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Bear market targets full commentary.
In this video you'll find all my thoughts, reasoning process, analysis and what to look for.
I invite you to watch it till the end because there are some important nuances that should be not skipped.
Of course, with my classic 🇮🇹 accent that adds some funny sauce.
Hope you'll appreciate it and, as always, thanks to the ones who support my work.
ZERO IKA 🗡️ retweeted
🉐 Announcement: Product Enrolling (+limited offer) 🉐
As you know, we’re just 3 weeks away from the release of our proprietary app and I want to showcase all the features and future plans we have in mind.
This wi be massive and game changer for many. (read till the end)
🉐 Dashboard
In here you’ll be able to monitor your active and passive portfolios, manage futures, spot, stocks, commodities, and crypto from one professional workspace.
🉐 Trading Hub
Probably one of the most interesting features.
Members will be able to plan their setups (see here -> xitter.cf/iamzeroika/status/2057…)
and share them in the hub, if they want.
In this way, people will interact with each others about trading setups creating a collaborative environment.
🉐 MyTrades(aveanced trade management)
As shown in the video, members will be able to organize setups by strategy, risk management, and key trading parameters to track and improve performance.
🉐 Sensei AI
We will also integrate the Sensei AI that will analyze your trades to identify strengths, weaknesses, recurring mistakes, so you will grow step by step.
🉐 Smart Portfolio
Members will be able to track assets and receive Sensei AI-driven insights on risk exposure, diversification, and portfolio optimization.
🉐 The Dojo (Next-Gen Education)
How many PDF pages does Notion have?
More than 2.000, an educational trading book, but it’s time to level up.
It will be a fully redesigned educational experience integrating all learning materials into one modern platform and the goal is to integrate guided learning paths, simulations, quizzes, and progress tracking tailored to every trader level.
🉐 Future plans:
1️⃣ Integrate AI market scanner to discover real-time trading opportunities based on your trading style and preferred strategies.
2️⃣ Integrated live sessions
The final goal is to detach from Discord and being able to follow the live sessions directly inside the platform.
3️⃣ Custom Workspace
Personalize your environment with modular dashboards, watchlists, and custom layouts.
4️⃣ Integrated Economic Calendar + seasonality
Over time, I want to give access to a built-in macroeconomic calendar with AI-enhanced market context and filtering tools + seasonality charts for trading specific commodities.
5️⃣ Ranking & Reputation System
Why not building credibility within the community through quality analysis, setups, and contributions? Why not give them rewards for this? This is something I also have in mind.
6️⃣ Multi-Broker & Multi-Exchange Sync
And what if we can allow people to connect brokers and exchanges to automatically sync portfolios, trades, and performance?
Another thing I have in mind.
As you can see, the goal is to build more than a trading platform, but a complete ecosystem combining education, trading, technology, and collaboration.
This is my long-term plan.
⚡❗Limited offer⚡❗
At the moment, the price continues to remain $9.99, but considering all the work done during these 3 years and this integration, it will increase to $20.00/month starting from the 10th of June.
You got time to lock in your sub lifetime at the original price till that date.
Don't sleep on it, quality already speaks and will speak louder in the coming months.
It took 3 months for the main idea mentioned in the video to play out.
As you can see, the inflection point we had identified between the high $70Ks and low $80Ks led to a redistribution phase that took very little time to unfold.
This is largely in line with what we had been saying all along, as well as with the idea that at least the $60K range would be the minimum downside target.
It’s always very complicated from a mental perspective to stay “loyal” to your plan as long as it’s being respected, especially during retracements to the upside that seem to scream “this time is different”.
However, the macro targets remain the ones I mentioned in the video linked on my account.
When I intend to start accumulating BTC again, I will say so publicly, but in my opinion, it is not the right time yet.
A quote to never forget:
“If everything you offered was not enough, offer your absence. Sometimes, walking away is the greatest act of dignity and self-respect.”
Mario Benedetti.
$USOIL 🛢️
Here we go with the move on USOIL.
In the quoted post I was suggesting paying very close attention because there was a a value migration occurring around the key $86/82$ area.
The result was a +11%, and by following the main idea, buying spot and opening a long, the trade worked out well.
So this was an opportunity that I shared with everyone publicly as well, and I hope some people appreciated/took advantage.
It is also very interesting to see how, every time these kinds of key levels are involved, a news story immediately appears to justify the price increase.
In this case, it was Iran announcing the end of negotiations with the US.🇺🇸
Now, you all know what my long-term plan regarding oil is.
Honestly, I do not believe it has exhausted its strength yet.
Rather, I think this is a reaccumulation phase from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect it to continue fluctuating around these levels for a while and then eventually make a significant move higher, reaching a target, at least in my opinion, of around $130–145 per barrel.
We will see what happens.
However (and that's what most people are ignoring in my opinion) I continue to suggest that everyone look beyond the price of oil itself and try to understand the broader circumstances and what this situation means for the global economy.
There are many opportunities everywhere that simply need to be recognized and seized.
USOIL is a catalyst.
$USOIL
In my opinion, we need to pay close attention to US OIL, and this is the plan I have in mind.
After the pump in December, many tried to suggest that the move could be completely retraced, but the truth is that US OIL keeps building value, and we have been inside this fair value for more than 70 days now.
As you can see, we continue to migrate between the value area low and the value area high with small deviations, but in my humble opinion this is happening within a reaccumulation structure as value is being confirmed.
The current bullish bias is also supported by the non-commercials which are skewed to the long side, making perfect sense to the current thesis.
For this reason, with the current migration of value away from the VAH, it is likely that in the coming weeks we could see a return toward the VAL around $86/$82, which is my area of interest, and then potentially move, as TP1, back toward the POC and the VAH.
However, since I believe this fair value structure is reaccumulative in nature,I think it could eventually break to the upside.
If we manage to break the previous highs, in my view it could potentially even reach $128 or $140.
As you can see, I have the extensions marked there, and this is the setup I’m currently monitoring.
Keeping it simple, from value2value.
The scenario I had originally anticipated for $BTC (on this move) has already been invalidated and I think I can share a big lesson here with you.
As you know, I've been bearish on Bitcoin since a while seeing this macro move nothing but an HTF retracement to the upside, in a context of a "dead cat bounce".
Following this idea and the inital one on USDT/USDC, I did take a short position from the POC (chart on the left) targeting 72K.
However, it's also true that, according to the thesis I had laid out, I was planning to go long from the 70–72K zone because it represented a demand area, so it made sense from a technical standpoint.
In the end, I took a loss and got stopped out.
One mistake I occasionally make is allowing my broader long-term bias to influence my decisions.
Even so, I often try to capture these counter-trend moves in an attempt to optimize my performance but in this case, that optimization simply didn't exist.
I should have respected the HTF and the long-term view instead of taking that additional risk, even though it was very small (I risked only 1–1.5%) as I always do.
There was no real reason to take that trade.
I should have simply stuck with the short position, which was my primary thesis.
This is a major lesson.
Sometimes the desire to catch this move or that move just doesn't make any sense. It literally doesn't make any sense. You simply need to have a plan, execute one setup, and that's it.
And if there's a lesson here for anyone watching, it's that discipline will always outperform the need to be involved in every move.
The market will give you endless opportunities, but your job as a trader is not to catch them all, it's to execute your edge consistently.
Missing a trade is rarely what hurts your performance, abandoning your plan usually is.
The best traders aren't the ones who take every opportunity, they're the ones who stay aligned with their process, even when the temptation to do otherwise is strong.
So yes, I took a loss. It doesn't affect my broader long-term plan at all, but it was definitely something I could have avoided.
As a result, I had to restructure the plan and continue following the original thesis, which was to see Bitcoin revisit at least the lows around 60K.
Food for thought, I guess.
Let's make a proper update on USDT/USDC D. for understanding the situation tied to $BTC.
During the last post we were seeing a bounce from the key zone going for the supply and stating the importance of not closing above the 10.74% in order to not shift the MSS to bearish.
So far, this didn't happen and we're now seeing a further aggression into the 3D supply which alone wouldn't mean a lot (in a clean HTF trend) but considering the several confluences that have been given (T1+BTC key zone).
Now what I'm potentially seeing developed, is an HTF Wolfe Wave.
0 -> 1 -> 2 -> 3 -> 4 -> 5?
The 5th move is missing and this is what I would like to see in a context in which we extend the local bullishness for an HTF distributive pattern on $BTC, hitting 80K as first area and $82.800+.
Specifically, after the potential tap of the 9.70/9.40% (fully mitigating the zone), it would be important to track the ROV phase that, if confirmed, would likely open the doors for the EPA one and potentially more.
Personally, for my preference, I would like to see another aggression to the upside on USDT/USDC deviating above the 28th May high, completely tapping the BTC key zone (-1/1.20% more or less) before the impulse, but this is not a key requirement considering the confluences that hit simultaneously.
The invalidation here is pretty much clean, with consistent closures above 11.20% that would lilkely imply a test of the 70K (0 point) and even lower, if broken.
ZERO IKA 🗡️ retweeted
✍️ AMT rules I use for my trades:
• Acceptance above VAL/below VAH price will likely migrate toward the opposite boundary of volume (VAH/VAL) using the POC as “reload” area for continuation
• Acceptance above VAH usually signals repricing and continuation, rejection above VAH usually leads back into value because the auction failed to establish higher prices as fair value
• Failed auctions at distribution extremes often lead to aggressive rotations back through the profile (with high statistical probability) -> the bigger the extremes, the higher the probability
• Rejection from low volume areas usually brings price back toward high volume and fair value because low volume zones represent price levels where the market previously found little acceptance
• If the market cannot build acceptance above a level, the breakout is often just trapped inventory created by late buyers entering into poor auction locations
• A POC that keeps attracting price during trend usually confirms the “true business” and accumulation rather than exhaustion
• The longer the market balances inside value, the more meaningful the eventual expansion becomes once acceptance is established outside the range
• Consecutive higher value areas and higher POCs often reveal institutional acceptance of higher prices before trend continuation becomes obvious on the chart
• Alignment with COT makes the AMT trade/setup more reliable giving it a +1
The older you get and the more you mature, the more you'll realize that the circle of people around you will continue to grow smaller, and in the end, the only ones who truly matter are your family and your real friends.
Many people will enter your life and leave almost as quickly as they arrived.
Others, the ones you were convinced would be there forever, will eventually disappoint you.
Some promises will be broken, some bonds you thought were unshakable will quietly fade away and some people you trusted with your whole heart will become strangers you barely recognize.
At first, this reality can feel painful.
We grow up believing that the people we love today will always be part of our tomorrow.
We assume that loyalty is permanent, that shared memories guarantee a lasting connection, and that time spent together creates an unbreakable bond.
But life has a different way of teaching us.
As the years pass, you begin to understand that relationships are not defined by how long someone has known you, but by how they choose to show up when life becomes difficult.
You learn that some people love the version of you that benefits them, but disappear when you begin to grow.
Some enjoy your company when everything is going well, but vanish when challenges arise.
Others remain close only as long as your paths align, and once life pulls you in different directions, the connection slowly dissolves.
And while those realizations can hurt, they also bring clarity.
Because maturity isn't about becoming cynical or losing faith in people, it's about seeing relationships for what they truly are.
It's about understanding that not everyone is meant to stay forever.
Some people are chapters, a few are the entire story.
The older you get, the less interested you become in maintaining large circles and superficial connections.
You stop chasing approval. You stop trying to convince people to value you. You stop forcing relationships that require you to constantly prove your worth.
Instead, you begin to appreciate the rare people who stay.
The friend who calls when everyone else is silent.
The family member who stands beside you when life falls apart.
The people who celebrate your success without envy and support you through failure without judgment.
The ones who know your flaws, your fears, your weaknesses, and still choose to remain.
Those relationships become priceless.
Because eventually you realize that life It's about recognizing who is genuine.
And the truth is that as your circle gets smaller, your peace often grows larger.
You spend less time dealing with drama, expectations, competition, and disappointment. You invest your energy in people who reciprocate it. You learn that quality will always outweigh quantity.
Choose wisely.
ZERO IKA 🗡️ retweeted
Its time for me to write something I would have never thought i would writing about, I have been in @IamZeroIka dojo for more than 1 year, it hasn't been easy at all transitioning from a “bag holder with no SL” to an active trader that supervises his trades and having a plan.
ZERO IKA 🗡️ retweeted
- The compounding game -
This content will re-shape your mindset and will help you to understand how the game should be played.
Read, save and share if you think it's valuable.
Let's make a proper update on USDT/USDC D. for understanding the situation tied to $BTC.
During the last post we were seeing a bounce from the key zone going for the supply and stating the importance of not closing above the 10.74% in order to not shift the MSS to bearish.
So far, this didn't happen and we're now seeing a further aggression into the 3D supply which alone wouldn't mean a lot (in a clean HTF trend) but considering the several confluences that have been given (T1+BTC key zone).
Now what I'm potentially seeing developed, is an HTF Wolfe Wave.
0 -> 1 -> 2 -> 3 -> 4 -> 5?
The 5th move is missing and this is what I would like to see in a context in which we extend the local bullishness for an HTF distributive pattern on $BTC, hitting 80K as first area and $82.800+.
Specifically, after the potential tap of the 9.70/9.40% (fully mitigating the zone), it would be important to track the ROV phase that, if confirmed, would likely open the doors for the EPA one and potentially more.
Personally, for my preference, I would like to see another aggression to the upside on USDT/USDC deviating above the 28th May high, completely tapping the BTC key zone (-1/1.20% more or less) before the impulse, but this is not a key requirement considering the confluences that hit simultaneously.
The invalidation here is pretty much clean, with consistent closures above 11.20% that would lilkely imply a test of the 70K (0 point) and even lower, if broken.
As $BTC approached one of the most sensible areas (see post here if you missed out on it xitter.cf/IamZeroIka/status/2051…) so the combination of both USDT/USDC D did, mitigating the first level marked as important one for tracking a potential correction.
We had double confluence therefore is not surprising that BTC is pushing down from the 80s.
At the moment, as you can see, we are in a supply zone at the top, and from here I would like to see a continuation to the downside.
This is my preferred scenario, as it would allow for a full mitigation of the levels, a rebalancing of the imbalance formed on January 31, 2026, completing the break & retest, and leading to a deeper correction on Bitcoin.
If that does not happen and the dominance shows enough strength to break the internal structure as well (we are talking about 10.74%) then the trend would shift bullish on dominance and bearish on Bitcoin, breaking the inverse structures and therefore potentially leading to much lower lows for Bitcoin, possibly even returning to the 60k area.
However, this needs to be evaluated step by step.
In any case, what I currently consider most likely is that Bitcoin is not in a bullish cycle zone, but that this is simply a continuation move, a dead cat bounce within a broader bearish structure.
At least, that is what the data currently suggests.
Of course, if the data changes, I will change my view as well, but as things stand right now, this is what I think.
ZERO IKA 🗡️ retweeted
Unpopular opinion: luxury has nothing to do with money, yachts, 5-star hotels, or expensive dinners.
Real luxury is having time for yourself.
It’s being able to switch your phone off, take a long bath, read a book, go for a walk, and sleep eight hours without feeling guilty.
It’s living without the constant pressure to perform or keep up on social media.
I don’t care about dressing up just to go somewhere expensive and still feel drained. I care about feeling good. Being at peace. Sharing my time with people who matter. Finding joy in simple things like a homemade breakfast, a great movie without distractions, a book you can get lost in.
Real luxury is disconnecting from the noise.
It’s nature: the sea, the mountains, fresh air.
It’s slowing down enough to actually live.
That’s it, that’s real luxury.
ZERO IKA 🗡️ retweeted
The more you study financial markets, the more you’ll discover that blood is spilled not just on charts, but in real life, all for the pleasure and profit of smart money.
While retail fights over prices, real people suffer:
jobs lost, families broken, lives upended.
The power players? They thrive on chaos, emotion, and control.
This isn’t just numbers on a screen, it’s lives being played like pieces on their chessboard.
This game is deeper, darker, and more brutal than you realize.
Once you start seeing things for what they truly are, there's no turning back and most likely, you'll feel horrified and fascinated at the same time.
$META
These are the setups that I like the most.
When the price of an asset opens with a breakway gap and moves into the VAL of a 200 days fair value + positive earnings and starts to re-accumulate inside, it's often a reason to pay attention.
In here I opened a swing long based on the concept of value migration, which may provide a solid 1:2R/R if price reaches the extreme boundary If price can close above the internal high at $624.98 creating a valid BOS.
When the price remains inside value, you want to play the extreme boundaries instead of overcomplicating things.
🉐 Announcement: Product Enrolling (+limited offer) 🉐
As you know, we’re just 3 weeks away from the release of our proprietary app and I want to showcase all the features and future plans we have in mind.
This wi be massive and game changer for many. (read till the end)
🉐 Dashboard
In here you’ll be able to monitor your active and passive portfolios, manage futures, spot, stocks, commodities, and crypto from one professional workspace.
🉐 Trading Hub
Probably one of the most interesting features.
Members will be able to plan their setups (see here -> xitter.cf/iamzeroika/status/2057…)
and share them in the hub, if they want.
In this way, people will interact with each others about trading setups creating a collaborative environment.
🉐 MyTrades(aveanced trade management)
As shown in the video, members will be able to organize setups by strategy, risk management, and key trading parameters to track and improve performance.
🉐 Sensei AI
We will also integrate the Sensei AI that will analyze your trades to identify strengths, weaknesses, recurring mistakes, so you will grow step by step.
🉐 Smart Portfolio
Members will be able to track assets and receive Sensei AI-driven insights on risk exposure, diversification, and portfolio optimization.
🉐 The Dojo (Next-Gen Education)
How many PDF pages does Notion have?
More than 2.000, an educational trading book, but it’s time to level up.
It will be a fully redesigned educational experience integrating all learning materials into one modern platform and the goal is to integrate guided learning paths, simulations, quizzes, and progress tracking tailored to every trader level.
🉐 Future plans:
1️⃣ Integrate AI market scanner to discover real-time trading opportunities based on your trading style and preferred strategies.
2️⃣ Integrated live sessions
The final goal is to detach from Discord and being able to follow the live sessions directly inside the platform.
3️⃣ Custom Workspace
Personalize your environment with modular dashboards, watchlists, and custom layouts.
4️⃣ Integrated Economic Calendar + seasonality
Over time, I want to give access to a built-in macroeconomic calendar with AI-enhanced market context and filtering tools + seasonality charts for trading specific commodities.
5️⃣ Ranking & Reputation System
Why not building credibility within the community through quality analysis, setups, and contributions? Why not give them rewards for this? This is something I also have in mind.
6️⃣ Multi-Broker & Multi-Exchange Sync
And what if we can allow people to connect brokers and exchanges to automatically sync portfolios, trades, and performance?
Another thing I have in mind.
As you can see, the goal is to build more than a trading platform, but a complete ecosystem combining education, trading, technology, and collaboration.
This is my long-term plan.
⚡❗Limited offer⚡❗
At the moment, the price continues to remain $9.99, but considering all the work done during these 3 years and this integration, it will increase to $20.00/month starting from the 10th of June.
You got time to lock in your sub lifetime at the original price till that date.
Don't sleep on it, quality already speaks and will speak louder in the coming months.
ZERO IKA 🗡️ retweeted
❗️Educational video explaining: ❗️
- Value migration theory
- Using value for understanding market's behavior and placing trades
- Exploiting value areas as dynamic protection levels
This video will help you to comprehend market dynamics on a deeper yet simple level.
Watch, implement and share if you think it can be valuable.
$USOIL
In my opinion, we need to pay close attention to US OIL, and this is the plan I have in mind.
After the pump in December, many tried to suggest that the move could be completely retraced, but the truth is that US OIL keeps building value, and we have been inside this fair value for more than 70 days now.
As you can see, we continue to migrate between the value area low and the value area high with small deviations, but in my humble opinion this is happening within a reaccumulation structure as value is being confirmed.
The current bullish bias is also supported by the non-commercials which are skewed to the long side, making perfect sense to the current thesis.
For this reason, with the current migration of value away from the VAH, it is likely that in the coming weeks we could see a return toward the VAL around $86/$82, which is my area of interest, and then potentially move, as TP1, back toward the POC and the VAH.
However, since I believe this fair value structure is reaccumulative in nature,I think it could eventually break to the upside.
If we manage to break the previous highs, in my view it could potentially even reach $128 or $140.
As you can see, I have the extensions marked there, and this is the setup I’m currently monitoring.
Keeping it simple, from value2value.
ZERO IKA 🗡️ retweeted
To be happy you must eliminate 2 things:
the fear of a bad future and the memory of a bad past.
- Seneca -