
Columnist for Daily Mail UK and MailOnline USA. @TimesRadio anchor. Former Chairman of The Spectator, Editor Sunday Times, BBC TV anchor, Chairman Sky TV
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Joined April 2010
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Trump achieved the ultimate humiliation: Uniting Republicans & Democrats... youtu.be/D4dIkSgjaI8?is=Gclk… via @YouTube
Andrew Neil retweeted
Replying to @afneil @TimesRadio
Beautifully clear, concise explanation of the mess Trump has led America into.
My Times Radio monologue on The Times at One with ANDREW NEIL today: @TimesRadio
Vote as if my name is on the ballot, President Trump urged Americans in the run up to yesterday’s midterm elections.
Americans did as they were told — and delivered the most decisive repudiation of a sitting president in modern times.
Make no mistake this was a referendum on Donald Trump — which he lost, big time.
His Republican Party was washed away by a blue wave in the House and the Senate. The Democrats will now have comfortable working majorities in both.
There are still about 60 House seats to report. You need 218 for a majority. The Democrats already have 231.
They’re projected to end up with 258 — the widest House victory margin since 1993. In terms of the House popular vote, the Democratic share was 54%, the Republicans 44%. It doesn’t get much more definitive than that.
The Senate was a tougher nut to crack. But with two seats still to report the Democrats have picked up seven gains, lost none, giving them a 54:44 clear majority.
Mr Trump immediately defaulted to rewriting history. As he does.
‘I wasn’t on the ballot,’ he suddenly claimed. ‘If I was, we would have won BY A LANDSLIDE.’ Of course by his own words we know that not to be true.
The man in the Oval Office is almost entirely to blame for his party’s defeat.
At a time when ordinary American families — the kind who re-elected Trump in 2024 — were reeling from soaring prices at the petrol pump and supermarket check-out counter, Trump was droning on about a reflecting pool in Washington, men’s bodies and his White House ballroom project.
Compared to Trump’s delusional campaigning, Marie Antoinette had the common touch.
He had been elected on a promise to foreswear forever wars, especially in the Middle East. A year after his inauguration he launched yet another forever war — in the Middle East.
He promised to get on top of inflation. It rose. All the higher because of what his attack on Iran did to fuel prices. And because his tariffs pushed up prices too.
China would pay the tariffs, he insisted. It was always a lie. By the time they voted yesterday Americans knew it to be a lie. They, not the Chinese, were picking up the tab.
A massive nationwide poll taken yesterday found that 90% of voters saw the cost of living — affordability — the biggest midterm issue. They thought Trump’s war and his tariffs had made inflation worse.
Six in 10 specifically mentioned the price of food, petrol, diesel; 60% opposed his war, which was unpopular from day one and grown even more unpopular.
Trump responded with a tin ear. ‘Inflation is solved’, he insisted, bizarrely, as the campaign came to an end. Americans knew otherwise.
There are times when the Trump administration and its cronies look like the ruling class in the Hunger Games — living the life of Reilly in palatial splendour and bling while most folk struggle to make a living.
Corruption was an issue in these elections for over 70% of voters.
They see the Trump administration as something of a kleptocracy, the Trump family and its cronies enriching themselves with lucrative multi-billion dollar deals with foreign potentates and billionaires while plain folk struggled with diesel at over $6 a barrel.
Thus did Trump reap what he had sowed. The Democrats won all their target Senate seats and a few others — Kansas, South Carolina — besides.
They will have a majority in the House beyond their wildest dreams.
The coalition of voters which returned Trump to the Oval Office in 2024 — MAGA, independents, moderate Republicans, Hispanics — has shattered. Other than the MAGA base, it has defected to the Democrats — or stayed at home.
In the full flush of victory, however, the Democrats should realise that this is much more a rejection of Trump than an embrace of them.
Historic though their victory is, it settles very little. Trump still has two years to rampage. Congress can do little to confine him.
The Democrats need to work out what they really stand for. The Republicans to determine what they should be post-Trump. Both parties risk becoming seriously fractured.
The world is not about to become more stable, more predictable, more comfortable. If anything, the opposite given how hard it is to know what Trump, wounded and resentful and increasingly unstable, might do next.
But at least he has said he will accept the outcome of the elections. So no constitutional crisis, no repeat of January 6th. That’s at least something. Now brace yourselves for what’s to come.
With over 95% of the votes counted (almost 1m votes) in Mississippi Senate race, the Democrat is ahead by 43 votes!
Andrew Neil retweeted
After the appalling way colleagues at the @Telegraph have been treated, including @LiamHalligan, I’ve cancelled my @Telegraph sub and subscribed to this instead. Would urge you all to do the same.
substack.com/@liamhalligan/n…
Andrew Neil retweeted
Andrew Neil says American voters "delivered the most decisive repudiation of a sitting president in modern times."
"There are times when the Trump administration and his cronies look like the ruling class in The Hunger Games."
@afneil
Andrew Neil retweeted
🚨WATCH! Andrew Neil has just delivered one of the strongest, most necessary interventions of the week on this absurd “mystery celebrity” high court injunction. He is completely right, and anyone in a position of power should be paying attention.
He is clear-eyed about the ruling itself: “I’m delighted he’s ruled that way. I’m not so delighted he’s kicked it into the long grass and we still can’t name this person.”
Then he gets to the heart of it: “It really is ridiculous to stop legitimate newspapers and broadcasters who’ve done a legitimate investigation into somebody’s behaviour which seems unsavoury to put it mildly, not to be able to publish because that person says he’s gonna kill himself. You might as well shut down the British media if that’s the case.”
This is exactly the point. We indulge this sort of nonsense far too often in Britain. A celebrity with the means to hire expensive lawyers should not be able to muzzle legitimate reporting of serious allegations simply by invoking mental health or the threat of self-harm. Money must not be allowed to buy silence, and threats of this kind must not become a reliable tool for suppressing scrutiny.
@afneil is equally sharp on the contrast with America. Speaking from the US, he notes that a case like this would never have seen the inside of a courtroom. The First Amendment would have stopped it dead. As he puts it, we need to stop allowing our media to be “cribbed and confined and intimidated by people who are trying to hide their own wrongdoing by muzzling the media”.
The whole situation is made even more ridiculous by the fact that everyone already knows who it is. The name has circulated freely in Scotland because the ruling does not apply there. Yet the English media remain gagged from publishing their own investigation and the allegations themselves. It is a farce.
We need to get much tougher on this. The more the courts entertain these applications, the more people will keep using them to bury inconvenient truths. Let the press do their jobs.
BBC Newsnight
This was a referendum on Donald Trump and he lost. Big time | Andrew Nei... youtu.be/eliHPT42yig?is=c-t9… via @YouTube
Andrew Neil retweeted
Pathetic, and very patronising, by @AbdulElSayed . He should show more respect to the UK and one of our best journalists.
Michigan's Democratic candidate for Senate Abdul El-Sayed confronted @jamesmatthewsky, telling him he wouldn't answer his questions as he wants "zero" votes in the UK.
Watch the heated exchange between the two.
Watch our live coverage of the US midterms➡️ trib.al/BikRSb2
Andrew Neil retweeted
Replying to @afneil
Most important take of the night......can the mainstream Dems stop the far left wackjobs from destroying America!
The Democrats have made 7 gains in Senate and have a 54:44 majority, with two seats to report. Could end up 55:45.
Democrats have 231: 144 lead in House, with 60 seats to report. Need 218 for majority. Dems will have a very comfortable majority. Big enough for mainstream not to succumb to the party’s new left.
Then there’s Maine. If that falls to the Dems it will be 55-45.
Muddled my arithmetic earlier (the day started at 0430 and it’s now 23:30!). So here’s an accurate clarification (I hope).
The Democrats needed to win four seats for a Senate majority.
They took North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas and Kansas.
That gave them a 51-49 majority.
Then they took Ohio. A 52-48 majority.
And now the toss-up of toss-ups, Iowa.
So a Democratic majority of 53-47.
The one seat the Democrats might have lost — Michigan —they look like retaining. So still 53-47.
Alaska leans Democrat but close.
If the Dems take that it will be a 54-46 majority.
I think that’s it. Phew!
Might grab a few hours sleep now.
Muddled my arithmetic earlier (the day started at 0430 and it’s now 23:30!). So here’s an accurate clarification (I hope).
The Democrats needed to win four seats for a Senate majority.
They took North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas and Kansas.
That gave them a 51-49 majority.
Then they took Ohio. A 52-48 majority.
And now the toss-up of toss-ups, Iowa.
So a Democratic majority of 53-47.
The one seat the Democrats might have lost — Michigan —they look like retaining. So still 53-47.
Alaska leans Democrat but close.
If the Dems take that it will be a 54-46 majority.
I think that’s it. Phew!
Might grab a few hours sleep now.
A quite impressive slam dunk of wrong predictions.
I'll be weighing in again on the midterms early Wednesday. But since this is the season of prediction, prophecy, punditry and prognostication, I thought I would take my cards, which I have grasped here in my hand, and lay them on this virtual table.
I see that the latest New York Times/Siena poll has the following numbers for the Senate race: Alaska: D+2, Iowa: D+1, Michigan: D+11, Ohio: D+5, Maine: D+6, Texas: D+7. Amazing!
✍️ Roger Kimball
Article | spectator.com/article/and-my…
Sherrod Brown (D) has won Ohio. A gain. So Democratic Senate majority now at least 52-48.
Also confirmed — Democrats have won Texas governorship.
The Democrats needed four gains to take the Senate.
They have taken North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas and Kansas.
That gives them a 53-47 majority.
Alaska, Iowa and Ohio remain toss-ups.
The one vulnerable Democratic Senate seat is Michigan. It looks like it will stay Democrat.
Maine, which the Republicans hold, is leaning Democrat.
If everything fell the Dems way (unlikely) it would be a 57-43 Dem majority.
There's a new version of this post
The Democrats needed four gains to take the Senate.
They have taken North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas and Kansas.
That gives them a 51-49 majority.
Alaska, Iowa and Ohio remain toss-ups.
The one vulnerable Democratic Senate seat is Michigan. It looks like it will stay Democrat.
Maine, which the Republicans hold, is leaning Democrat.
Andrew Neil retweeted
Hugely composed and professional by @jamesmatthewsky amid bizarre behaviour from El-Sayed. He did journalists proud
Michigan's Democratic candidate for Senate Abdul El-Sayed confronted @jamesmatthewsky, telling him he wouldn't answer his questions as he wants "zero" votes in the UK.
Watch the heated exchange between the two.
Watch our live coverage of the US midterms➡️ trib.al/BikRSb2













