Quantitative + Fundamental Investing Equity | Commodities | Options | Multi-Asset Class Quantitative:- Finance | Analysis | Trading | - Trading Desk - |
Toronto, Canada
Joined March 2021
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121 Capital Partners retweeted
The Physics of Money
Every monetary instrument has a natural frequency — the time you need to hold it to use it as money.
Digital Capital: ~4 years
Digital Credit: ~4 months
Digital Money: ~4 days
Digital Currency: ~4 hours
121 Capital Partners retweeted
New equity highs don’t necessarily signal a bubble, especially when profitability and earnings growth remain strong. #chartoftheweek bny.com/wealth/global/en/ins…
121 Capital Partners retweeted
The more the CNY collapses v. gold (USDCNY*gold, below), the LOWER Chinese govt bond yields fall.
At some point, western policymakers will figure out why the same would also hold true for their bonds.
You'll want to own gold before western policymakers finally figure this out.
121 Capital Partners retweeted
And the combination of rising earnings and rising margins supports above-average valuations, which should help to offset some of the pressure coming from a rising cost of capital (the denominator in the DCF model) and a falling payout ratio (numerator).
121 Capital Partners retweeted
For the first time ever on an annual basis, BHP Group (the world's largest mining company) made more money digging copper than iron ore -- an historic shift that says a lot about the natural resources industry, but also about the Chinese economy.
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Total global exports of AI-enabling goods have surged 28% compared to a year ago; this supply has been dominated by Asian countries like Taiwan and South Korea, which have posted double-digit spikes. But there are more winners from the AI boom.
121 Capital Partners retweeted
I like this chart... and Chinese stocks...
@kevinduffy1929 @gave_vincent
121 Capital Partners retweeted
"Cleanview data shows that Texas alone accounts for roughly 100 GW of planned data center capacity, more than the next two states, Virginia and Utah, combined"
-Apollo Slok
121 Capital Partners retweeted
$SPX - Looking back at all of the MACD Sell signals since the fall of 2024, the track record has been mixed.
The red lines on the accompanying chart highlight signals that correctly preceded meaningful weakness.
While the blue lines show the head fakes when the market simply continued higher.
The takeaway is pretty clear:
There have been far more head fakes than reliable sell signals.
With another MACD seller signal potentially triggering soon, bears will get yet another chance...
👇More below...
The only time in history where the 30yr went from the 4%s to the 6%s within 6 months was June 1999.
73 trading days later, SPX was in a correction.
9 months later, SPX had its last ATH before falling into a years-long bear market.
To be clear, the 30yr is still under 6% now.
121 Capital Partners retweeted
Most EVER shorts on the NDX 😳
Could the masses be right? Maybe. But history says the crowd isn't usually that great at the extremes.
Nice one from @MacroCharts
121 Capital Partners retweeted
I am not in the bet yet, but if I were to bet it would be for a decline
121 Capital Partners retweeted
Chart of note:
U.S. 30s now reconfirming 34-month asc triangle
The long -term trend of the Tird-ees is up
In 1983 I took out a home mortgage at 14%
Higher rates are the multi century historical average
121 Capital Partners retweeted
Is the Bitcoin Bottom In? Fairlead's Katie Stockton Says These Signals Matter Most finance.yahoo.com/markets/cr…
