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Here's my March database & portfolio:
- Exact portfolio
- Exact watchlist (with technical and fundamental entry)
- Theme tracker
- 10+ tabs of stocks per theme (so far we have robotics, power grid, optics, cybersecurity, space etc). All of these tabs have growth metrics measured against multiples.
Very cheap to try. If you don't like it, you've not lost much. If you like it, then there's huge value to be found here.
open.substack.com/pub/makemo…
Does everyone realise how illogical people were being last week now?
Yet again people fell for the FUD.
$SPCX
ELON:
- WE COULD HAVE 20GW OF SI CAPACITY ONLINE BY NEXT YEAR, SMALL CHANCE BUT IT IS POSSIBLE
- I WOULD BE SURPRISED IF WE BROUGHT ON LESS THAN 13GW OF COMPUTE BY THE END OF NEXT YEAR
If Elon brings 20GW online next year...
Now people are using some logic again because Elon reminded us how early we are in this buildout
Let's take a look at some opportunities.
Here's a concentrated, high growth 15 stock basket I'd make right now at todays levels:
Interconnect:
1. $MRVL: Investor day evidenced management believe Marvell is here to scale as they work towards $30 EPS by 2031.
2. $AAOI: My higher risk optics play on a potential 9x inflection in monthly capacity by Q4 27. Currently trades ~1x FY28 base case revenue.
Neoclouds:
3. $NBIS: Hard not to be bullish when forecasts are projecting ~$70-90B in ARR over the coming years.
"Being on the demand side is the easiest job in the world." - Roman Chernin
Healthcare:
4. $LLY: GLP-1 leader, multi-year runway, huge drug discovery potential which opens the door to a +$3T MC in my opinion.
5. $TEM: Owning the quality data will be the moat for the next 10+ years. Nobody else has this quality of data at $TEM's scale.
Robotics:
6. $OUST: The former pure LiDAR play that is now a play on Physical AI perception in general post StereoLabs acquisition.
7. $RRX: A slightly more boring way to ride the robotics wave but the bearings and actuator market is set to increase by ~300x as per MS.
Energy:
8. $BE: Valuation is high but when Morgan Stanley forecast ~7 GW as a 2028 midpoint, we're starting to look in the +$23B revenue range (vs FY26 revenue at $4.2B).
9. $FLNC: I'd make this position much smaller in size but I think the r/r here makes a lot of sense for $FLNC.
Space:
10. $SPCX: Not hitting $500B - $1T in ARR in 2027...but still very bullish. Always trust Elon over a long enough time period.
Brazil:
11. $EWZ: Just a safe hedge against the US markets whilst also being an indirect pure play on the physical AI buildout. I know that kind of counteracts each other but it's true.
12. $NU: The best FinTech unit economics in the world despite operating through a challenging macro environment.
Crypto:
13. $COIN: Still priced like a crypto exchange but it's building the infrastructure behind the entire crypto revolution. My base case is ~$250B MC.
14. $SECZ: Tokenized RWA forecasts ~$10T on-chain by 2030. Securitize is the pure equity play on that.
Commodities:
15. $COPX: I would like more commodities in my basket but I ran out of room as per my 15 ticker limit. Copper has the clearest supply vs demand imbalance by far.
Oliver | MMMT Wealth (CPA) retweeted
If you're selling $NBIS because of a Korean IPO then the FUD and media has really taken all logic out of you.
Instead of focusing on what's falling, focus on what's holding up.
That's your potential sign of what's to come:
-> $COIN +18% since July along with $BTC / $ETH DESPITE:
- Iran War
- Failed CLARITY Act
- Quantum fears around crypto
- Inflation
- General risk off appetite
Yet people still think crypto is "too risky".
-> $EWZ +24% since July. Bullish $NU, $MELI, $VALE, $DLO into elections later this week.
-> $XLV +11% since July. Bullish $LLY and $TEM.
Oliver | MMMT Wealth (CPA) retweeted
If history repeats itself then $NVDA & Jensen have been a pretty good proxy for where to invest.
Examples:
-> $CRWV: Invested in early 2023
-> $NBIS
-> $INTC: Invested at ~$23 per share
-> Optical plays like $COHR / $MRVL / $LITE
-> $APLD
AI investing could actually be as simple as following Jensen for the most part.
$NVDA CEO Jensen Huang just announced planned investments in Agile Robots, Avelios Medical, Mirelo and Reflex Aerospace alongside a new agreement with Germany's government to develop physical AI models.
Nvidia is clearly looking to establish its platform across industrial AI.
Oliver | MMMT Wealth (CPA) retweeted
JP Morgan sees $BTC outperforming US equities, gold, REITs, and bonds over the next decade.
As I've said many times - we're entering the inflection point for the new financial system.
If $BTC outperforms, just watch what will happen to $COIN, $HOOD, $SECZ.
It's becoming clearer and clearer that we're entering the inflection point for the new financial system.
That's why $COIN has become a material position for me sub $50B MC with a TAM as literally the entire financial system...$50T ?
Just in Q2 onwards we've had:
-> $HOOD Chain
-> Tokenized stocks from $1B to $3B as of September
-> $228M of tokenized stocks on $BASE in first 30 days
-> Stablecoins head back above $300B MC
-> UniCredit looking to offer crypto custody and tokenized investments
-> $META reporting building stablecoin features into FB/Whatsapp
-> $COIN prediction markets reaching $100M ARR already.
And $COIN is building the infrastructure behind most of this.
Long $COIN.
Oliver | MMMT Wealth (CPA) retweeted
$MRVL probably has the best relative strength in the AI trade that I'm seeing right now.
Just fyi.
Jensen is right with $MRVL being a $1T company.
Just very simple back of the napkin math:
-> $70-90B in revenue by 2031
-> $30 EPS by 2031 (as a low end)
-> A very conservative 25x multiple on $30 EPS gives you $750 share price which is ~$700 billion.
Go slightly more bullish at $32 EPS and 30x multiple and we have a $960 share price and a MC ~$850 billion.
Sometimes the next 3-4x opportunities are just sitting in plain sight but retail wants to find the next micro cap instead.
If you're selling $NBIS because of a Korean IPO then the FUD and media has really taken all logic out of you.
JP Morgan sees $BTC outperforming US equities, gold, REITs, and bonds over the next decade.
As I've said many times - we're entering the inflection point for the new financial system.
If $BTC outperforms, just watch what will happen to $COIN, $HOOD, $SECZ.
It's becoming clearer and clearer that we're entering the inflection point for the new financial system.
That's why $COIN has become a material position for me sub $50B MC with a TAM as literally the entire financial system...$50T ?
Just in Q2 onwards we've had:
-> $HOOD Chain
-> Tokenized stocks from $1B to $3B as of September
-> $228M of tokenized stocks on $BASE in first 30 days
-> Stablecoins head back above $300B MC
-> UniCredit looking to offer crypto custody and tokenized investments
-> $META reporting building stablecoin features into FB/Whatsapp
-> $COIN prediction markets reaching $100M ARR already.
And $COIN is building the infrastructure behind most of this.
Long $COIN.
Oliver | MMMT Wealth (CPA) retweeted
Last week showed you why diversifying across themes is so important.
That's why hedge fund deleveraging was so big. Most funds just had 20+ pure AI names and called that "diversification".
Here's the most important themes:
1. Brazil / $EWZ
-> $NU
-> $MELI
-> $VALE
2. Crypto / $BTC
-> $COIN
-> $SECZ
-> $HOOD
3. Silver / $SLV
-> $HL
-> $CTGO
4. AI Buildout / $SMH
Endless names here as we all know but a few of my favourites below:
-> $BE
-> $NBIS
-> $AAOI
-> $MRVL
5. Healthcare / $XLV
-> $LLY
-> $TEM
-> $ISRG
Here's the VARA AI Fund and their "diversification".
If history repeats itself then $NVDA & Jensen have been a pretty good proxy for where to invest.
Examples:
-> $CRWV: Invested in early 2023
-> $NBIS
-> $INTC: Invested at ~$23 per share
-> Optical plays like $COHR / $MRVL / $LITE
-> $APLD
AI investing could actually be as simple as following Jensen for the most part.
$NVDA CEO Jensen Huang just announced planned investments in Agile Robots, Avelios Medical, Mirelo and Reflex Aerospace alongside a new agreement with Germany's government to develop physical AI models.
Nvidia is clearly looking to establish its platform across industrial AI.
Last week showed you why diversifying across themes is so important.
That's why hedge fund deleveraging was so big. Most funds just had 20+ pure AI names and called that "diversification".
Here's the most important themes:
1. Brazil / $EWZ
-> $NU
-> $MELI
-> $VALE
2. Crypto / $BTC
-> $COIN
-> $SECZ
-> $HOOD
3. Silver / $SLV
-> $HL
-> $CTGO
4. AI Buildout / $SMH
Endless names here as we all know but a few of my favourites below:
-> $BE
-> $NBIS
-> $AAOI
-> $MRVL
5. Healthcare / $XLV
-> $LLY
-> $TEM
-> $ISRG
Here's the VARA AI Fund and their "diversification".
$MRVL probably has the best relative strength in the AI trade that I'm seeing right now.
Just fyi.
And now we get a note from Morgan Stanley as the pre-market rips:
MORGAN STANLEY SAYS US STOCK SELL OFF MAY BE NEARING ITS END.
I thought last week all institutions called this a bubble popping?
The noise is truly incredible.
The AI application era will arrive.
But AI is still in the very physical buildout phase (optics is 2027-2029 story, memory constrained to 2029+, energy is still the bottleneck).
Yet we have memory ( $MU, $SNDK) names at 3x revenue and optics trading 6-11x revenue.
Whilst the application layer trades +15-50x in some cases.
We're nowhere near done with the buildout. This is a temporary reset.
Last week was one of the noisiest, most engagement farming weeks I've seen on X.
All logic went out the window and from headlines scattered around you'd assume the AI buildout is over just 2 years in.
Can we stop listening to bs and listen to what ACTUAL companies are saying?
-> $LITE is sold out to 2029.
-> $ASML sees chip demand to 2030.
-> $MU has ~1/3rd of revenue already contracted into 2030.
-> $MRVL is seeing ~10x revenue between now and 2031
We're still in the first innings of agents, robotics, drug discovery etc.
I'm hoping X is a more logical place to be this week.
Oliver | MMMT Wealth (CPA) retweeted
My 2030 $NBIS estimate remains exactly the same.
We're trading no more than 2x FY27 ARR today (also taking into account the non-core business).
With 2030 forecasts approx +$90B ARR that means the core business is now trading that also means $NBIS core business is now trading ~0.4x FY30 ARR projections.
Here's my 2030 $NBIS estimate:
-> 5GW capacity is contracted by YE 26 with 1GW capacity to be deployed per year from FY 27.
-> Mid-term ACV is ~$20-25M as per management (for reference it used to be ~$12M).
So a BULL case model would look something like this:
5.2 GW connected capacity by 2030 on a blended ARR/MW of $14M (that's a realistic haircut on utilization, mix, and timing vs the $20-25M forecasted.
5,200 MW * $14M = $72.8B ARR
With EBITDA margins forecasted to stabilize near 45%... we're then looking at ~$32.7B in EBITDA.
Bull case multiple: 25x
Base case multiple: 18x
Bear case multiple: 13x
25x * $32.7B -> $817B
18x * $32.7B -> $588B
13x * $32.7B -> $425B
Or go more conservative (which is fair) and go 13x * 75% of the forecasted EBITDA.
13x * $24.5B -> $318B
EV is currently $78B.
Oliver | MMMT Wealth (CPA) retweeted
The AI application era will arrive.
But AI is still in the very physical buildout phase (optics is 2027-2029 story, memory constrained to 2029+, energy is still the bottleneck).
Yet we have memory ( $MU, $SNDK) names at 3x revenue and optics trading 6-11x revenue.
Whilst the application layer trades +15-50x in some cases.
We're nowhere near done with the buildout. This is a temporary reset.
















