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My official bull market indicator has flashed.
Price just broke above the 2-day 200 MA cloud.
Bitcoin is back in a bullish regime, unless it falls below.
Each time price reclaimed the cloud after a retest on the 200-week MA, price rallied hard.
Embrace nuance, risk takers.
The greatest trader of the century.
For everyone asking, here is my full $mrna dream thesis. all was recorded on the next YT vid but for u twitter folk
The dates could be off but around these days
October 4th: I wanted to speed up my stock video challenge so decided to dip my toes into options, scrolling thru my port everyone was turbo bullish on every stock except one. $MRNA, everyone and their mother could only talk about how over valued it is and how good of a short it was. All I know in stocks is that ppl complain non stop about how they got fucked. It sounds like everyone loses, and if everyone is losing, I should just fade them and it’s a lock?
Oct 5th: I decided to buy some options, far out the money decently far out strike
That night I had a dream that Moderna cured cancer and wicked to $275 in one day, my portfolio was worth $11,000,000
October 6th: they didn’t cure cancer and the stock went down so i decided to load more in
October 8th: everyone on twitter called me the biggest idiot ever, that I should go short, this gave me turbo confidence that the stock had to go up cuz again, most ppl talk like geniuses behind their -80% all time port
At this point I’m in for $250,000 on my initial 50k position
Then I started asking Claude, “what would it take to get $MRNA to $275 in the next two months????”
Claude told me that they had a big catalyst coming some meeting on the 24th reviewing their cancer trials
I figured I’d bet on the side of my dream that they would cure cancer and it would rip
Fast forward 14 days or so and the stock had ripped like 25+% all the way to my initial dreams target and it made me think, everyone knows this meeting is coming, if this news comes in anything other than 10x expectations, it’s fully priced in. The idea was that Monday it would dump regardless of how good their news was. Claude confirmed my idea. I texted my homie Tuesday night the plan to let it ride till Friday then at close flip to full port short
Everything was according to plan until Wednesday close the stock ran up 5% then fell off a cliff last 10 mins. I was working so I couldn’t do anything but I texted my friend that was the top yesterday night.
Last night I had a dream that $mrna ripped +22% today
I thought it was a sign from God that I was wrong about the top being in and that I should trust my original swap end of market on Friday plan
I checked my phone and it was giga down. My port down 200k almost had me fully in a panic, thinking, maybe the sell on the news was so obvious…. That they are selling days before the news
I got too scared that the dump would happen so soon that I’d have no capital left to flip the port short come Friday. So I decided to take the loss and at least have $500k that I can try to catch the sell on the news dump.
Went full port short under the guise that even if today is another 5% green, at least I’ll be in the position I had been seeking for a few days, confidently short going into the 24th
And the rest, is some giga stroke of luck history, the news broke early somehow????
The most likely outcome for all traders would be what I was destined for. Rock solid thesis blown up by some unlucky bs.
Lucky my panic this morning got to my head enough to break my original game plan
In hindsight, this entire saga was beyond obvious
Thanks for playing!
NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE. IM JUST LEARNING AND GAMBLING. BUT ALSO PUT SUM RESPECT ON THE THESIS.
I got full receipts of every concept along the way, to be posted in the next yt vid. (After I full port SPY 0DTE
Gold? Cooked.
Silver? Cooked.
KOSPI? Cooked.
Coherent? Cooked.
Sandisk Corp? Cooked.
Western Digital? Cooked.
Quanta Services? Cooked.
I'm so tired of bad investors overreacting to everything.
The market goes up.
The market goes down.
The market has made a lot of "ups" recently.
God forbid we need to embrace another "down" before a new "up".
Keep it simple.
Sandisk $SNDK is cooked.
Truly cooked.
Once this breakdown occurs, it's fried.
Truly fried.
It's true...
I'm still unconcerned about this pullback.
I'm still bullish.
I'm buying.
I will buy at larger sizes if price goes lower.
Especially on the 200-day moving average cloud.
Embrace nuance.
Isn't it funny how risk assets started falling once yields fell?
And if you really pay attention...
You would have noticed that risk assets were performing super well when yields & the Dollar were rising in tandem.
Good thing I was talking about that in real-time.
Caleb Franzen retweeted
Replying to @CalebFranzen
Been subscribed for a few years now to @CubicAnalytics . Been following for longer. Caleb is genuine & honest. He tells it like it is. No BS. 💯 Alpha in his analysis.
Honored to be featured as Chart of the Day by @TheChartReport!
Today's Chart of the Day was shared by @CalebFranzen
The $80k polarity level continues to hold as support for Bitcoin, giving those seeking crypto exposure a well-defined area to manage risk against just ahead of what has historically been Bitcoin’s best month of the year.
Get the full details in today's report plus more great charts. ⬇️
thechartreport.com/10-21-202…
Caleb Franzen retweeted
Joining a trend late can be very dangerous. @CalebFranzen's answer: make it a smaller position.
With his 21, 55 and 200-day EMA framework, size gets bigger the deeper price pulls back into the averages.
From our Charting the Trades workshop at the Festival of Trading.
Caleb Franzen retweeted
Today's Chart of the Day was shared by @CalebFranzen
The $80k polarity level continues to hold as support for Bitcoin, giving those seeking crypto exposure a well-defined area to manage risk against just ahead of what has historically been Bitcoin’s best month of the year.
Get the full details in today's report plus more great charts. ⬇️
thechartreport.com/10-21-202…
Secured the daily close above AVWAP by $0.09.
A small win, but a win nonetheless.
The BlackRock Bitcoin ETF $IBIT is back above the AVWAP from the listing date in January 2024.
This means that the average buyer is in profit.
Buyers are typically in profit during uptrends.
Resume UpOnly.exe (please & thank you).
We are insanely close to a deal that would bring us closer to making a preliminary deal that, if all goes well, could lead to another deal being made that could produce a final deal to end whatever thing we're currently worried about.

















