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Issue 26 is out now. Become a subscriber at worksinprogress.co/print.
The new issue of Works in Progress, arriving with subscribers this week, is our best ever and packed with must-read pieces.
Our lead essay is @RobinRivaton and @bswud on how China's cities, and the competition between them, have driven its rise to techno-industrial preeminence.
It also includes:
- @danwwang on Chinese and American second-tier cities,
- @tylercowen on the food of Brazil,
- @vpostrel on the invention of supermarkets,
- @CharlesCMann on the discovery of porcelain,
- @salonium on the myth of accidental scientific discovery,
- Stephen Kotkin on Leninism's fatal flaw,
- @owl_posting on biomedical hedge funds,
- @PMArslanagic on the formula for lovable cities,
- @pietergaricano on Ukraine as the future of war,
- @PatRubenFitz on the Bronze Age Collapse, and
- @SCP_Hughes on the social lives of hard-partying Victorian elites.
Plus: love and shame in Ancient Rome, making mosquitoes extinct, the return of 1930s dating norms, and why Pakistan is home to the world's best architect. And our new crossword, our cocktail column, classifieds, and more!
The new edition has had a massive design upgrade with beautiful, premium matte paper, a larger form factor, and bigger, clearer and more elegant typeography. It is a joy to read.
Copies arrive with subscribers this week: subscribe now or by October 16th to get yours.
worksinprogress.co/print/
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China has become the most important manufacturing economy in the world because it is a continent-sized Silicon Valley.
worksinprogress.co/issue/chi…
Every Chinese city govt acts as a VC firm trying to create clusters in its region, because it has both the means and incentive to do so.
Local govts generate their revenues, nearly all of which they keep, from selling leases on land and from stakes they have taken in local companies, which together allow them to capture economic spillovers.
Chinese officials have their entire careers graded and determined by how much growth they have been able to create in the areas they run. Career progression is determined according to a great tournament that pits official against official and gives promotions to whoever has grown their region the most. If they don’t reach a certain stage by a certain age they are blocked from promotion forever.
This is why so many economic clusters have centred on Chinese cities, for high- and low-tech products alike. Shaodong makes 70% of the entire world's cigarette lighters; Danyang makes half of the world's spectacle lenses; Zheng'an makes 1/7 of the world's guitars; Datang a third of its socks.
Whereas many of the West’s most important city governments capture only a small amount of the spillovers from successful clusters, and thus have very little reason to foster them, in China, they get a huge amount of the upside and can re-invest it in further growth. This also gives them a great incentive to solve problems for companies, like when Shanghai's govt got Tesla's factory there built even faster than Elon himself had expected (and twice as fast as his Fremont, CA factory).
But this is not some exotic 'oriental' innovation – this is how America used to do things when it grew fastest, in the 1950s, 1960s, and early 1970s. Catching up with China on advanced manufacturing does not require a wise and strategic approach, let alone authoritarianism or the end of democracy. It may just mean fixing city government.
This is why I care so much about local in Britain and America: if we give our own local governments the same incentives and means to grow, the crazily dysfunctional entities we have become used to may be transformed into corporation-like bodies that are ruthlessly focused on making their cities rich, safe and prosperous.
Read more in Works in Progress worksinprogress.co/issue/chi…
Works in Progress retweeted
Gosh the paper quality of @WorksInProgMag has really levelled up. And whoever's on design and layout over there, take a bow. It's the small design details that you notice as you read that makes the experience so joyful. ❤️
We are excited to deploy a Ruxandra in the epicentre of the singularity. Exciting things should happen!
Works in Progress retweeted
Huge turnout for the @WorksInProgMag Issue 26 Launch Party last Sunday in San Francisco.
Thank you @cosmos_raj for the photos!
Works in Progress retweeted
Throwing a Works in Progress launch party that coincided with an air show over San Francisco Bay was really fun!
There is basically no hedonic adjustment to fighter jets soaring past your window.
Huge turnout for the @WorksInProgMag Issue 26 Launch Party last Sunday in San Francisco.
Thank you @cosmos_raj for the photos!
We are thrilled that the great @CharlesCMann, author of 1491 and 1493, has joined us as a regular contributor. And we've just released his debut article -- a foray into the long history of one very underrated material: porcelain.
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A signature Charles move is to take something that seems utterly ordinary and reveal, with flair, that it exists only because of countless small, often accidental innovations, many of them since forgotten.
And he's at his best in this new piece for us. He traces how porcelain, discovered by chance by Chinese potters some 3,000 years ago and coveted by Europeans who spent centuries failing to copy it, became a staple of modern materials science. Today it turns up everywhere from bathroom tiles that grow less slippery when wet, reducing the risk of injury, to scaffolds for bone implants, that dissolve as bone tissue regenerates.
Works in Progress retweeted
What do a cutting-edge bone implant and Mrs Potts from Beauty and the Beast have in common? Both are made from porcelain, a material humans first made over 3,000 years ago and are still reinventing today.
worksinprogress.co/issue/eve…
We focus on advances in computing, but the world around us has been transformed just as much by materials science. And within this already underrated field sits an even more underrated material. Plenty of people have heard of semiconductors, but almost no one thinks about porcelain. For @WorksInProgressMag, @CharlesCMann wrote about its remarkable journey:
- Porcelain is basically an ancient nanotechnology. 3000 years ago, Chinese potters found that firing a white clay called kaolin to around 1,200°C transformed it completely: its crystals get rebuilt, producing a material that is hard, dense, and sometimes translucent. Nobody knew why it worked at the time: they discovered it by trial and error.
- Europeans prized porcelain immensely – but had no clue had to make it. When porcelain arrived in Europe in the 12th century, it was so superior to European ceramics that aristocrats called it "white gold." But despite attempting to reverse-engineer it, Europeans failed to create porcelain for centuries.
- Fake it until you make porcelain. Böttger, an alchemist imprisoned in the early 1700s for falsely claiming to make gold, was set to work with a legitimate scientist on making porcelain. Remarkably, the scientist succeeded where others had failed for centuries, creating the first European porcelain cup. But he did not live to profit: ever the liar, Böttger claimed his discovery for himself.
- Less slippery when wet. Innovation in materials science picked up again in the 20th century and continues to this day, producing Porcelain 3.0. Today, porcelain can be found across a surprising number of household objects: from kitchen countertops to tiles that become less slippery when wet, which also makes them safer.
- The most futuristic use of all: researchers can now 3D-print porous porcelain scaffolds to repair damaged bone. The advantage is that blood vessels and bone cells grow into the scaffold’s tiny openings, while the scaffold slowly dissolves as new bone replaces it, allowing a bone-like natural structure to persist.
Porcelain has already gone from fragile imperial teacups to artificial joints and scaffolds that help bone regrow. But its 3000 year long story is far from over: expect this underrated material to play new roles in everything from medicine to architecture in the coming decades!
Huge thanks to our Issue 26 partners @meetgranola, @privy_io, @daylightco, @AISLE_Inc, @mishaglouberman, and SUN SET.
Building something WIP readers would love? Get in touch: [email protected]
Works in Progress retweeted
I’m very biased, but the new @WorksInProgMag is IMO a masterpiece in both design and content.
worksinprogress.co/print/
The @WorksInProgMag team has outdone themselves this time, I didn’t know that was possible
We got flaps and everything!
What a stunning piece of art!
China's industrial policy is driven by hundreds of cities competing with each other to maximise their economic growth.
Public officials are promoted according to who has driven growth the most, and regional governments' revenues are based on land and property, allowing them to capture economic spillovers that governments in Western countries often cannot capture.
This gives local governments in China both the means and the incentive to drive growth, far more than in most of the Western world. As a result, Chinese local governments play activist roles in setting up and growing economic clusters in their areas, investing in nascent industries the way a venture capital fund might.
China is home to over 4 million different manufacturing enterprises, twenty times as many as the United States and five times as many per capita. The clusters these businesses form allow new entrants to improve their products through rapid iteration and low lead times.
This is the secret of China's industrial miracle, and this is what the Western world must emulate if it is to reindustrialise as well.
worksinprogress.co/issue/chi…
Works in Progress retweeted
The new issue of @WorksInProgMag both looks and feels fantastic (they are now using a matte paper instead of glossy).
Featured cocktail in this issue: Hanky Panky
The fact that 70% of the world’s disposable lighters come from a single city is mind-blowing. And China repeats this pattern across industries: entire cities specialising in socks, batteries, and more. @WorksInProgMag
Works in Progress retweeted
somehow the new issue of @WorksInProgMag is even better done than the past issues
holy shit didn’t think that was possible
Works in Progress retweeted
The elites of Victorian Britain got up late, drank ceaselessly, worked short hours, partied through the night, and knew nothing about science, technology or engineering. And yet, by their own lights, they were hugely effective.
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The Victorians are often held up as a model against the supposedly soft, feckless, humanities-educated elites of today. But I argue that the genius of their system may have been its drastic weighting towards soft skills, team-building and intra-elite networking:
- A Victorian’s gentleman’s office hours typically began about 11am and finished about 5pm, including a multi-course lunch with wine.
- Upper-class Victorians drank ceaselessly. Conduct guides recommended four or five glasses of wine at dinner *for married women*. Port was often served in pints.
- Party culture was intense and nocturnal. Balls started at about 10pm, peaked after 1am, and continued till dawn. During the social season, bankers, judges and politicians might go to several balls per week.
- Elite Victorians learnt almost no STEM at school or university. At least half of class time was given over to ancient languages, often as much as 80 percent. One leading educationalist remarked that it was not worth teaching science to gentlemen because it does not involve ‘continued reasoning’.
- Sports and character formation were valued far above transmitting facts. A top headmaster described his school’s priorities as ‘First – character, second – physique, third – intelligence, fourth – manners, fifth – information’.
This cannot have made elite Victorians more productive individually, but maybe the dense social and emotional network it created helped them to work as a sort of extended team.
Perhaps we should think again about what makes groups of people effective.
Works in Progress retweeted
The new issue of Works in Progress, arriving with subscribers this week, is our best ever and packed with must-read pieces.
Our lead essay is @RobinRivaton and @bswud on how China's cities, and the competition between them, have driven its rise to techno-industrial preeminence.
It also includes:
- @danwwang on Chinese and American second-tier cities,
- @tylercowen on the food of Brazil,
- @vpostrel on the invention of supermarkets,
- @CharlesCMann on the discovery of porcelain,
- @salonium on the myth of accidental scientific discovery,
- Stephen Kotkin on Leninism's fatal flaw,
- @owl_posting on biomedical hedge funds,
- @PMArslanagic on the formula for lovable cities,
- @pietergaricano on Ukraine as the future of war,
- @PatRubenFitz on the Bronze Age Collapse, and
- @SCP_Hughes on the social lives of hard-partying Victorian elites.
Plus: love and shame in Ancient Rome, making mosquitoes extinct, the return of 1930s dating norms, and why Pakistan is home to the world's best architect. And our new crossword, our cocktail column, classifieds, and more!
The new edition has had a massive design upgrade with beautiful, premium matte paper, a larger form factor, and bigger, clearer and more elegant typeography. It is a joy to read.
Copies arrive with subscribers this week: subscribe now or by October 16th to get yours.
worksinprogress.co/print/
For decades, scientists have dreamed of medicines that could switch off the genes responsible for disease. That technology now exists. The next challenge is delivering it wherever the body needs. worksinprogress.co/issue/the…
There is no good reason for mosquitoes to exist in wealthy countries today.
New technologies can get rid of the mosquito species that cause diseases like dengue, yellow fever, and malaria; and others can prevent them from carrying those diseases.
worksinprogress.co/issue/mos…
So why do mosquitoes still exist?
In a new article for Works in Progress, Maya Rosen explains how state incapacity and risk aversion led to over a decade of delays and billions of unnecessary bites in the United States.
Oxitec, for example, engineered an Aedes aegypti mosquito in such a way that its female offspring would die before adulthood. Through sustained releases, they showed they could reduce local mosquito populations by 80% or more, in field trials.
They sought approval from the USDA in 2010, which then passed it to the FDA, which passed it to the EPA. In 2020, the EPA allowed them to conduct limited field trials in the Florida Keys. Two years ago, their experimental permit expired, and they still need another review before it can be used routinely. Their proposed field trial in California was withdrawn after public opposition.
Another company, MosquitoMate, developed a technique involving Wolbachia, which also suppresses local mosquitoes. They then spent over fifteen years working through the system before finally receiving commercial registration nationwide in 2024.
It seems that, sometimes, the barrier to getting rid of diseases isn’t technology at all. It’s policy and political will.
New products shouldn’t get stuck in regulatory review for so long, especially if the delays are about basic questions like which agency has oversight over the product, rather than testing for safety.
Though some of those uncertainties were being addressed, the broader changes haven’t materialized. After Biden’s 2022 executive order, the agencies planned to update how their coordinated framework was implemented. But Trump rescinded the order last year.
Meanwhile, the EPA unit that reviews new mosquito control products is still a small office backlogged in reviewing a wide range of products.
Mosquitoes are a policy choice. We can get rid of them. Will we choose to?
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