B

Bitcoin's last three cycle peaks all happened in November or December and were spaced four years apart. Previous cycle highs: 10 Nov 2021: $69,000 17 Dec 2017: $19,891 29 Nov 2013: $1,242 If that pattern continues, then we would expect this cycle to peak in November-December of 2025. Bitcoin has also followed a power curve for nearly 15 years. The power curve (law) forms a nice support line that I consider the intrinsic value of the network. Each cycle, Bitcoin explodes above the support trendline and then returns to it during the cycle bear. The percentage amount that the price rises above the support line gets smaller each cycle. Last cycle, in Spring 2021, the bull market started early, but we ended up with a double top that put us back on the 4-year timing. We have never been as early as we are right now. This time could be different. We have the ETFs, a favorable political environment, and Saylor (MSTR) borrowing every loose dollar on the bond market to buy more bitcoin. But, this time doesn't have to be different. We could pause or correct for months while still aligning with previous cycles. Be careful with all the new option products available to you this cycle. You could be right about your MSTR or IBIT price target and still lose all your money by misjudging the timing. I'm just holding bitcoin in cold storage. It's not as sexy as some of the other strategies, but at least I know I'll still have my coins deep into the future. That is most important to me.