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Elliott wave theory | No paid group | #BTC #ALTS | Not financial advice | Personal opinions only | Do your own research |

Cape Town
Joined August 2018
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#HBAR #Hedera My latest $HBAR count has followed the projected path closely so far. I believe we're setting up for W3 of 1, with potential hidden bullish divergence developing on daily RSI. If confirmed, the next impulsive advance could be significant. xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/21063…
#HBAR #Hedera Quick update to my recent HBAR count. The previous LTF count was invalidated. I now believe subwave 1 of W1 likely completed at the recent high. If correct, the larger bullish structure remains intact but subwave 2 is currently underway. xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/21045…
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Potential hidden bullish divergence developing on daily RSI adding further confluence to my bullish hedera-hashgraph:native count (if confirmed).
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#HBAR #Hedera Quick update to my recent HBAR count. The previous LTF count was invalidated. I now believe subwave 1 of W1 likely completed at the recent high. If correct, the larger bullish structure remains intact but subwave 2 is currently underway. xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/21045…
#HBAR #Hedera LTF update to my recent hedera-hashgraph:native outlook. Possibly something similar to this. The breakout looks to be getting underway. If this count is correct, we're currently in W3 of 1. xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/21016…
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#HBAR #Hedera LTF update to my recent hedera-hashgraph:native outlook. Possibly something similar to this. The breakout looks to be getting underway. If this count is correct, we're currently in W3 of 1. xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/21016…
#HBAR #Hedera One of the more interesting setups I'm watching. $HBAR may have completed a major W2 of C, with potential hidden bullish divergence developing on the 3 month RSI. If this count is correct, an explosive W3 could be imminent. Upside potential here is substantial.
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#HBAR #Hedera One of the more interesting setups I'm watching. $HBAR may have completed a major W2 of C, with potential hidden bullish divergence developing on the 3 month RSI. If this count is correct, an explosive W3 could be imminent. Upside potential here is substantial.
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#DXY #USD Bigger picture for the US Dollar Index. DXY may be approaching the final stage of a major B wave correction, with one last capitulation potentially coinciding with a cycle top in risk assets. If this is correct, a powerful multi-year wave C advance could follow.
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#Ethereum #ETH While I believe $BTC may have completed its bull cycle, $ETH could be telling a different story as we see final rotation. I'm increasingly leaning towards ETH 's entire history unfolding as a 5-3-5-3-5 leading diagonal. If correct, W5 is currently underway.
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ETH/BTC potentially supports the same thesis. As a ratio, its entire history could plausibly be a larger corrective structure. The multi-year contracting triangle may have completed as X of a potential WXY. A confirmed breakout would open the door to major $ETH outperformance.
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#Bitcoin #BTC It's been a while since my last update. My January $BTC count looked for one final impulse higher. That never materialised and subsequent PA forced a reassessment. I now believe the Nov 2025 top may have completed the entire bull cycle. Current move = corrective B
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My March 2025 #BTC roadmap is also worth revisiting, not for the path into the top but for what I expected afterwards. Hindsight is 20/20 but a deep, prolonged correction was the expectation then and remains my broader thesis today. xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/18961…
#Bitcoin #BTC Revised Update: I'm now leaning towards this correction being wave 4 of 5, with the bulk of the current bull cycle unfolding as an extended wave 1. The January 2024 pullback always felt out of place for a wave 4 of 3 count, considering the preceding subcounts. The clean 200-day MA retest strengthens my case for the extended wave 1 count as my primary $BTC scenario. If we see a deeper correction into wave 1 territory, my secondary count is an ending diagonal, where wave 1 played out as a double ZZ to account for the three-wave structure of wave 3 within the diagonal.
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For context, this was my primary count in May 2025. I saw #BTC in the final 5th of the cycle with an extended W1. The final structure unfolded differently but the broader expectation of an approaching cycle top remained. xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/19207…
#Bitcoin #BTC Update: Final wave 5 of 5 in play for $BTC to complete the cycle after a potentially extended 1st wave. Caution warranted as BTC breaks ATHs. Signs of extended bearish divergence on weekly RSI + declining weekly buy volume are emerging. xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/18961…
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#Bitcoin #BTC $BTC playing out largely as planned. Imo larger W4 bottomed roughly 2 months ago and unfolded as a complex correction resembling a running flat. W2 of 5 close to completion. Once W3 of 5 gets underway, I expect conditions to turn frothy. xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/19914…
#Bitcoin #BTC Revised HTF count The earlier idea of this being w2 of 5 no longer holds up. The expanded flat dragged on too long and pushed too deep to stay valid at that degree Proportionally it fits better as a larger W4 running flat for $BTC xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/19737…
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#Bitcoin #BTC Revised HTF count The earlier idea of this being w2 of 5 no longer holds up. The expanded flat dragged on too long and pushed too deep to stay valid at that degree Proportionally it fits better as a larger W4 running flat for $BTC xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/19737…
#BTC #Bitcoin My HTF $BTC count hasn’t changed but I’ve revised wave 5 of the final 5th. The previous ending diagonal always looked a bit forced (especially subwave 4 of C of wave 1 within the ED). I still lean toward a larger extended wave 1 but I’m now considering a standard impulse where subwave 1 of the final 5th unfolded as a diagonal. This adjustment accounts for the strange proportions in the prior count and keeps the structure cleaner going forward. A deeper wave 2 of 5 correction here would throw a lot of people off but it would still fit perfectly within this count. xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/19588…
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Nothing changes the broader outlook, just refining the structure as new data comes in. Proportionally and structurally it makes far more sense, especially given how BTC behaves in late-cycle corrections.
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#BTC #Bitcoin W2 played out perfectly as an expanded flat with C completing cleanly before reversal. Some analysts used the $BTC/USDT chart but the deeper wick came from USDT briefly decoupling from USD. BTC/USD gave a cleaner, more accurate read imo. xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/19769…
#BTC #Bitcoin Got some heat for mentioning this pullback but price seems to have validated it nicely. W2 of 5 unfolding as expected for $BTC. Structure fits well as a flat, though it's still unclear where this final impulse completes to finish C. xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/19737…
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Looks like I was a bit early on that call. W2 wasn’t quite done yet. It’s still unfolding as a flat with C likely forming as an ending diagonal now that lows have been broken. Structure still aligns with the broader count though. Either a single flat or something more complex.
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Really excited to share that I've written a book! It's called The Elliott Wave Trader's Playbook, and it's a practical guide that brings together everything I've learned about wave patterns and Fibonacci strategy over the years. My goal was to create the clear, no-nonsense guide I wish I'd had when I first started. Hope it can be a helpful resource for some of you. You can find it here if you're curious: amazon.com/Elliott-Wave-Trad… #tradingstrategy #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis
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#BTC #Bitcoin Got some heat for mentioning this pullback but price seems to have validated it nicely. W2 of 5 unfolding as expected for $BTC. Structure fits well as a flat, though it's still unclear where this final impulse completes to finish C. xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/19737…
#BTC #Bitcoin My HTF $BTC count hasn’t changed but I’ve revised wave 5 of the final 5th. The previous ending diagonal always looked a bit forced (especially subwave 4 of C of wave 1 within the ED). I still lean toward a larger extended wave 1 but I’m now considering a standard impulse where subwave 1 of the final 5th unfolded as a diagonal. This adjustment accounts for the strange proportions in the prior count and keeps the structure cleaner going forward. A deeper wave 2 of 5 correction here would throw a lot of people off but it would still fit perfectly within this count. xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/19588…
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Guys please help me report this imposter if you have a minute 🙏 xitter.cf/24kCryqto
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#BTC #Bitcoin My HTF $BTC count hasn’t changed but I’ve revised wave 5 of the final 5th. The previous ending diagonal always looked a bit forced (especially subwave 4 of C of wave 1 within the ED). I still lean toward a larger extended wave 1 but I’m now considering a standard impulse where subwave 1 of the final 5th unfolded as a diagonal. This adjustment accounts for the strange proportions in the prior count and keeps the structure cleaner going forward. A deeper wave 2 of 5 correction here would throw a lot of people off but it would still fit perfectly within this count. xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/19588…
#Bitcoin #BTC W1 of 5 completed in August as expected for $BTC. W2 now unfolding within the potential ED. In W1, subwave 4 of C took 3× longer than subwave 2, which is disproportionate but consistent with the choppy, exhausting nature of diagonals. xitter.cf/24KCrypto/status/19497…
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