Posting interesting things from all corners of the internet, including Tech, Finance, AI & loads more. DMs open for business inquiries 📩
Joined January 2012
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A man spent 30 days feeding an ant colony sugar, giving the ants a reason to slack off from their daily work.
The actual point of prediction markets is risk management and hedging real world stuff.
crazy how slept on this whole space still is.
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Thank you for having me @CBSLosAngeles to speak about prediction market hedging!
Many speculate (or "bet", as you call it) on prediction markets, just like they do on any derivatives market. But the exchange structure harnesses that speculation for price discovery and enables risk management for individuals and businesses, big or small.
Over time, prediction markets will let people manage exposure to most things outside of our control. We're in the early innings of that. Incredibly excited to be part of building that future.
This is lowkey genius.
If your team wins you get customers, if they lose you get paid.
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An LA hospitality group runs 25 bars, many of them right by Dodger Stadium. Every extra playoff game means packed bars. An early exit means lost revenue they were counting on.
So they hedged it. They put $60,000 on Kalshi on the Dodgers *not* making the World Series.
The Dodgers lost the NLCS to the Brewers. The position returned nearly 2x, helping cover the playoff business that *never* came.
A Columbia law professor told Fortune it works like “a form of bespoke insurance.”
Read the full story here: fortune.com/2026/10/19/predi…
Interesting things retweeted
Being bothered by tiny insects whilst sleeping seems to be a universal problem
Yasuko Tamaki (96) is the world’s oldest office manager.
She started working at the same Japanese firm in 1956 and is still working full-time today.
Japan's Princess Mako saying goodbye to her family as she gives up her royal status by marrying a 'commoner' (2021)
Beavers stop chewing every few seconds to listen for cracking sounds in the tree so they don't get crushed.
Only one week in and Roobet is already paying out millions! 🔥
It's only been a week... 🦘
Over $3.4 million paid out across 2,412 jackpots!
ROOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOBET
It’s pretty crazy what happens when you bring 15k elite forecasters together.
Crowdsourced predictions usually beat individual experts every time.
🤝 Paid partnership
We analyzed over 1 billion trades to find out why Kalshi markets are so accurate. A group of 15,000 superforecasters is largely responsible.
What stands out:
-There are 14,694 people on Kalshi who have significantly better predictive ability than other traders. This is measured by Brier skill score, which tracks trader calibration.
-They provide their forecasts to the whole platform, not just the top few markets. Skilled traders are active in 97.3% of markets.
-Timing and category change behavior: for example, superforecasters enter economic markets earlier, and sports markets later.
-These traders aren’t concentrated in the coasts or major cities. They come from all around the country, with Wyoming having the most per capita.
Prediction markets provide an incentive for smart people to do research, think rationally, and share their views with the world.
This incentive has brought almost 15,000 superforecasters to Kalshi, who create a public good by providing accurate forecasts to nearly every market on the platform.
Interesting things retweeted
A man spent 30 days feeding an ant colony sugar, giving the ants a reason to slack off from their daily work.
Dropping an AI agent into the main group chat is dangerous because I just know my friends will train it to auto-reply to me with insults in 5 minutes 😭
🤝 Paid partnership
Wabi 2.0 is live!
personal agents are one person, one chat. but the parts of life that matter run on more than one person
Wabi is an agent you use together. you talk to it, it does stuff, builds the apps you need, and anyone can join the thread - your partner, your best friend, the preschool moms groupchat
school changes pickup time → Wabi updates the family calendar, everyone sees it.
a show you’d both love → Wabi finds a night that works, gets the tickets.
the trip everyone keeps talking about → Wabi picks the dates, builds the itinerary, books it
go start a thread with your people 👇
75% chance of a Tesla-SpaceX merger and now free stock for every kid... today’s timeline is wild
🤝 Paid partnership
BREAKING: Elon Musk will give one $SPCX share to every kid in America next year
75% chance Tesla and SpaceX merge before 2028
