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Independent investment research that moves markets. Plus the data and the people who wrote it. Built for the AI era, strongest in Asia.

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Joined December 2010
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Bank Rakyat disyaki kena hack malam ni. Website dia keluar mesej “MARLANWG IS HERE”. Pihak yang letak mesej tu mendakwa dah masuk sistem dalaman dan ambil sampel data. Dakwaan data tu belum dapat disahkan.
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🧵Smartkarma #equityderivatives #threadoftheday AI-Trade Stocks Are Getting CRUSHED. Where Is Support? [Tactical SK Hynix, Samsung, SoftBank, TSMC] — Nico Rosti -- $000660.KS 1/
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The aim of the models is to identify what happened in similar past instances, to determine how close to exhaustion the current price move is. 4/
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In Conclusion: "Where does the AI selloff stop? Updated Nov 5: weekly support models mapping key levels for SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, NVIDIA, SoftBank, TSMC, Advantest Corp, Tokyo Electron." — Nico Rosti 5x
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🧵Smartkarma #bottomup #threadoftheday Multi Bintang Indonesia (MLBI IJ): Q3 FY26 Revenue +29% YoY, Margins Up, Cash Flow Rebounds — Sameer Taneja @SameerTaneja41 -- $MLBI.IJ 1/
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At Rph 6,125, our revised numbers imply 9.2x FY26E P/E, 5.8x EV/EBITDA, and 10.9% yield; 9M operating cash flow of Rph 1,313 bn rose 59%. 4/
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In Conclusion: "MLBI Q3FY26: revenue +29.1%, net profit +23.0%. Opex leverage offsets a gross margin dip. At Rph6,125: 9.2x FY26E P/E, 10.9% yield, net cash. ROE in excess of 100%" — Sameer Taneja 5x
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A lot of asset owners are about to discover that their allocations are far less diversified than the risk teams have presented them. Looking under the hood: Active equity books are long semiconductors and AI. 
Passive equity sleeves are crowded into mega-cap technology. 
Credit is long AI and data-centre related bonds. 
Real estate owns data centres.
Private markets are long Anthropic and peers. ie Different wrappers, same underlying factor. I call it di-worse-ification and would not be surprised if a number of pension funds are forced toward Total Portfolio Approach frameworks and more rigorous implied factor risk attribution as a result.
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Don’t shoot the messenger. You could have owned Tencent, or Link Reit this year. For that matter, you could have owned $NVDA or Link Reit this year. And this doesn’t account for the near 7pc yield and buybacks.
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Long ESG again?
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Everyone’s “degrossing” but as dust settled this might be a good line to pull on: APAC Consumer Staples screen: high SmartScore, liquid large-caps with strong dividend factors Smartkarma SmartScore rankings (latest pull) highlight several large-cap APAC Consumer Staples names with elevated overall scores and high Dividend factors. Selected examples include: •Wuliangye Yibin (000858 CH) — SmartScore 4.0/5, Dividend 5.0/5, market cap ~$43.4B. Recent broker notes (Wanlian, Dongwu) reference active shipment control to support batch prices and channel repair, with attention on shareholder returns. •ITC Ltd (ITC IN) — SmartScore 4.0/5, Dividend 5.0/5, market cap ~$35.1B. Broker updates (ICICI Direct, Motilal Oswal, Prabhudas Lilladher) note cigarette tax/margin pressure alongside FMCG contributions. •Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP) — SmartScore 3.8/5, Value 5.0/5, Dividend 4.0/5, market cap ~$15.4B. Broker comments (DBS) reference post-disruption recovery and constant-currency growth guidance. •Guangdong Haid Group (002311 CH) — SmartScore 4.0/5, Dividend 5.0/5, market cap ~$11.7B. Recent results notes (Pacific, Kaiyuan, Huaan) cite scale growth and overseas capacity amid short-term profit pressure. •Japan Tobacco (2914 JP) — SmartScore 3.8/5, Dividend 5.0/5, market cap ~$81.8B. Screens with high dividend and resilience factors; appears in broader defensive staples commentary.
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Recession is here…
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