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I built Collector Briefs: a weekly email about your Punks
â—Ź What changed
â—Ź Sales and bids around your collection
â—Ź What price to sell at
â—Ź What you can expect if you prefer to borrow
â—Ź Few details you might have missed
Here’s Wilcox’s punkpredictor.xyz/me
PunksOTC bought CryptoPunk 9849 for 32 ETH from 0xmunger.eth, below PunkPredictor’s 33.54 ETH estimate.
0xmunger.eth held it for about 4 years and exited at a 44 ETH loss versus a 76 ETH basis.
OSSEN bought CryptoPunk 1603 for 62 ETH versus PunkPredictor’s 53.25 ETH estimate, about 2.0x the 31.27 ETH floor.
The latest ask was filled quickly after it was posted.
CryptoPunk 1424 was bought for 53 ETH from 0xcafb... versus PunkPredictor’s 33.03 ETH estimate, about 1.7x the 31.3 ETH floor.
The seller held for about 3 years and exited at a 0.99 ETH loss versus a 53.99 ETH basis.
dopepunks.eth bought CryptoPunk 2994 for 29 ETH, below PunkPredictor’s 31.12 ETH estimate.
The seller held it for about 11 months and exited at roughly break-even on a 29 ETH basis.
dopepunks.eth bought CryptoPunk 7711 for 29 ETH, below PunkPredictor's 30.72 ETH estimate and the 31 ETH floor.
The seller exited after about 1.2 years at a 20.94 ETH loss versus a 49.94 ETH basis.
0xe186... ranks as a top 1.2% trader in the scorecard. 10 punks. 2S/1B last 30d. +194.5 ETH realized.
punkpredictor.xyz/share/wall…
CryptoPunk 3190 was bought for 29 ETH from 5762, versus PunkPredictor’s 30.47 ETH estimate and the 30.65 ETH floor. The latest ask was filled in under a minute.
CryptoPunk 1930 was bought for 29.98 ETH, just below PunkPredictor’s 30.37 ETH estimate and the 30.65 ETH floor; the latest ask was filled immediately.
5762 bought CryptoPunk 5084 for 28.73 ETH, below PunkPredictor’s 39.31 ETH estimate and the 30.65 ETH floor. The latest ask was filled in under a minute.
Oct 12-18 recap: 17 Punks were bought this week, and we priced every one before it hit. Within ~5.66% on average.
Closest call: Punk #3378 was bought for 33Ξ vs the model's 33.01Ξ.
Biggest market surprise: Punk #5191 was bought for 58Ξ, ~33.25% above where the market had it. Someone overpaid ~14.47Ξ.
The more useful question: how much edge have you left on the table?
Drop your wallet in and every Punk in your wallet history gets scored against fair value at the time. Your best steals, your biggest donations, the ETH you walked away from.
Free, no wallet connect: punkpredictor.xyz/wallet?utm…
(Full access: 7 of 20 seats open. Top 15%? Your wallet page will tell you if you qualify for 7 days free.)
CryptoPunk 8955 was bought for 32 ETH, just below PunkPredictor’s 32.16 ETH estimate.
The seller exited after 25 days with a 3.5 ETH loss versus a 35.5 ETH basis.
721 CryptoPunk 3190 was bought on OpenSea for 29.18 ETH versus PunkPredictor's 30.88 ETH estimate and the 31 ETH floor.
The Straight Hair trait appears on only 151 CryptoPunks.
PunksOTC bought CryptoPunk 6687 for 43.5 ETH, below PunkPredictor’s 46.71 ETH estimate, from adrianlat.
adrianlat held it for about 9.3 years and exited with roughly 43.2 ETH profit on a 0.3 ETH basis.
CryptoPunk 7608 was bought for 29.99 ETH, right on the floor and just above PunkPredictor’s 29.8 ETH estimate.
The seller held it about 8 months and exited with a 1.99 ETH profit on a 28 ETH basis.
CryptoPunk 8871 was bought for 32 ETH, just below PunkPredictor’s 32.19 ETH estimate.
The seller exited after 23 days with a 2 ETH loss relative to a 34 ETH basis.
dorianmusic bought CryptoPunk 5098 for 30.4 ETH, below PunkPredictor's 31.03 ETH estimate and the 31.19 ETH floor.
The latest ask was filled in under a minute.
CryptoPunk 1930 was bought for 29.6 ETH, below PunkPredictor’s 30.44 ETH estimate and the 30.69 ETH floor.
5762’s latest ask was filled in under a minute.
CryptoPunk 5893 was bought for 31.21 ETH versus PunkPredictor's 31.32 ETH estimate and the 30.99 ETH floor, from 5762.
The latest ask was filled in 45 seconds.
CryptoPunk 6239 was bought for 31.91 ETH, below PunkPredictor’s 35.84 ETH estimate.
The seller had held it for about 1.2 years and exited at an 18.08 ETH loss versus a 49.99 ETH basis.




















