Northwest Frontier Capital (@NWFCapital) profile picture

All-Cap Global investing, nowhere near the efficient frontier. Definitely not investment advice

Joined May 2024
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Excited about our new Bee devices launching today. They turn your conversations into summaries, to-dos, and reminders, so the details are there when you need them. Bee Frontier goes on your wrist or clips to your clothing, and Bee Eclipse snaps to the back of your phone to catch what you'd otherwise forget throughout your day, whether it's notes from a class you're taking, the details of a trip you're planning, or an idea that comes to you in the car. They connect to Alexa+ and Amazon.com, so the things you mention are easy to find later. And you're always in control…one button turns it on or off, a light shows when it's on, audio is never stored, and only you can see your data. Think folks are gonna find this really handy. aboutamazon.com/news/devices…
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Proving that world capital markets are just one giant game of ‘guess the number’
In all seriousness, it is kind of hilarious everyone is fixating on the ARR metric of a share loser to gauge the health of the AI trade.
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Netcompany $NETC - Strong Q2 with FY Rev guide upgraded - Revenue: DKK2.457m (+17.3% yoy org, 43% rpt) - EBITDA: DKK324.5m (31.2% yoy org, 47% rpt) - EPS: DKK4.31 (400% yoy rpt) FY26 guide: Now expecting 16%-20.5% sales growth, 16%-19% EBITDA margin (inc NDS)
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A clean beat and raise qtr from NETC. Driven by org growth in DK, UK and NOR all outperforming. Market negative on margins in qtr, but stronger growth trend will put upward pressure on margins within the wide guidance range. 14x FY27e for mid teens and accelerating growth.
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Cloudflare $NET Q2 - More acceleration, revs +36% yoy, RPO +35%, v strong guidance Sales: $696.1m, +36% yoy, +4.7% vs cons. Op income: $96.1m, +33% yoy, 14.1% margin +7% vs cons Q3 Guide: Rev $736-737m vs $721.3m EPS $0.34 vs $0.32 cons FY26 Guide upgraded to $2.86-$2.87bn
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$TEAM Q4 - Growth acceleration, higher margins, strong guide Sales $1.69bn vs $1.66bn cons. EPS $1.87, beats $0.37 Cloud Rev +31% vs +25.5% guide Op Margin 36% vs 30.5% guide Guide: Q1 Cloud revs +28.5%, Op margin 28.5%. FY27 Total revs +13%, Cloud revs +25.5%, Op margin 25%
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After months of a 'can you believe the growth?' debate around Atlassian this real vindication for the co. Record qtr in $1M-$5M ACV deals. Largest deal in co's history. Second qtr of RPO growth >40%. Both GAAP and adj. margin better than expected on cost discipline. Strong stuff
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$NYT Q2 - Beats across board, but weaker margins and slight Decel in guide, -9.5% Pre Mkt. Revenue Sub Rev: $537m vs $532m cons. Ad Rev: $ vs $142m Total: $762m vs $751m Op Income: $155m vs $137m cons. Q3 Guide: Sub Revs +9-11%, Ad Revs HSD/LDD, Op cost +8-9%. C.- 1ppt decel
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Stock not cheap on 27x but struggling to understand the PM move. This was a fundamentally solid quarter for NYT. Market might be concerned about the specter of op cost growth, but investment is delivering higher subs, modest ARPU growth and now accelerating ad revs.
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Amazing to see @Jira being recognised for it's role in sales & marketing teams. Unleash the potential of _every_ team 👊🏻
Replying to @AnthropicAI
@AnthropicAI shared their sales stack in an AI GTM talk at SaaStr: Jira for ticketing.  Build on what's already working. youtu.be/RrCNcqHrPCo?t=7543
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Northwest Frontier Capital retweeted
I'm moving on from @Google. I had the privilege of helping build two businesses from zero: first across Search & Ads, then Gemini. Three years ago, OpenAI and Anthropic were in the lead. We built what it took to compete: the playbook for building AI models, the customer feedback flywheel, and the enterprise business. Gemini 3 was the moment those systems came together. To the Gemini team: we went from underdogs to competing at the frontier. Keep pushing. For now, I'm enjoying the emergent capabilities of some real intelligence at home - my toddler. She's been quietly shipping.
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Tech headcount definitely in trouble when the company's on 30x Sales start cutting. Cloudflare eliminating 20% of headcount
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Cloudflare $NET Q1 - Inline qtr, no further accel, stock -13% AH Sales: $639m, +34% yoy, +3% vs cons. Op income: $73.1m, +30% yoy, +2% vs cons. EPS: $0.25, +56% yoy, +9% vs cons Q2 Guide: $644bn to $665bn, inline vs cons. & prior guide.
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Initial view is there is not much incrementally new within these results. Cloudflare's business is still clearly accelerating, though at a slower rate in Q1. Main takeaway at present is the announcement of restrucuting plan, eliminating roles in favour of AI first model
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$TEAM Q3 - Accelerating, not dying. 'Customers sign bigger, longer-term commitments'. Sales $1.56bn miss by $90m EPS $1.75, beats $0.41 Cloud Rev 29% vs23% guide Op Margin 34% vs 27.5% guide Guide: Q4 Cloud revs +25.5 %, Op margin 27.5%. FY26 Cloud revs +26.5%, Op margin 29%
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This is a massive qtr for Atlassian. An acceleration of nearly 3ppt in cloud growth q-o-q, does a lot to dispel the concerns about the sustainability of growth for the business. Can point to larger and longer commitments from customers. Also guiding to GAAP profitability.
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The thing that everyone missed on $GOOG search is disruption required billions of users migrating to a new product while in the interim AI has been increasing both the surface and the value of its advertising
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63% in cloud AND 19% in search. We are being spoiled. $GOOG
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This $GOOG giving up on enterprise and 100% focused on consumer?
BREAKING: Google plans to invest up to $40 billion in Anthropic.
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