested in RTX, a weapons manufacturer for Israel's military — part of a sprawling stock portfolio Kassem maintains that includes other eyebrow-raising holdings. politico.com/newsletters/new…
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Don't forget @HamawyForNJ is also invested in drone companies and weapons manufacturers. I guess they like what they see?
New: Ramzi Kassem, Mamdani's chief counsel and a longtime advocate for Palestinian rights, is invested in RTX, a weapons manufacturer for Israel's military — part of a sprawling stock portfolio Kassem maintains that includes other eyebrow-raising holdings. politico.com/newsletters/new…
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I guess the donors for 2029 are already collecting their returns.
Benjamin Netanyahu is a war criminal.
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.@SiffertForNY can you help us figure out who paid for Sher Tremonte to defend @bradlander? We applaud your work in government transparency. It is needed now more than ever.
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.@bradlander promised to fix a vacant lot on Friel Place 17 years ago. It's still there. Hopefully Oswald will fair better.
Too often, broken/cracked sidewalks in front of undeveloped properties remain unrepaired for years, due to laws with no real enforcement systems. My bill will strengthen accountability, and ensure our streets are walkable for everyone.
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