Building an autonomous oil and gas company run by models and robots.

🇨🇦
Joined August 2020
Silky smooth! We're expanding fast and looking for more angel checks. We have customers and incoming revenue Please share and reach out. We're aiming to be production ready mid August Check out lagannrobotics.ai
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Your CEO should be strong. Your CTO should be wise. Your COO should be wicked, cunning, of mysterious origins, fluent in the dark arts, blurry in pictures,
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Azmain retweeted
I'm happy to launch 'The Analyst #3 Fellowship' ---- A micro-grant programme for those who want to embark on daring adventures across supply chains, conflict zones, and frontier markets. cc @citrini @dannytook @publicinte @OGshoots @Jack_Raines @Shaughnessy119 @lessin
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Which one of you bozos thought it was a good idea to build the entire world economy off just in time supply chains from the most unstable regions on the planet?
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Northrop Grumman? The mail truck company?
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Azmain retweeted
You must build bad things before you can have good ideas
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I really hope this decade brings us 10x more teenage millionaires from tinkering and vibecoding than from all the poasting and thirst trapping of the decade before.
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The death of physical controls is cost-cutting marketed as re-imagination. Instead of adding iPads, Ferrari should’ve embraced “a break from screens” and a return to mechanical craftsmanship as a new modern luxury.
There's a dangerous romance in the design industry with process. LoveFrom spent six months researching Ferrari's interior redesign. They delivered four books of research before a single design concept was even presented. Six months. Four books. For Ferrari, one of the most iconic brands on the planet. And the result? It looks like it belongs in a Fiat. This isn't a knock on LoveFrom specifically. It's a symptom of something much bigger: the industry has confused the weight of the process with the quality of the output. Here's the trap: when you spend six months doing research and deliver four bound books to a client, everyone in the room feels smart. The client feels validated because look at all this effort. The agency feels justified because look at all this work. The process becomes its own product. It starts generating its own momentum, its own gravity. And at some point, nobody can tell the difference between being thorough and actually being productive. But the customer who sits in that Ferrari interior doesn't care about four books. They don't care about six months of ethnographic research or mood boards or "strategic frameworks". They care about one thing: does this feel like a Ferrari? Does this make me feel something? And the answer, in this case, is a resounding no. This is what happens when agencies sell process as a proxy for talent. Process is a safety net. It gives everyone involved permission to not worry about whether the people doing the work are actually exceptional at the craft or the right people for the job. Because if the research was thorough, if the methodology was sound, if the strategy was airtight, then surely the output will be great, right? Wrong. Process doesn't design anything. People do. Process is just a tool. It is not the product. And the moment you confuse the two, you end up putting a Fiat interior into a Ferrari.
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SpaceX IPO is actually 3 IPOs in a trench coat.
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A short piece that had me up all night reading it. “Can you find the sadistic prison guard within you?”
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HubSpot is the most unusable piece of software I’ve tried in a while.
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Announcing The Distressed Scientists Department - a living notebook to make research a playground again. And because knowledge is more than the PDF. I turned down a “safe” PhD this year when I internalized that grants truly do take longer than experiments and that 5 years in grad school can lock you into 50 years of the same niche. I wasn't excited to do science anymore. I was ready to abandon the field completely, but watching it spiral from a distance felt worse. So I made myself a deal. One year, a lab on digital paper, dedicated to sharing the art & architecture, ache & absurdity of doing science in 2025. The Dept. has three hallways to start: → The Logbook: journalling notes, thoughts, and research; → The Paper Trail: dissecting the canon formative to scientific progress; → The Dossier: cases of organizations, ideas, and scientists - often overlooked and underrated. Some pages are already in the shelves - feel free to roam the corridors, scribble in the margins. Links below. Welcome to the Department.
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introducing @analoguegroup
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I think a lot of founders over-raise because investors let them. What’s the harm if everyone’s fine with a lofty valuation? Except, investors are able to overpay 99% of the time so long as they get one 20x bagger. And overpaying is often necessary to get into those deals.
Two founders A and B start a company with 50/50 ownership. Two years later they raise $1M at $5M post from investor C who now owns 25%, and they create an ESOP (employee stock option pool) with another 20%, so (fully-diluted) the ownership levels are A=B=27.5%, C=25%, ESOP=20%. Two years later there’s an offer to sell the company for $20M. In just four years? Wow! Each founder can get $6M before taxes (because the ESOP isn’t fully allocated yet). But both the founders and investors see this as a signal of even bigger things to come, so they turn it down and forge ahead. Instead, they leverage this valuation validation to raise $5M at $20M pre from investor D, and C takes their pro-rata, and they and top off the ESOP at pro-rata as well, so now it’s A=B=15%, C=25%, ESOP=20%, D=25%. For the founders to get $6M pre-tax, they would now need an offer of $40M. No matter, we raised money to grow, and we’re growing, so let’s grow! Two years later things are still going well, so they raise $15M on $75M pre from investor E. TechCrunch is going to write about this for sure! C & D don’t take their pro-rata (better for founders!), so now it’s A=B=11%, C=21%, ESOP=17%, D=21%, E=20%. At this point the founders have gone through a lot -- six of the most intense and stressful years of their life, even if also fulfilling, so maybe they’d want more like $10M pre-tax in any sale, to feel good about the outcome. At their ownership level, that’s a $90M sale, but they just raised at $75, so the new investors wouldn’t get enough return at that paltry level, so that’s never going to happen. You can see the pattern. There’s no obvious off-ramp here. Either the company ends up as a unicorn, or… what? The founders (and employees) would have gotten the same money had they had sold long ago? Note that this is a very good-case scenario. The company grew at a healthy clip for 6 years. Every financing round was a normal valuation and a normal amount raised -- 20%-25% each time. Nothing unfair, no one “exploited” anyone. What do you do with that information? You could say: Never raise money. But I’m happy I did at WP Engine, and I’m happy we didn’t sell early in our company’s life when we had a good offer. (The numbers were, in fact, even better than the above scenario!) It’s not just “how much money did the founders get.” Life is the journey, it’s the people, it’s building things, it’s caring about something, it’s teams caring about the same thing, it’s happy customers, it’s people’s careers, it’s wealth for many instead of just the founder. Indeed, what I find most common in bootstrapped companies is founders with 100% of the equity, and upon sale, employees get nothing. Remember that the next time you’re tempted to point the finger at the VC’s as the greedy ones. Even so, is it weird or bad that investors have most of the equity, and thus get most of the money if the company is successful, despite spending 1/100th of the time working on the company than any one of its employees, to say nothing of founders? For that, you have to decide whether "risk capital" is logical or illogical. And, of course, whether you want to make that trade. It’s perfectly sensible to say: “I never want to get on that carnival ride. My ownership is my life.” It’s also perfectly sensible to say: “I want to build something large, impactful, meaningful, substantial, creating a legacy.” I’ve done both, and I’m happy to have done both. You can pick one, without wasting hours “hating” on people or systems that picked the other.
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Today, every deal gets overpaid for but not every deal becomes a huge company. VCs are happy to eat losses on the 99 deals that didn’t make it in order to be in the 1 that did. But 99 out of 100 founders who took that deal are screwed because their economics are non-ergodic.
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Nothing is easy. Even with AI and cloud and Stripe. Those things make 𝘴𝘰𝘮𝘦 things 𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘪𝘦𝘳. All the other stuff is still hard. Distribution is still very very hard, and without it, you fail.
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I think it's weird when people talk about trying to get LLMs to think more like a person. Why would we want to replicate the type of intelligence that a human has? We don't want slightly better humans. We want something substantially intelligent for some sort of utility or advancement or assistance or something. Like self-driving cars, we’re not content with “as good as the average human.” We want 10x better than the 90%tile human. In chess, computers have been significantly better than the very best humans for 25 years. Those AIs do not think like a human; indeed, attempts to embed human-like thought resulted in worse results. LLMs -- or whatever comes next -- is like that. The goal isn’t human-like, it’s 1000x human capacity, but communicating in a way that humans can relate and understand and interact.
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The medicinal or scientific pursuit of immortality is no different than a religious or spiritual belief in an afterlife. Everyone thinks they’re gonna live forever. And if they don’t, they’re trying to leave a legacy for future generations (a.k.a. trying to live forever).
We may be the first generation to not die.
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Humans have always been so obsessed with living forever that we forget to live while we can.
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