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ALT A car drives through a snowstorm in Broomfield, Colorado, in 2024. Credit: Bob Hyatt/NOAA
ALT The 2026-2027 U.S. Winter Outlook map for temperature shows the greatest chances for warmer-than-average conditions in the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Midwest, Mississippi Valley, much of the East and Alaska. (Image credit: NOAA)
ALT U.S. Drought Monitor map for October 13, 2026 illustrates nationwide drought intensity levels ranging from abnormally dry to exceptional drought. Heavy concentrations of extreme and exceptional drought (D3–D4) are highlighted across the Central Rockies, High Plains, and Pacific Northwest. Additional severe conditions affect parts of the Upper Midwest, Northeast, South Central states, and Puerto Rico.
ALT A NOAA map displays the 6-10 Day Precipitation Outlook valid from October 20–24, 2026. Most of the central and western United States, Alaska, and Hawaii show a high probability of leaning or likely above-normal precipitation, with the highest probability centered over the Southwest. Meanwhile, the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Ohio River Basin are lean below normal.
ALT A NOAA map displays the 6-10 Day Temperature Outlook valid from October 20–24, 2026. A vast majority of the central and eastern United States, along with southern Alaska and Hawaii, shows a high probability of leaning or likely above-normal temperatures. Conversely, much of the Far West leans likely below-normal temperatures.
ALT Map of the NOAA National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center’s U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook valid September 17 through December 31, 2026, showing widespread persistent drought across the northwestern United States, along with widespread drought improvement and removal across the southwestern, central, and eastern regions. Areas of new drought development are forecasted primarily across part of the Washington and Oregon border, northern Idaho, and northwestern Montana.
ALT A Moderate Risk (level 3/4) of Excessive Rainfall Outlook is in effect for today across Oklahoma. Multiple rounds of storms may drop 3-5 inches, locally as high as 8. Flooding could be greater in coverage, as well as locally significant. Remember to turn around, don't drown
ALT Graphic indicating the areas of new imagery mentioned in the post.
ALT NOAA Storm Prediction Center Day 1 severe weather outlook for Tuesday, October 13, 2026. A Slight Risk (yellow, level 2 of 5) extends from western Oklahoma through central Kansas into southeastern Nebraska. A broader Marginal Risk (dark green, level 1 of 5) stretches from southwest Texas northeast through Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, and Illinois, with another area across western and central New York. General thunderstorms (light green) are possible across portions of the Southwest, southern Plains, Midwest, Great Lakes, Northeast, Texas Gulf Coast, and southern Florida. Outlook valid through 7 AM CDT Wednesday, October 14.
ALT Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas will see locally heavy rainfall today through Thursday as an upper-low across the West interacts with a stationary boundary in the Plains. 3 day rainfall totals of 2-4 inches are likely with locally higher than 5 inches possible.
ALT National Hurricane Center forecast for Hurricane Isaias, issued October 9, 2026, at 4 PM CDT. Isaias is a Category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph, moving north at 17 mph. The storm is approaching the northern Gulf Coast, with landfall expected Friday evening near the Alabama-Florida border. Hurricane warnings cover portions of the northern Gulf Coast, while tropical storm warnings extend inland across Alabama and surrounding areas. The storm is forecast to weaken while moving north through Alabama, Tennessee, and Kentucky over the weekend. Hazardous conditions can occur outside the forecast cone.
ALT National Hurricane Center peak storm surge forecast for Hurricane Isaias, issued October 9, 2026. The highest surge of 6–9 feet above ground level is forecast along the Alabama and western Florida Panhandle coastline near Gulf Shores and Orange Beach. Surge of 4–7 feet is forecast near Dauphin Island and eastward toward Indian Pass, Florida. Other coastal areas could experience 3–5 feet in southeastern Louisiana, 4–6 feet along portions of Florida's Big Bend, and 1–3 feet farther from the storm's center. Values represent potential water heights above normally dry ground.
ALT Weather Prediction Center map showing the greatest flash flood risk over the next three days from Hurricane Isaias, issued October 9, 2026. A Moderate Risk (at least 40%) extends along portions of the northern Gulf Coast from southern Alabama through the Florida Panhandle, with another Moderate Risk area extending from northern Georgia toward southeastern Tennessee. A broader Slight Risk (at least 15%) covers much of Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, the Carolinas, and portions of northern Florida. Marginal Risk areas extend into surrounding states. Three smaller maps show the daily progression of flash flood risks through Monday morning.
ALT Satellite imagery overlaid with three forecast track cones: Rachel tracking toward Southern California/Nevada, Simon moving north into western Mexico, and Isaias tracking from the Gulf of Mexico northeast across the U.S.