
NCAA basketball graphics, bc college fans deserve nice things too (h/t @dadgumboxscores, @totally_t_bomb)
ACC Country
Joined June 2018
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Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
Every Final Four since 1985
Highlights appearances during this span for the 2026 Final Four teams: UConn, Illinois, Arizona, and Michigan
Since 1985 . . .
Most titles
6....UConn
5....Duke
4....North Carolina
Most FF appearances:
14...Duke
12...North Carolina
10...Kansas
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
North Carolina’s ranks among the 8 teams in the “Last 4 In” and “First 4 Out”
NET: 1st
WAB: 1st
KenPom: 1st
Non-Con SOS: 1st
Q1 W-L: 8th
Understandable to think the Q1 record would keep them out but the other metrics were strong.
Time to focus on things other Quads.
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
I've run the algorithmic bracket:
docs.google.com/spreadsheets…
One thing I'd like to note is that every version of WAB or strength of record would have UNC safely in. They are 41st in my average, 42nd per @totally_t_bomb , 43rd per NET WAB. ESPN's BPI SOR has them 38th. They belong.
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
#MarchMadness2024 Bracket Odds!
Using Yahoo! this season, which is favorite heavy (comparing w/@totally_t_bomb's odds)
Tough decision? Might as well lean towards making headway in your pool!
Bigger pool? Pick a rare champ to increase your chances!
Work w/@dadgumboxscores
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
MSU's inclusion is a slap in the face to every committee member who harps about resume.
Should have been the 8th team out and instead get a 9 seed.
Replying to @PaintTouches @SethBurn
Looks like you can still be mad that Michigan State made it in though.
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
I wrote about the most obvious thing ever (free) open.substack.com/pub/statsb…
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
Excited to be back @CarolinaDurham tonight!
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
Who is "Cheating" the Quad System? 😏
Teams by how hard their Q1 & Q2 schedule *actually* is, data/viz w/@dadgumboxscores, difficulty via by WAB
Big East has soft Q2 games, SEC playing legit Q1s
(is this what y'all were looking for @oneshiningpod, @tatefrazier, @T_Oglesby22?)
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
How Tough Is a Q1 Win?
...depends - @dadgumboxscores & I have been exploring WAB & the odds a bubble team wins each Q1/Q2 game
36% of Q1 games are easier than a game at Ole Miss
68% of Q2 games are harder than beating Indiana St
So, dig deeper before you trust a Quad 1 record
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
The ACC's Top 4 schedules (sorted by WAB/difficulty - another @dadgumboxscores collab), gray games are upcoming
@WakeMBB heads into Cameron tonight looking to for their first quality W
UNC & UVA also head to Durham while Duke still has trips to FSU, Miami, & Wake on the slate
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
Not sure what happened with the link here, which is annoying, but here’s the right one, thank you for your attention to this matter
eamonnbrennan.com/p/play-mor…
I asked @kenpomeroy to help me prove a theory: That neutral court games are happening now more than ever. It's true. And it's really bad for the sport.
Today's newsletter, free for everyone: It's time to get games back on campus.
eamonnbrennan.com/p/play-mor…
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
What a ridiculous Boston shot chart. 15/15 at the rim, 8/14 on ATB 3s, no corner 3s or midrangers attempted.
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
Gonna update this for recent years: teamrankings.com/blog/ncaa-b…
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
One more time for the late-afternoon crowd: Carolina Classics Club is launching on Tuesday. Subscribe now to relive the great moments of Tar Heel hoops:
open.substack.com/pub/unccla…
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
Are you a quantitative type who wants to do something data science-y for your office March Madness pool but doesn't have the time to do it? @elishayer and I have just the thing for you! We've updated our mRchmadness R package and Shiny app for 2023: saberpowers.shinyapps.io/mRc…
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
Thread of where NCAA tournament teams like to shoot from relative to average (min. 10 charted games)
WEST REGION
UCLA and Arkansas peppering the midrange, UConn *chefs kiss*
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
NCAA🏀 Simulations for the most wide open tournament in several years.
🐘 Alabama 21%
😼 Houston 15%
🐻 UCLA 11%
🟠 Tenn. 9%
🐂 Texas 7%
🌵 Arizona 5%
🐶 Gonzaga 4%
🐺 UConn 4%
🐦 Kansas 4%
🔨 Purdue 4%
🔗lbenz730.shinyapps.io/recspe…
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
Here is a thread of all the useful pieces of analysis I've done this season that can help you with your bracket 🧵
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
Got one more goodie for you tonight.
NCAA Tournament bracket with regions, tip times and channels for every first round game. This is the bracket you print out. The one you cherish as you hold it in your hands.
So damn beautiful.
Fifth Factor Plots retweeted
The best (only?) infographic explaining WAB that I've seen so far.
You may be hearing a lot about this "WAB"... what is it exactly?!?
Here's my attempted explainer, I hope folks find it useful, and apologies in advance for the math on a Friday afternoon 🤓
(also - h/t to @totally_t_bomb's site where I got the data)





































