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Probabilities 🪨

Georgia
Joined November 2014
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Looking to HSL (Humanity's Last Exam), Claude Mythos/Fable 5 scored ~64% with tools enabled (According to Anthropic). This puts it under the >85% needed to be called super intelligent. But well within 56% – 85% for a "Human Expert Level" classification. For Comparison...
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GPT 5.5 scores ~52%, which is under the Human Expert Level, which is also well under Mythos' scores. Temporary restriction, and citizen limitation of this model is a major shift. Just like internet in 1990s, these are foundational to "building" tech products and services... and
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Going after general intelligence with foundational models in the current state feels so much like brute-forcing encryption. It can achieve the objective in most cases, but is it the most eloquent/efficient solution?
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As I was going through "A Brief History of Intelligence", it has been fascinating to be reminded that the debate on whether LLMs can or cannot scale to AGI, has been truly in the works for at least 35 years... @maxsbennett
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@ylecun "Start with Artificial Rat-level Intelligence (ARI), then move on to Artificial Cat-level (ACI), and so on to Artificial Human-level Intelligence (AHI)." Rodney Brooks also discussed in the 90s that you can't reach intelligence if you start from the end product...
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Been using Claude Code for a few days now. Last week I built smth: a personal assistant that pulls my Gmail, Calendar, WhatsApp and LinkedIn every morning and sends a structured daily briefing to my inbox. Runs completely locally. $0 extra on top. 1) Here's how it works 🧵
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2) The part I spent most time on was the structure itself. I didn't want a data dump, I wanted it to think about what actually matters. It opens with a quote picked by the AI based on what's in your schedule that day. Not generic. Then 6 sections →
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Just wrapped up On the Edge by @NateSilver538: 1) Khachapuri? Didn’t see that coming! 😆🧀 2) A great window into the River, risk, philosophy, and thinking frameworks for high-impact tech developments 👏
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An interesting read about language modernization and its frequent drawbacks by George Orwell orwellfoundation.com/the-orw…
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How to access GPT 4 without paying monthly subscription you ask? Well @bing chat now runs on it! @Microsoft - the benefits of being the largest "shareholder" in Open Ai – at Georgia
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Replying to @OpenAIGPT4
@OpenAIGPT4 has unlocked a new market. New features that enable web connection mean that with a standalone browser, or an integration it will be the first time @Google can have a real threat/competition in SEARCH very soon 🔥 #ai #ChatGPT @OpenAI
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In 0 to 1 Peter Thiel really goes after the idea of monopoly and skipping competitive markets. Dilemma in a tech world is if it really is possible with a lurking danger of buyouts or emulation. A recent hopeful example of sort of addressing this is Open Ai. Although Microsoft's – at Georgia
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Investment will allow them to recoup 49% of profits in a long run and 75% until the principal is covered their profits are capped at 100x investment and are passive/do not translate into management rights. Open Ai is a unique example as it was not really "bootstrapped" with – at Georgia
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"The future is already here - it's just not evenly distributed" - novelist William Gibson – at Oberding, Deutschland
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Entertaining quote from Einstein - "To punish me for contempt of authority, fate made me an authority myself." - Think Again, Adam Grant – at Oberding, Deutschland
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Congrats to @MerabDvalishvil 🙌🇬🇪 a well deserved win 💪 Also, @joerogan's reactions at UFC278 are priceless 😂 – at Georgia
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Interesting... "Showing people an article from the opposite perspective, actually deepens polarisation by framing other perspective as different" - @harari_yuval Takeaway - establish common ground on the perspective before presenting an opposing argument? – at Georgia
Victor Hugo depriving himself of wearable clothes so that he doesn't procrastinate by going out, to stay home and write the Hunchback of Notre Dame is pretty impressive – at Georgia
Some actual value in this thread 💪 – at Georgia
Twitter hates LinkedIn. But I'll do 130M+ impressions & $1.4M on the platform in 2022. Here's how I use LinkedIn unlike anyone else: 🧵
Honey badgers' creativity is so underrated 🦫🙈 bit.ly/3uvLNA2
Imagine we colonize Mars but it gets hit with an eventual asteroid before Earth 🙈🌎 Roughly how far into the future can we predict asteroid trajectories for Mars? ☄️ @SpaceX #space – at Georgia
So many more videos, a little TikTok-ish 🙈 – at Georgia
Instagram is testing huge updates for feed, vertical photo, and video 📸🙌 #instagram @Meta